"Chicken Little" critical for Disney reputation

[Snapper Bean]

Chicken Little continues to do well. Through 11/15 Chicken Little has been the #1 movie for 10 out of the 12 days it has been in theatres. Obviously, Harry Potter will smoke it this weekend. However, it will be interesting to see if Chicken Little can sustain enough positive momentum through the Thanksgiving weekend such that it can ultimately overtake Robots gross' at 128M. Right now I think it will. I don't think Chicken Little can catch Madagascar at 193M, however. If Chicken Little overtakes Robots' given the remaining releases for the year (Potter, King Kong) Chicken Little should finish comfortably within the Top 15 movies for the year.

 

[MiRi]

I finally saw it and I am happy to say that it was awesome. I was cracking up so much. Also, a lot of people are saying it was "okay" because they go in expecting it to be like a Pixar film or something. You can't do that with this movie.

 

[JBSLJames]

Let's not forget that, if this film can maintain it's legs, you have the Holiday's approaching when mom's and dad's look for good family films to go to while the kids are out of school.

I have not seen it yet and my family will fall into either the Thanksgiving or Christmas break viewership.

Perfect release date to capture this opportunity.

 

[speck76]

Harry Potter...which should win the T-giving break is getting "too scary for kids" reviews so far.....which would be good for CL

 

[MouseMadness]

Harry Potter...which should win the T-giving break is getting "too scary for kids" reviews so far.....which would be good for CL

I have taken all the kids to the HP films before, but this time it will be the oldest two only.

So, I think you're right.

 

[Timmay]

Harry Potter...which should win the T-giving break is getting "too scary for kids" reviews so far.....which would be good for CL

Well, if you have been reading the books, you know were well beyond a "kids" story at this point.

 

[speck76]

Box Office Mojo predictions for the weekend

1
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
(3,858 theaters)
91.6
91.6 / 1

2
Walk the Line
(2,961 theaters)
19.4
19.4 / 1

3
Chicken Little

15.6
100.0 / 3

 

[dxwwf3]

91.6 for Potter is a little high, IMO. Of course, maybe I'm underestimating the fan base. I've never seen any of the movies (or read the books) and have no desire to, but I figured that HP had sort of faded a tad in recent years. With it coming out on a non-Thanksgiving weekend, I figured we would see the opening weekend to be in the 70-80 million range and see a smaller dropoff next week than usual because of the holiday. It will be interesting to see.

 

[NemoRocks78]

1
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
(3,858 theaters)
91.6
91.6 / 1

2
Walk the Line
(2,961 theaters)
19.4
19.4 / 1

3
Chicken Little

15.6
100.0 / 3

Their Potter prediction is a bit too low, IMO, and many others do agree (especially taking into account the massive advanced sales)....CL looks about right though (I personally predicted it to pull in $17m).

 

[dxwwf3]

Their Potter prediction is a bit too low, IMO, and many others do agree (especially taking into account the massive advanced sales)....

Really? I hadn't heard about advanced ticket sales.

 

[wannab@dis]

Their Potter prediction is a bit too low, IMO, and many others do agree (especially taking into account the massive advanced sales)....CL looks about right though (I personally predicted it to pull in $17m).

You think CL will get a good bounce up next week during the Holiday period? If it does, it will have a chance of making the top 10-12 for the year. Pretty good deal for a movie that was predicted to flop!

 

[dxwwf3]

You think CL will get a good bounce up next week during the Holiday period? If it does, it will have a chance of making the top 10-12 for the year. Pretty good deal for a movie that was predicted to flop!

I think it will do well over Thanksgiving.

It's already exceeded most people's expectations. This is the biggest Disney animated hit since Tarzan. I doubt I'll catch it in theaters, but I might get around to it.

 

[NemoRocks78]

Really? I hadn't heard about advanced ticket sales.

According to Fandango, it has accounted for 90% of advanced ticket sales this week, making it the fastest selling of all of the Potter films so far....many, many sellouts were reported for midnight showings as well....

 

[NemoRocks78]

You think CL will get a good bounce up next week during the Holiday period? If it does, it will have a chance of making the top 10-12 for the year. Pretty good deal for a movie that was predicted to flop!

It should probably hold quite well over the upcoming week.

 

[dxwwf3]

According to Fandango, it has accounted for 90% of advanced ticket sales this week, making it the fastest selling of all of the Potter films so far....many, many sellouts were reported for midnight showings as well....

That's definately news to me. If that's the case (which of course it is) then I was definatley wrong. That's great news for WB.

 

[Snapper Bean]

Boxofficemojo.com is estimating only 3.480 million for Chicken Little on Friday 11/18. Harry Potter and Walk the Line are #1 and #2 with Chicken Little in 3rd. I was kind of hoping that Chicken Little could end up between 15-20 million for the weekend. We'll see....

 

[NemoRocks78]

Boxofficemojo.com is estimating only 3.480 million for Chicken Little on Friday 11/18. Harry Potter and Walk the Line are #1 and #2 with Chicken Little in 3rd. I was kind of hoping that Chicken Little could end up between 15-20 million for the weekend. We'll see....

Potter put the fork in it this weekend....now we'll have to see how it holds up over the Thanksgiving break.

 

[MKCP 1985]

This Potter film is shaping up to get the most favorable buzz to date, so look for it to bust out and exceed expectations. I know locally, all the early showings were sold out in advance Friday night. It wouldn't surprise me to read about a $100 milllion opening weekend.

As for the chicken, nobody is saying "see this twice," so I look for it to slow as Thanksgiving approaches and other films open. Still, it did very well and benefitted from opening when it did with not significant family film competition. There was a time when 100 million in gross receipts was a very big deal, but I guess it takes more these days to be considered a real hit. **shrug**

 

[CTXRover]

I knew CL would take a pretty big hit against Harry Potter, but it was a bit bigger than I thought. Oh well. With two solid weekends at #1 and the Thanksgiving holiday still to come, it will deliver a decent take for Disney overall. It'll be interesting to see how it does this weekend as a total as it should see a nice uptick on Saturday. I'm altering my prediction to around 135-145 million total domestically. Enough to say to the industry that Disney is still very much in the animation game, but not enough to wow them.

 

[NemoRocks78]

1 N Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire WB $101,425,000 - 3,858 - $26,289 $101,425,000 $150 1
2 N Walk the Line Fox $22,400,000 - 2,961 - $7,565 $22,400,000 - 1
3 1 Chicken Little BV $14,769,000 -53.3% 3,514 -144 $4,202 $99,151,000 - 3