News Bob Iger is back! Chapek is out!!

_caleb

Well-Known Member
On the day that the trailers for the new Indy, Guardians, and Transformers films drop, I feel pretty confident in saying next Summer will put to bed any questions about the vitality of theaters.
I’m not sure the cinemas, studios (or their investors), share your confidence.
 

lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
We were talking about The Walt Disney Company and why Disney is focusing less on theatricals releases and more on streaming. I said the reason what because “cinemas are not the future” and then people got upset.
You seem to have resorted to the equivalent of "Ok, boomer" even when presented with rather detailed responses and questions.

So you think the way forward for Disney is to re-release all their hit films in theaters?
Even this seems deliberately and obnoxiously obtuse.
 
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Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
I’m not sure the cinemas, studios (or their investors), share your confidence.
The lesson of the moment is that the studios and investors have absolutely no idea what is going on because the models they went all in on have been shattered by contact with reality. That is why every major studio is engulfed in chaos, most notably Disney, WB, and Netflix. A consensus will emerge, but not for a while, and not without lots of unforeseen upheaval.

By the way, the least chaos-ridden studios, Paramount and (to a lesser extent) Universal are the ones that had limited streaming investment and have rededicated themselves to theatrical releases. So some folks share my confidence (for instance the entire trade press), and the number is increasing.
 

CaptainAmerica

Premium Member
Isn’t Disney’s shift in focus from theatrical releases to Disney+ just their effort to avoid what the recording industry went through?
Movies shifted from theaters to Disney+ because of the pandemic, that's it. *Shows* shifted from *TV* to Disney+ to avoid what the recording industry went through.

The movie business isn't dying, it just got pandemicked. The TV business is dying (except for Sports and News).

We were talking about The Walt Disney Company and why Disney is focusing less on theatricals releases and more on streaming.
They're not. They did, briefly, because they had to.

I’m not sure the cinemas, studios (or their investors), share your confidence.
I bet you dollars-to-donuts that Avatar does $2 billion.
 

BuddyThomas

Well-Known Member
Movies shifted from theaters to Disney+ because of the pandemic, that's it. *Shows* shifted from *TV* to Disney+ to avoid what the recording industry went through.

The movie business isn't dying, it just got pandemicked. The TV business is dying (except for Sports and News).


They're not. They did, briefly, because they had to.


I bet you dollars-to-donuts that Avatar does $2 billion.
Not sure how many people have an attention span or the time to sit in a movie theatre for three bloated hours and ten minutes for a sequel whose origins many don’t even remember, but we shall see.
 

CaptainAmerica

Premium Member
Not sure how many people have an attention span or the time to sit in a movie theatre for three bloated hours and ten minutes for a sequel whose origins many don’t even remember, but we shall see.
The runtime might be a challenge, that's true. But spectacle still counts for something. Sometimes people just want to see fast cars and pretty women and space $#!? blowing up. I expect this movie to be a competently-told story that also happens to be *gorgeous* to look at.
 

MerlinTheGoat

Well-Known Member
Avatar 2 doesn't necessarily have to be a "good" movie to do well. The Transformers movies are an example of that. The first Avatar wasn't good either IMO, but it did coast by on the technology and visual spectacle.

On the one hand, I really don't know if I think the sequel will do as well as expected/hoped by Cameron and the executives. But on the other hand, it's dangerous to bet against James Cameron. It's a wishy washy statement to make I know, but I really wouldn't be surprised with either the movie underperforming or outperforming expectations.

It should also be noted that even the theatrical re-releases of the first Avatar have commanded some really impressive numbers. This past round made $30 million globally.
 

BuddyThomas

Well-Known Member
The runtime might be a challenge, that's true. But spectacle still counts for something. Sometimes people just want to see fast cars and pretty women and space $#!? blowing up. I expect this movie to be a competently-told story that also happens to be *gorgeous* to look at.
Very possible. I will wait for the reviews. Something no hater (not you, As far as I can tell) waited to do for Strange World.
 

Touchdown

Well-Known Member
I would never bet against James Cameron, in the past people have said:

“Terminator was lightning in a bottle, that hack is going to destroy Ridley’s Alien”

“Ok, Terminator 2 is in no way going to be better then the original”

“An action director is doing a historical love story disaster movie where everyone knows the ending! That’s going to flop!”

“ is this blue cat people movie, this is never going to make money.”
 
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Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
Would it?

I don't think it will do $2 billion, but it's not like the first Avatar was an especially good movie and it still set records.
Avatar…was at the intersection of a few weird events.

The visual effects where probably the most impressive to a casual audience of any movie since the matrix…

So it became an event movie

And there was Zero Competition. The schedule was clear. That happened with another Jimmy Cameron movie in 1997.

Avatar was a decent flick. But it wasn’t a great story or anything…it outperformed it’s potential.

And that happens. It happens a lot. It probably happened this year.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
I would never bet against James Cameron, in the past people have said:

“Terminator was lightning in a bottle, that Jack is going to destroy Ridley’s Alien”

“Ok, Terminator is in no way going to be better then the original”

“An action director is doing a historical live story disaster movie where everyone knows the ending! That’s going to flop!”

“ is this blue cat people movie, this is never going to make money.”
His best movie was an action comedy…I’ll remind 😉
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
And the reason I don’t think it’s a $2 bil is that Hollywood decided 5 years ago it can count on $500-$750 million from the Far East markets…they are not in a position to deliver that in the next 45 days.
 

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