Another Fuel Shortage Topic!!!

Videoteck

New Member
Well, in this topic I would like to talk about how this FUel SHortage is going to effect Disney prices as well as Traveling, planes, cars, trains, etc...

Personal Thought of the Problem:

I think that tickets for Disney may even go up to $70.00 per adult, and thats just crazy, I am going in Feb and I want to know will gas prices interferre with my trip?
 

Thrawn

Account Suspended
Videoteck said:
I dont see how it couldnt affect prices on tickets and hotels and such.

Why not? Once you are in the hotel, what does it effect? How does it effect you? Heating? Yes. Thats not going to make a marked change.

Same thing about the park.

There is an effect. However, it isn't noticable, and it isn't going to raise ticket prices like you seem to think it would. End.
 
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Master Yoda

Pro Star Wars geek.
Premium Member
In a sense both Thrawn and everyone else is right. Oil is and will always be a variable expense in doing business….any business. Obviously some businesses rely more heavily on oil in one form or another than others (i.e. UPS relies more on oil than a radio station) but all rely on it to some degree. Due to the rise in crude oil prices that expense has increased. A business has every right to increase prices based on their operating costs increasing at a rate greater than inflation. For example in the business that I am in, wood trusses and engineered lumber, our material cost (wood, steel) have in some cases more than doubled over the last 3 to 4 years. In response we had to raise our prices but were only able to do so because our competition had to do the same thing. In most circumstances fuel costs are a very small percentage of companies operating costs so raising prices would be penny wise but dollar foolish. Let’s go back to the UPS example. If UPS raised their prices 10% due to increased fuel costs and their competition did not, they would loose a good percentage of their business to other shipping companies. So instead of risking loosing business they accept a smaller profit margin and weather the storm until fuel costs revert to more traditional prices. Also many companies that rely on any one of a number of motor flues buy them in large quantities on a weekly to monthly basis so they are not as affected by radically swinging fuel prices like we normal consumers are. Now if fuel costs continue to rise and don’t decrease or at least level off we can expect to see a cost increase on any number of goods and services, but we have yet to reach that point. Now to say that no business has increased it prices due to fuel costs is incorrect. If you follow the following links you will see examples of several airlines increasing their fuel surcharge due to increased fuel costs.
Air Canada
American Airlines
British Airways
Cargo Airlines Ltd
Israel Airlines
United Airlines
Now more than likely a combination of two things are happening due to this increase in shipping. First whole sellers and retailers are absorbing a portion of this increase and second, part of it is being passed on to us in the form of slightly higher prices or reduced services. Other than surcharges placed on airline and bus tickets there are no publicized figures on how much, if any, prices have increased due to these increased shipping costs. But rest assured some one is paying for the increase.
To some up, rising oil costs have increased prices we pay for some goods and services (namely shipping and air travel) but have yet to filter down to every facet of our life. Will this affect Disney transportation? In the short term I doubt it, but if fuel pries don’t level off will see the cost passed off in the form of higher resort costs, or possibly fewer busses. There is also the distinct possibility that Disney will attempt to use alternate fuels or possibly even help pioneer a hybrid diesel engine .
 
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PigletIsMyCat

Well-Known Member
Thrawn said:
Thank you Mr Science.
But that doesn't MEAN anything. It doesn't effect the information I provided.
If someone wants to reply with something tangible, go right ahead and I'll reply.

Show me a source that says that the price of intercontinental shipping by container has gone up significantly in the last few years. Please. I'd love to see it.

Further, we've already established that the recent spike in gasoline prices hasn't increased airfare. So thats not "all forms of transportation" like you suggest.

Blah Blah Blah


http://home.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/index.jsp?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20050907005583&newsLang=en
The hurricane's effect on the petrochemical industry is also expected to impact Constar's operations. Increases in the price of gasoline may increase freight costs and any gasoline shortages may impact the availability of shipping. As a result of the storm's impact on the petroleum industry's refining capabilities, the Company has received communications from its suppliers regarding significant increases to resin prices which the Company anticipates will be passed on to its customer base.

There ya go. Increase in oil resulting in increased consumer prices.

I am perfectly willing to find more instances of this, including from my own family's business.
 
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Thrawn

Account Suspended
PigletIsMyCat said:
Blah Blah Blah


http://home.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/index.jsp?ndmViewId=news_view&newsId=20050907005583&newsLang=en


There ya go. Increase in oil resulting in increased consumer prices.

I am perfectly willing to find more instances of this, including from my own family's business.

You are completely missing the point. The thread is on the subject that EVERYTHING will increase in price based on oil prices increases. The simple fact is that it will not. And your "source" is a PETRO chemical company. Notice the PETRO. Of course it is going to be based on oil prices. Still has nothing to do with the original topic at hand. What did you do, just google for "oil increased prices"?

As I said, name one type of food that has increased markedly in the last few years. Any fruit, any vegetable, any snack food, anything. Gas is up anywhere from 50-100% depending on where you are in the US. Surely at least one price on a food item has to be somewhere in that vicinity, since, as the all knowing "pigletismycat" says, oil prices influence everything.
 
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slappy magoo

Well-Known Member
Thrawn said:
Nice argument, but incorrect. Please post any type of proof that these things change prices due to oil prices. They do not. As you said, you can't name anything. Thats because there isn't anything to name.

If you use the example of a microwave, the short term oil fluctuations are meaningless. Such types of electronics are typically imported from Asia, and as such have a 6 month plus lag time to the US, and are mostly transported by boat. Prices of items are normally set when either the product is purchased (before it is manufactured) or when it is introduced (before the item is shipped for the first time). Corporations do not renegotiate prices for commodities in the short term. You're talking 6 months for a short contract.

You are correct in some respects, the cost DOES get into the price at some point. But these doomsayers who think that the price of the gas pump effects the word are nothing but incorrect.

Well, I wasn't really making an argument, so please don't refer to my reply as such. Merely stating that, depending on the item in question, there might be an increase to offset the added price of gas, but that it's so small, only people who are incredibly vigilant on rising prices, or people who are so poor that every increase hits them no matter how small, would notice.

As far as my microwave example goes, it seems you're talking about the price of getting that microwave (or any item) from its manufacturer to the company/wholesaler planning to sell it on the consumer level. Actually, I was referring to the company/wholesaler getting that item from the ports to its large regional warehouses to its individual stores (with a reroute at a smaller warehouse, if necessary), so it can be sold to the consumer.

Yes, the manufacturer & the company have a set contract that won't affect their prices (unless they have some sort of clause to compensate for The Unknown-be it a ship held up in Customs, or perhaps a sudden spike in fuel costs, not being a lawyer for every manufacturer or company in the world, I probably wouldn't be privy to such details). And the manufacturer probably has a Suggested Retail Price for the product, as well as a minimum price for which the product can be advertised, as well as perhaps a maximum price which the company selling to consumers must not cross, lest they possibly lose the contract with that manufacturer.

Many stores tend to sell products somewhere between the Suggested Retail Price & the Minimum Advertised Price, to stay competitive with other stores. A DVD with a MSRP of $22.99 might sell at Target for $19.99, and then at Wal-Mart for $19.88. You'll see this happen more in larger warehouse all-in-one stores than you would in a mall or boutique-style store, but there is usually some room between the suggested and actual price (this is why people go nuts watching The Price Is Right, when Bob Barker announces the "actual retail price" because that's usually the Suggested Retail Price, something many people wouldn't pay: "1500 dollars for that ugly couch? Come ON, BOB!")

So if a store is selling an item between Suggested Retail Price (SRP) & Minimum Advertised Price (MAP), and the rise in fuel costs necessitates an increase, however small, they would still be within the price range that the contract stipulates.

If you really want to argue how wrong I am, feel free, but I thought I made it pretty clear than my reply was in the land of Hypotheticals, Maybes & What-Ifs. I didn't think it was a position I HAD to defend with cold hard facts, because it didn't seem like I was engaging in a debate, just a thought, a possibility that people hadn't thought of. During crises, we focus so much on the obvious price gougers breaking the law by suddenly charging triple prices for water or bread, that we can easily ignore an inconsequential price increase on many items in a store. I suppose I could call my local Wegman's or Target Manager and ask him/her if any prices have gone up due to the increase in gas prices, if it'll make you feel better. Forgive me if I don't jump right on it, though.

If you misunderstood my original reply, I hope this one was clearer. Now, go back to arguing with the people who REALLY hate you. :p
 
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PigletIsMyCat

Well-Known Member
Actually, yes I did use Google, my favorite search engine, to locate the information I supplied. The point is this:


I SUPPLIED INFORMATION BACKING UP MY STATEMENT.

I am not an import/export specialist. I normally do not read financial papers. All I know is that it costs me a heck of a lot more to drive my car recently, and that I don't see how that could NOT affect other modes of transportation, including most shipping. And I notice that when people do back up their information, Thrawn is quick to ignore it.



Master Yoda said:
In a sense both Thrawn and everyone else is right. Oil is and will always be a variable expense in doing business….any business. Obviously some businesses rely more heavily on oil in one form or another than others (i.e. UPS relies more on oil than a radio station) but all rely on it to some degree. Due to the rise in crude oil prices that expense has increased. A business has every right to increase prices based on their operating costs increasing at a rate greater than inflation. For example in the business that I am in, wood trusses and engineered lumber, our material cost (wood, steel) have in some cases more than doubled over the last 3 to 4 years. In response we had to raise our prices but were only able to do so because our competition had to do the same thing. In most circumstances fuel costs are a very small percentage of companies operating costs so raising prices would be penny wise but dollar foolish. Let’s go back to the UPS example. If UPS raised their prices 10% due to increased fuel costs and their competition did not, they would loose a good percentage of their business to other shipping companies. So instead of risking loosing business they accept a smaller profit margin and weather the storm until fuel costs revert to more traditional prices. Also many companies that rely on any one of a number of motor flues buy them in large quantities on a weekly to monthly basis so they are not as affected by radically swinging fuel prices like we normal consumers are. Now if fuel costs continue to rise and don’t decrease or at least level off we can expect to see a cost increase on any number of goods and services, but we have yet to reach that point. Now to say that no business has increased it prices due to fuel costs is incorrect. If you follow the following links you will see examples of several airlines increasing their fuel surcharge due to increased fuel costs.
Air Canada
American Airlines
British Airways
Cargo Airlines Ltd
Israel Airlines
United Airlines
Now more than likely a combination of two things are happening due to this increase in shipping. First whole sellers and retailers are absorbing a portion of this increase and second, part of it is being passed on to us in the form of slightly higher prices or reduced services. Other than surcharges placed on airline and bus tickets there are no publicized figures on how much, if any, prices have increased due to these increased shipping costs. But rest assured some one is paying for the increase.
To some up, rising oil costs have increased prices we pay for some goods and services (namely shipping and air travel) but have yet to filter down to every facet of our life. Will this affect Disney transportation? In the short term I doubt it, but if fuel pries don’t level off will see the cost passed off in the form of higher resort costs, or possibly fewer busses. There is also the distinct possibility that Disney will attempt to use alternate fuels or possibly even help pioneer a hybrid diesel engine .

Included in this post are links that could be construed as not backing your point, Thrawn. I'm wondering if that is why you chose to ignore it....
 
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peter11435

Well-Known Member
Thrawn said:
You are completely missing the point. The thread is on the subject that EVERYTHING will increase in price based on oil prices increases. The simple fact is that it will not. And your "source" is a PETRO chemical company. Notice the PETRO. Of course it is going to be based on oil prices. Still has nothing to do with the original topic at hand. What did you do, just google for "oil increased prices"?

As I said, name one type of food that has increased markedly in the last few years. Any fruit, any vegetable, any snack food, anything. Gas is up anywhere from 50-100% depending on where you are in the US. Surely at least one price on a food item has to be somewhere in that vicinity, since, as the all knowing "pigletismycat" says, oil prices influence everything.
Just because gas is up 50-100% does not mean that everything will go up 50-100%. However the increased gas prices DO cause increased prices for nearly everything with the exception of services.

The fact is that while I can't give specifics at the time. The price of food at the grocery store has increased substantially in the last few years. Through much of the 90’s and early 2000's my weekly grocery bill was always somewhere between $85-$95. Yet for the last few years my weekly grocery bill is always somewhere between $110-$120. And I assure you I am not buying anymore, in fact I actually buy less.

The fact is all goods must be transported even if those electronics you speak of were shipped over by boat, they will eventually also have to travel by truck to get to their destination. Take a can of corn for example. Increased fuel prices are certainly going to increase to manufacturing cost, as energy costs at the plant will go up. Then any method of transporting that can of corn will be more expansive than in the past. These increased costs WILL be passed on to the consumer, and WILL become noticeable with time. These costs are only a portion of the cost of the product thus the reason that the costs of these goods will not increase at the same rate as the oil prices, however the DO in fact increase as a result of them.
 
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Thrawn

Account Suspended
peter11435 said:
Just because gas is up 50-100% does not mean that everything will go up 50-100%. However the increased gas prices DO cause increased prices for nearly everything with the exception of services.

The fact is that while I can't give specifics at the time. The price of food at the grocery store has increased substantially in the last few years. Through much of the 90’s and early 2000's my weekly grocery bill was always somewhere between $85-$95. Yet for the last few years my weekly grocery bill is always somewhere between $110-$120. And I assure you I am not buying anymore, in fact I actually buy less.

The fact is all goods must be transported even if those electronics you speak of were shipped over by boat, they will eventually also have to travel by truck to get to their destination. Take a can of corn for example. Increased fuel prices are certainly going to increase to manufacturing cost, as energy costs at the plant will go up. Then any method of transporting that can of corn will be more expansive than in the past. These increased costs WILL be passed on to the consumer, and WILL become noticeable with time. These costs are only a portion of the cost of the product thus the reason that the costs of these goods will not increase at the same rate as the oil prices, however the DO in fact increase as a result of them.

Yet, you still can't give an example.

I did not mean that food prices are going to be up by the same ratio. BUT if gas prices are double what they were in 2001, you would expect to see at least a 20-25% increase in food prices. You don't see that. There is some increase, yes, but nothing out of line with inflation.
 
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PigletIsMyCat

Well-Known Member
Request for food prices going up got me thinking to a large disturbing discussion my family had a few months ago....


Coca-Cola.

My mother assures me that Coca-Cola had not risen in price too much since the eighties. Yet, a few months ago, my beloved two liter bottle was decimated by the introduction of the 1.5 liter 'smooth serve' bottle.
Which costs what a two liter used to. And two liters went up .20-.30 cents per bottle. But Pepsi didn't increase prices for their two liters....:mad:
 
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peter11435

Well-Known Member
Thrawn said:
Yet, you still can't give an example.

I did not mean that food prices are going to be up by the same ratio. BUT if gas prices are double what they were in 2001, you would expect to see at least a 20-25% increase in food prices. You don't see that. There is some increase, yes, but nothing out of line with inflation.
Why would you expect a 20-25% increase in food prices. That would be unreasonable. A can of corn costs around $0.95. where I live. Most likely only a small amount such as 5 cents is relates to fuel costs. Thus a 100% increase in oil prices would increase this amount from 5 cents to 10 cents. The cost of the product woulf only increase from $0.95 to $1. While not that much the increase is there.
 
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Thrawn

Account Suspended
PigletIsMyCat said:
Request for food prices going up got me thinking to a large disturbing discussion my family had a few months ago....


Coca-Cola.

My mother assures me that Coca-Cola had not risen in price too much since the eighties. Yet, a few months ago, my beloved two liter bottle was decimated by the introduction of the 1.5 liter 'smooth serve' bottle.
Which costs what a two liter used to. And two liters went up .20-.30 cents per bottle. But Pepsi didn't increase prices for their two liters....:mad:

Coke still comes in 2 liter bottles here.
 
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PigletIsMyCat

Well-Known Member
Thrawn said:
Surely at least one price on a food item has to be somewhere in that vicinity, since, as the all knowing "pigletismycat" says, oil prices influence everything.

Rude and rude, by the way. I never claimed to be all knowing, I even pointed out that on a day to day basis, I never deal with things like shipping costs, etc. I don't remember calling you any names, and while this is a heated debate, and some of us might be writing things with an 'attitude', personal shots aren't really necessary.
 
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PigletIsMyCat

Well-Known Member
Thrawn said:
Coke still comes in 2 liter bottles here.
Yes it still comes in two liters here. My point is that a few months ago, two liters cost .99 cents. Then all of the sudden, 1.5 liters cost .99 cents and two liters cost 1.29.
 
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Thrawn

Account Suspended
peter11435 said:
Why would you expect a 20-25% increase in food prices. That would be unreasonable. A can of corn costs around $0.95. where I live. Most likely only a small amount such as 5 cents is relates to fuel costs. Thus a 100% increase in oil prices would increase this amount from 5 cents to 10 cents. The cost of the product woulf only increase from $0.95 to $1. While not that much the increase is there.

5 cents is more in line with inflation, not gas prices. Plus, there is a higher cost to manufacture now then in 2001.

I had a much longer response, with a full out example of then vs now, but it didn't send and I lost it :fork:
 
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peter11435

Well-Known Member
Thrawn said:
5 cents is more in line with inflation, not gas prices. Plus, there is a higher cost to manufacture now then in 2001.

I had a much longer response, with a full out example of then vs now, but it didn't send and I lost it :fork:
The 5 cents was only a made up figure. I don't have specifics I was just supplying a hypothetical example of why the price of goods would not increase by 50 or even percent.

As for higher costs to manufacture, well for lack of a better term, duh. Increased oil prices WILL cause higher manufacturing costs.
 
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