2021 Box Office Tracking

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
What a crazy two weeks it has been. Eternals went from being the most hyped MCU flick of all time to falling right on its face with critics panning it and a opening weekend that is not the level where it should be. Although, we should not be too worried as Eternals is doing solid at the box office. I know, I know. I just said it was not at the right level. Well, that is the domestic number. The overseas numbers are particularly strong. Eternals opened with an estimated $71M domestic and $90.7M internationally. That brings the grand total to $161.7M. Deadline reports that this global total is "26% ahead of Shang-Chi And The Legend Of The Ten Rings and 8% ahead of Black Widow in like-for-like markets.". So as you can see, the movie was definitely not a bomb and will most likely reach the $350M-400M mark that Shang-Chi and Venom are at right now.

Let's look at Disney's 7 other movies in the marketplace. First off, The Eyes of Tammy Faye is done with its run after 7 weekends at the box office. The film ended its run with only a $2.4M total. Ron's Gone Wrong and The French Dispatch took spots #5 and #6, respectively, and both feel less than 5%! That is very strong for both films and shows that there is some type of audience willing to see these movies even when there are big blockbusters coming out. Antlers fell 53% in its 2nd weekend showing that horror flick did not gain an audience despite its small opening. As suspected, Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings fell kind of hard this weekend only making $502k this weekend. With the film hitting Disney+ this Friday, keep expecting it fall. Jungle Cruise (which made $34k this weekend) is also hitting Disney+ this Friday. However, Jungle Cruise is almost done with its run and should leaves theaters in the next 2 weekends or so. The Last Duel made $151k this weekend and fell a steep 73% percent. Lastly, Free Guy fell 9% and made $80k this weekend.

As for this coming week, Clifford the Big Red Dog will open this Wednesday to take advantage of Veterans Day. However, the film will also be available on Paramount Plus. Then on Friday, Belfast (a huge awards contender) will open.

1.) Eternals (Dis) 4,090 theaters, Fri $30.7M, Sat $24.1M/Sun $16.2M/3-day $71M/Wk 1

2.) Dune (WB) 3,546 (-579) theaters, Fri $2.25M/Sat $3.3M/Sun $2M/ 3-day $7.6M (-51%)/Total $83.9M/Wk 3

3.) No Time to Die (UAR) 3,007 (-500) theaters, Fri $1.8M/Sat $2.6M/Sun $1.7M/ 3-day $6.1M (-20%), Total: $143.1M/Wk 5

4.) Venom: Let There Be Carnage (Sony) 2,640 (-638) theaters, Fri $1.18M/Sat $2M/Sun $1.27M/3-day $4.4M (-23%)/Total $197M/Wk 6

5.) Ron’s Gone Wrong (Dis/20th) 2,650 (-910) theaters, Fri $830K, Sat $1.66M/Sun $1.1M/ 3-day $3.6M (-3%)/Total $17.6M/Wk 3

6.) The French Dispatch (Sea) 1,205 (+417) theaters Fri $820K/Sat $1M/Sun $732K/ 3-day $2.6M (even)/Total $8.4M/Wk 3

7.) Halloween Kills (Uni) 3,098 (-518) theaters Fri $700K/Sat $1M/Sun $620K/ 3-day $2.35M (-73%)/Total $89.7M/wk 4

8.) Spencer (NEON) 996 theaters, Fri $783K, Sat $780K/Sun $585K/3-day $2.1M/Wk 1

9.) Antlers (Sea) 2,800 theaters, Fri $608K,Sat $725K/Sun $567K 3-day $2M (-53%), Total $7.6M/Wk 2

10.) Last Night in Soho (Foc) 3,016 theaters, Fri $580K,Sat $740K/Sun $480K/ 3-day $1.8M (-57%), Total $7.6M/Wk 2

11.) My Hero Academia (Fun) 1,445 theaters (-136) Fri $428K/Sat $709K/Sun$450K/3-day $1.6M (-75%)/Total $9.7M/Wk 2



 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
I spent the day at Disneyland, so I apologize for the numbers being up so late. Also, there won't being any detailed analysis this weekend. Just the chart and numbers for other Disney movies. Things will be back to normal next weekend!

1.) Eternals (Dis) 4,090 theaters, Fri $7.8M (-75%/Sat $11.8M/Sun $7.85M/3-day $27.5M (-61%)/Total: $118.8M/Wk 2

2.) Clifford the Big Red Dog (Par/eOne) 3,700 theater, Fri $4.2M/Sat $7.38M/Sun $4.8M/3-day $16.4M/Total $22M/Wk 1

3.) Dune (WB) 3,282 (-264) theaters, Fri $1.63M /Sat $2.4M/Sun $1.45M3-day $5.5M (-29%)/Total $93.1M/Wk 4

4.) No Time to Die (UAR) 2,867 (-140) theaters, Fri $1.4M (-23%)/Sat $2M/Sun $1.2M/3-day $4.6M (-23%), Total: $150.5M/Wk 6

5.) Venom: Let There Be Carnage (Sony) 2,538 (-102) theaters, Fri $1M (-14%)/Sat $1.85M/Sun $1.1M/3-day $4M (-10%)/Total $202.7M/Wk 7

6.) Ron’s Gone Wrong (Dis/20th) 2,430 (-220) theaters, Fri $533K (-36%)/Sat $990K/Sun $677K/ 3-day $2.2M (-37%)/Total $20.8M/Wk 4

7.) The French Dispatch (Sea) 1,225 (+20) theaters Fri $538K (-35%)/Sat $739K/Sun $563K/ 3-day $1.84M (-29%)/Total $11.6M/Wk 4

8.) Belfast (Uni) 580 theaters Fri $650K/Sat $680K/Sun $470K/3-day $1.8M/Wk 1

9.) Spencer (NEON) 1,265 (+269) theaters, Fri $487K/Sat $621K/Sun $422K/3-day $1.53M (-27%)/Total: $4.7M/Wk 2

10.) Antlers (Sea) 1,825 (-975) theaters, Fri $337K (-45%)/Sat $510K/Sun $353K/ 3-day $1.2M (-39%), Total $9.6M/Wk 3




Other Disney weekend numbers:

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings: $238k (-61%)

The Last Duel: $113k (-16%)

Free Guy: $49k (-34%)

Jungle Cruise: $17k (-47%)

 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Who are you gonna call the winner this week? Ghostbusters: Afterlife! That is right. The reboot almost doubled the projection Sony had and made about $10 million more than what Deadline predicted. The $44M opening is strong and shows that it will probably have legs moving forward into the holiday week. Awards contender King Richard unfortunately sizzled. The film made only about half of the $10M projection. HBOMax most likely was the cause of this. However, it being a huge Oscar contender could boost it once awards season kicks off.

Meanwhile, Disney has 7 movies in the marketplace. Here are the breakdowns with some slight notes attached to each:

  • Eternals: $10.8M
    • Spot #2
    • Domestic total: $135.8M
  • The French Dispatch: $970K
    • Spot #8
    • Domestic total: $13.3M
  • Ron’s Gone Wrong: $888K
    • Spot #10
    • Domestic Total: $22.1M
  • Antlers: $360k
    • Domestic Total: $10.3M
  • The Last Duel: $67k
    • Domestic Total: $10.7M
  • Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings: $52K
    • Domestic Total: $224.5M
  • Free Guy: $21k
    • Domestic Total: $121.6M
    • Should end its run in the next 1-2 weeks
  • Jungle Cruise is done!
    • Domestic Total: $116.9 (FINAL)
    • Worldwide Total: $217M
      • Opened in China last week and sizzled so I would say JC will end near $220M worldwide

As for this week, Disney takes a swing this Wednesday with Encanto! The 60th animated film from Disney will open against House of Gucci and Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City.

1.) Ghostbusters: Afterlife (Sony) 4,315 theaters, Fri $16.5M/Sat $16.1M/Sun $11.3M/3-day: $44M/Wk 1

2.) Eternals (Dis) 4,055 theaters (-35), Fri $3.07M (-61%)/Sat $4.85M/Sun $2.9M/3-day $10.8M (-60%), Total $135.8M/Wk 3

3.) Clifford the Big Red Dog (Par) 3,628 (-72) theaters, Fri $2M (-53%)/Sat $3.6M/Sun $2.5M/3-day $8.1M (51%), Total $33.5M/Wk 2

4.) King Richard (WB) 3,302 theaters, Fri $1.9M, Sat $2.1M, Sun $1.6M/ 3-day $5.7M/Wk 1

5.) Dune (WB/Leg) 2,467 (-815) theaters, Fri $885K (-46%)/Sat $2.1M/Sun $1.6M/3-day $3M (-45%) Total $98.2M/Wk 5

6.) Venom: Let There Be Carnage (Sony) 2,230 (-308) theaters, Fri $755K, Sat $1.28M, Sun $765K, 3-day $2.8M (-29%), Total $206.5M/Wk 8

7.) No Time to Die (UAR) 2,407 (-460) theaters, Fri $791K (-43%), Sat $1.19M, Sun $718K, 3-day $2.7M (-40%), Total $154.7M/Wk 7

8.) The French Dispatch (Sea) 805 (-420) theaters, Fri $294K (-46%), Sat $422K, Sun $254K, 3-day $970K (-45%), Total $13.3M/Wk 5

9.) Belfast (Foc) 584 (+2) theaters, Fri $280K (-57%), Sat $400K, Sun $260K, 3-day $940K (-47%), Total $3.4M/Wk 2

10.) Ron’s Gone Wrong (20th/Dis) 1,520 (-910) Fri $210K (-62%), Sat $432K, Sun $246K, 3-day $888K (-59%), Total $22.1M/Wk 5

11.) Spencer (NEON) Fri $211K, Sat $290K, Sun $188,7K, 3-day $690K (-54%), Total $6.1M/Wk 3


 

Magenta Panther

Well-Known Member
I loved Ghostbusters: Afterlife!

Loved it. Loved it. LOVED IT!

Great new cast, great characters, and yes, nostalgia, but nostalgia brilliantly used and applied.

And I damn near bawled like a baby at the ending! Holy crap!

THIS is how you reboot a franchise, Iger. For one thing, you DON'T destroy the old characters to make lame new ones look good. Like you did with Star Wars.

A truly fun popcorn movie. A genre sorely lacking of late.

HIGHLY recommended!
 

Jedijax719

Well-Known Member
Bitter sweet for Eternals. I wish it would be doing better and have better holds. However, from a selfish standpoint, if it keeps dropping like this, it's more likely to have a 45-day window and be released on D+ by Christmas.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
Bitter sweet for Eternals. I wish it would be doing better and have better holds. However, from a selfish standpoint, if it keeps dropping like this, it's more likely to have a 45-day window and be released on D+ by Christmas.
It's having a 45 day theatrical window regardless of how well it does. Theaters have those screens booked for when it leaves.

Whether it's going straight to D+ is unknown at this point.
 

celluloid

Well-Known Member
I loved Ghostbusters: Afterlife!

Loved it. Loved it. LOVED IT!

Great new cast, great characters, and yes, nostalgia, but nostalgia brilliantly used and applied.

And I damn near bawled like a baby at the ending! Holy crap!

THIS is how you reboot a franchise, Iger. For one thing, you DON'T destroy the old characters to make lame new ones look good. Like you did with Star Wars.

A truly fun popcorn movie. A genre sorely lacking of late.

HIGHLY recommended!

Agreed. It was so much fun without any specific cynical nature. I don't see many movies more than once in theaters even when I looked forward ot them. I will be seeing this one again. People are talking and this one I think is going to have a pretty steady hold and be a smash hit throughout the holidays for what its budget was. Agreed huge about popcorn movie being fun again. It was almost a treat not to see a fun movie that was not an overt superhero film in the saturated market.

It leaned into the nostalgia while holding its own.
 

MarvelCharacterNerd

Well-Known Member
Who are you gonna call the winner this week? Ghostbusters: Afterlife! That is right. The reboot almost doubled the projection Sony had and made about $10 million more than what Deadline predicted. The $44M opening is strong and shows that it will probably have legs moving forward into the holiday week. Awards contender King Richard unfortunately sizzled. The film made only about half of the $10M projection. HBOMax most likely was the cause of this. However, it being a huge Oscar contender could boost it once awards season kicks off.

Meanwhile, Disney has 7 movies in the marketplace. Here are the breakdowns with some slight notes attached to each:

  • Eternals: $10.8M
    • Spot #2
    • Domestic total: $135.8M
  • The French Dispatch: $970K
    • Spot #8
    • Domestic total: $13.3M
  • Ron’s Gone Wrong: $888K
    • Spot #10
    • Domestic Total: $22.1M
  • Antlers: $360k
    • Domestic Total: $10.3M
  • The Last Duel: $67k
    • Domestic Total: $10.7M
  • Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings: $52K
    • Domestic Total: $224.5M
  • Free Guy: $21k
    • Domestic Total: $121.6M
    • Should end its run in the next 1-2 weeks
  • Jungle Cruise is done!
    • Domestic Total: $116.9 (FINAL)
    • Worldwide Total: $217M
      • Opened in China last week and sizzled so I would say JC will end near $220M worldwide

As for this week, Disney takes a swing this Wednesday with Encanto! The 60th animated film from Disney will open against House of Gucci and Resident Evil: Welcome to Raccoon City.

1.) Ghostbusters: Afterlife (Sony) 4,315 theaters, Fri $16.5M/Sat $16.1M/Sun $11.3M/3-day: $44M/Wk 1

2.) Eternals (Dis) 4,055 theaters (-35), Fri $3.07M (-61%)/Sat $4.85M/Sun $2.9M/3-day $10.8M (-60%), Total $135.8M/Wk 3

3.) Clifford the Big Red Dog (Par) 3,628 (-72) theaters, Fri $2M (-53%)/Sat $3.6M/Sun $2.5M/3-day $8.1M (51%), Total $33.5M/Wk 2

4.) King Richard (WB) 3,302 theaters, Fri $1.9M, Sat $2.1M, Sun $1.6M/ 3-day $5.7M/Wk 1

5.) Dune (WB/Leg) 2,467 (-815) theaters, Fri $885K (-46%)/Sat $2.1M/Sun $1.6M/3-day $3M (-45%) Total $98.2M/Wk 5

6.) Venom: Let There Be Carnage (Sony) 2,230 (-308) theaters, Fri $755K, Sat $1.28M, Sun $765K, 3-day $2.8M (-29%), Total $206.5M/Wk 8

7.) No Time to Die (UAR) 2,407 (-460) theaters, Fri $791K (-43%), Sat $1.19M, Sun $718K, 3-day $2.7M (-40%), Total $154.7M/Wk 7

8.) The French Dispatch (Sea) 805 (-420) theaters, Fri $294K (-46%), Sat $422K, Sun $254K, 3-day $970K (-45%), Total $13.3M/Wk 5

9.) Belfast (Foc) 584 (+2) theaters, Fri $280K (-57%), Sat $400K, Sun $260K, 3-day $940K (-47%), Total $3.4M/Wk 2

10.) Ron’s Gone Wrong (20th/Dis) 1,520 (-910) Fri $210K (-62%), Sat $432K, Sun $246K, 3-day $888K (-59%), Total $22.1M/Wk 5

11.) Spencer (NEON) Fri $211K, Sat $290K, Sun $188,7K, 3-day $690K (-54%), Total $6.1M/Wk 3


I really enjoy these posts that you do, but I gotta say it drives me mad every time you say "sizzled" when you mean "fizzled". "Sizzled" means it did well or has excitement or buzz around it. "Fizzled" means it didn't do well. Sorry, just a pet peeve. :)
 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
I really enjoy these posts that you do, but I gotta say it drives me mad every time you say "sizzled" when you mean "fizzled". "Sizzled" means it did well or has excitement or buzz around it. "Fizzled" means it didn't do well. Sorry, just a pet peeve. :)
Well would you look at that! Thanks for letting me know. Clearly my English fizzled when I’m writing these 😉
 

MarvelCharacterNerd

Well-Known Member
Well would you look at that! Thanks for letting me know. Clearly my English fizzled when I’m writing these 😉
:D "Sizzle" is definitely a showbiz term - from a project "sizzling" at the box office to a "sizzle reel", so I totally get why you had it in mind, but every time you used it, I was like...

1637553527362.png


So I finally just had to say something!

But I really do appreciate your weekly rundowns on the numbers! :)
 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
"Disney’s animated movie Encanto received a $1.5 million start Tuesday off showtimes starting at 6 p.m., as the pic opens today in 3,980 theaters.

The movie, which features a soundtrack from Emmy-, Grammy- and Tony-winning Lin-Manuel Miranda, is expected to make $35M-$40M over the next five days."

 

Ripken10

Well-Known Member
"Disney’s animated movie Encanto received a $1.5 million start Tuesday off showtimes starting at 6 p.m., as the pic opens today in 3,980 theaters.

The movie, which features a soundtrack from Emmy-, Grammy- and Tony-winning Lin-Manuel Miranda, is expected to make $35M-$40M over the next five days."

Just curious about your numbers. You said that was the expected for it's 5 days (35-40 million)...boxofficepro has those numbers expected for 3 days, and the 5 day expectation to be 45 to 60 million (they are predicting 56 million for 5 days). I was just double checking your numbers since they seem very different, and usually they are very close to the same as boxofficepro.
 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Just curious about your numbers. You said that was the expected for it's 5 days (35-40 million)...boxofficepro has those numbers expected for 3 days, and the 5 day expectation to be 45 to 60 million (they are predicting 56 million for 5 days). I was just double checking your numbers since they seem very different, and usually they are very close to the same as boxofficepro.
Those are actually not my numbers. Those numbers are from Deadline. Sorry, I should have made that more clear. And yeah, I have noticed those gaps between the two sources. It is most likely just the patterns they notice and what they hear throughout the industry. For instance, another website called Box Office Report is placing the prediction at $46M.

 

Ripken10

Well-Known Member
Those are actually not my numbers. Those numbers are from Deadline. Sorry, I should have made that more clear. And yeah, I have noticed those gaps between the two sources. It is most likely just the patterns they notice and what they hear throughout the industry. For instance, another website called Box Office Report is placing the prediction at $46M.

Yeah, I knew they were not your numbers...I meant "the numbers you referenced". Just was a larger gap than usual from what I noticed
 

Disney Analyst

Well-Known Member
"Disney’s animated movie Encanto received a $1.5 million start Tuesday off showtimes starting at 6 p.m., as the pic opens today in 3,980 theaters.

The movie, which features a soundtrack from Emmy-, Grammy- and Tony-winning Lin-Manuel Miranda, is expected to make $35M-$40M over the next five days."


I know the focus is on Encanto for this forum - and it will surely be the top for this weekend/US holiday.

But as a Gaga stan I’m actually very interested in how House of Gucci does. Not only because of her name attached, but as an rated R film, with some major buzz. It seems like it’ll take the second spot and also seems to be performing well.

ETA:

 
Last edited:

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
I know the focus is on Encanto for this forum - and it will surely be the top for this weekend/US holiday.

But as a Gaga stan I’m actually very interested in how House of Gucci does. Not only because of her name attached, but as an rated R film, with some major buzz. It seems like it’ll take the second spot and also seems to be performing well.

ETA:


Me too! I actually just got out of the theater from watching House of Gucci half an hour ago haha. Gaga was fabulous, like always. The only real issues with it not performing to a greater extent is the mixed reviews and near three hour runtime. However, the star power should be able to attract plenty of people.

This is just me thinking out loud, but I always find it hard when trying to discuss non-Disney films, like House of Gucci, in this thread without going overboard. I am thinking of maybe moving the 2022 BO thread to the TV Shows, Movies, and Music subforum just so it is easier to fully explain how every movie performs.
 

MarvelCharacterNerd

Well-Known Member
"Disney’s animated movie Encanto received a $1.5 million start Tuesday off showtimes starting at 6 p.m., as the pic opens today in 3,980 theaters.

The movie, which features a soundtrack from Emmy-, Grammy- and Tony-winning Lin-Manuel Miranda, is expected to make $35M-$40M over the next five days."

This one seems really appealing. Looking forward to checking it out in a few weeks on Disney+ :)
 

NateD1226

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Here is what Deadline had to say about the opening day totals of Encanto and House of Gucci:

"Encanto opened to $7.5M on Wednesday, which isn’t the best of starts from one of the studio’s animated movies over Thanksgiving, it’s even under its low-grossing titles Pixar’s The Good Dinosaur which saw a $9.76M Wednesday for a $39.1M opening weekend, $55.4M 5-day. The industry outlook here for Encanto is $26.1M over 3-days, and $38.6M over 5 days. Pic’s opening day includes yesterday’s previews.

What will change these estimates? Or that matter any of this weekend’s estimates during the pandemic? If Thanksgiving, which is typically a down-day at the box office, performs better than expected, and if Black Friday, a vibrant day for moviegoing, soars. Industry estimates figure that the 5-day holiday will ring up $140.1M, -46% from 2019’s 5-day Thanksgiving of $258.5M, when Disney’s Frozen 2 ruled the Earth.

...

In third, UAR and MGM’s House of Gucci is posting a solid result for an adult-driven movie with a long running time during the pandemic with a $4.2M opening day. Note that Ridley Scott’s previous movie, The Last Duel, which ran 2 hours and 32 minutes (to Gucci’s 2 hours and 37 minutes) posted an opening weekend of $4.75M and stopped making money at $10.8M. House of Gucci‘s opening frame will beat the entire gross of the filmmaker’s previous title with a projected $14.3M 3-day, $21.7M 5-day. All of this is great news as the movie begins its ascent during awards season. Moviegoers seem to enjoy the Lady Gaga, Al Pacino, Jared Leto and Adam Driver drama thriller better than the critics with a B+ CinemaScore and 88% Rotten Tomatoes audience score. The brow wrinkles as to why the critics embraced Last Duel more over House of Gucci: The former was the portrayal of a rape from three different standpoints, two of them being men and it really put off awards season voters. Critics gave Last Duel 85% certified fresh, while they’ve been harder on House of Gucci at 62% fresh. Nonetheless, there’s a divide between critics and audiences, and it appears moviegoers are winning."

 

Jedijax719

Well-Known Member
Happy Thanksgiving everyone! We're just waiting for company and letting things cook.

Thing about Encanto is that it will be out in exactly a month on D+. Waiting has become less of a big deal, so I gather that many will do just that.
 

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