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Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

Phroobar

Well-Known Member
On thing is for certain, it should be better than Cats.

iu
 

Disney Analyst

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Just saying that modern musical movies don't do well. Cats, The Greatest Showman, Westside Story all failed. I guess Wicked is different.

Greatest Showman was succesful I thought? Definitely made a profit against its budget.

The big issue is they don't know how to direct a musical these days for film. But I am seeing a lot of people saying Jon Chu gets it, and this is up there with Chicago, Mamma Mia, etc.
 

brideck

Well-Known Member
The big issue is they don't know how to direct a musical these days for film. But I am seeing a lot of people saying Jon Chu gets it, and this is up there with Chicago, Mamma Mia, etc.

Hopefully he's learned from making In the Heights. I was not a fan of the direction in that screen adaptation -- so many of the dance sequences in that one had a ton of MTV cutting and closeups instead of just letting the choreography do the work.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Wicked currently at 92% on RT based on 111 reviews.

I can't not see it being a hit at this point, despite the common criticism of its length.
The real question is are families going to see it or Moana? With most families only seeing a max of one movie a month, its going to be a choice.

Though I have seen online some rumblings about a "Barbenheimer" type thing potentially happen with Moana and Wicked. What do we call that, "Micked", "Moicked", "Wioana"?
 

Disney Analyst

Well-Known Member
Original Poster

“Universal’s female Jurassic World movie, if you will, the feature take of the Broadway musical Wicked, is expected to pull in any every single woman to the tune of a $125 million-$150 million domestic opening this weekend. Add in an extra $40M-$50M from its overseas launch.

By every single woman we mean in the U.S., where pre-sales are through the roof; we’re hearing that they’re around $30M+. The movie is already holding previews, last night and Wednesday in premium theaters via an Amazon promotion, with regularly scheduled early screenings starting Thursday at 2 p.m. Last night’s preview was strong enough business-wise to land Wicked a 99% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes.



Glicked is about to take effect at the box office. If anything, with Moana 2 coming on the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, the holiday stretch from this Friday through the Sunday after Black Friday is expected to be the highest-grossing ever at the domestic box office for all films.

There’s a little bit of a Barbie moment going on with Wicked in terms of pre-sales,” one industry insider commented this morning. “They just keep going up and up with tracking numbers through the roof.” Quorum reports that Wicked ranks as the firm’s most highest-tracked title in its post-Covid run with 70% total awareness.“
 

Disney Analyst

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
The real question is are families going to see it or Moana? With most families only seeing a max of one movie a month, its going to be a choice.

Though I have seen online some rumblings about a "Barbenheimer" type thing potentially happen with Moana and Wicked. What do we call that, "Micked", "Moicked", "Wioana"?

I think there will be some cross over. People will defy expectations if the films are good. Good films bring people out, more than the averages we expect.

If they are picking one over the other, families will be going to Moana, and you’ll see a similar audience to Barbie hitting up Wicked.
 

Tony the Tigger

Well-Known Member
The real question is are families going to see it or Moana? With most families only seeing a max of one movie a month, its going to be a choice.

Though I have seen online some rumblings about a "Barbenheimer" type thing potentially happen with Moana and Wicked. What do we call that, "Micked", "Moicked", "Wioana"?
I’ve been hearing it more as Wicked paired with Gladiator.
I’m not usually a movie musical guy (although I enjoy live theater musicals) but this movie was great.

Whoever cast it did an amazing job. Every character played their part perfectly.
Haven’t seen it!
 

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