Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
I... don't know what any of this means, but to Mr. Gutman's observation, has anyone here actually seen it yet?

I've seen zero of the recent  Apes series, so don't personally have any plans for it.
My point is that some topics don’t get a lot of run here.

Doesn’t mean we shouldn’t talk about them…just means it sails past many

Are Disney fans watching commercials of apes and thinking: “that’s a Disney movie!!”

Likely no.

Now start a thread “how magical is port?” Or “mouse ear appreciation thread!!” And there will be a line for it
 

LittleBuford

Well-Known Member
My point is that some topics don’t get a lot of run here.

Doesn’t mean we shouldn’t talk about them…just means it sails past many

Are Disney fans watching commercials of apes and thinking: “that’s a Disney movie!!”

Likely no.

Now start a thread “how magical is port?” Or “mouse ear appreciation thread!!” And there will be a line for it
I believe @Casper Gutman’s point is that the topic most certainly would not have sailed by had the film done badly (or, by the same token, had it been a non-Disney studio profiting from it).
 

DKampy

Well-Known Member
I
I... don't know what any of this means, but to Mr. Gutman's observation, has anyone here actually seen it yet?

I've seen zero of the recent  Apes series, so don't personally have any plans for it.
i have seen it… It was ok… I didn’t love it….I have my theories what Casper was hinting at..as the film over performed it’s opening weekend projections
 

erasure fan1

Well-Known Member
I believe @Casper Gutman’s point is that the topic most certainly would not have sailed by had the film done badly (or, by the same token, had it been a non-Disney studio profiting from it).
It's just an easy way to say everyone's so anti Disney. I haven't seen it, and I probably won't see it because I've never been a fan of the apes movies. It's not done bad so far, and it has a good chance at making profit. It does seem like the budget was revised because I thought it was originally reported as 125/130mil. So now at 160/165mil, it's going need to be between 420 to 450 depending on marketing. We will see in a couple few weeks how it's trending.
There's usually a lot of chatter in this thread after a Disney film opens, but there's a real silence after Apes. Odd.
I know this is supposed to be a jab at the "Disney haters". But why aren't all the non haters talking about it? This seems to happen a lot around here. It's more of indictment on the so called fans. If people weren't talking about what went wrong with the movies, most of the topics would have just died off. Just look at mermaid. There were two threads, one for box-office and one to discuss the films content and story.... Care to guess what thread died almost instantly? Let's face it, nothing against apes but it's never really been a film that's garnered that much attention. They've done well and been consistent performers but they seem to come and go without a lot of fanfare.
 

Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
It's just an easy way to say everyone's so anti Disney. I haven't seen it, and I probably won't see it because I've never been a fan of the apes movies. It's not done bad so far, and it has a good chance at making profit. It does seem like the budget was revised because I thought it was originally reported as 125/130mil. So now at 160/165mil, it's going need to be between 420 to 450 depending on marketing. We will see in a couple few weeks how it's trending.

I know this is supposed to be a jab at the "Disney haters". But why aren't all the non haters talking about it? This seems to happen a lot around here. It's more of indictment on the so called fans. If people weren't talking about what went wrong with the movies, most of the topics would have just died off. Just look at mermaid. There were two threads, one for box-office and one to discuss the films content and story.... Care to guess what thread died almost instantly? Let's face it, nothing against apes but it's never really been a film that's garnered that much attention. They've done well and been consistent performers but they seem to come and go without a lot of fanfare.
The huge bulk of contentless posts, the bad faith, the willful (and often proud) ignorance, and most of all the steadfast refusal to engage in actual discussion of the industry in general and box office in particular that define this thread have pushed out all put a small number of posters, most of whom after the schadenfreude of seeing Disney fail.

This is one of only FIVE blockbuster Disney releases in 2024 and was correctly identified in this very thread as a major bellwether of Disney’s 2024 box office prospects. Its failure to feed a narrative, however, has resulted in silence. On it’s own, Ape’s success doesn’t prove that Disney has turned a box office corner - but the reaction goes some way to clarifying the intent of many of the regular posters here.
 

erasure fan1

Well-Known Member
Many, and perhaps most, of the posts in this thread are written by people who’ve never seen the films whose box-office performance they’re continually commenting on! That’s why the current silence is quite telling.
I get that. But it's not all that telling. If someone isn't going to see the film, and there isn't anything to talk about yet. Why would they talk about it? I gave it it's props, and I know others did too, but there isn't all that much to talk about right now. Sure it had a good start, from what I've seen most agreed. It's far from over though. Isn't this what you guys wanted? Would you rather everyone jump in with "it's far from it's 450mil goal, it's gonna be a huge flop!!!!?" I think not. So it seems just a bit poke the bear for the sake of poking the bear.
 

Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
People around here don’t care about Planet of the Apes the way they care about Disney animation or live action remakes of beloved classics. Or movies based on their favorite attraction. It’s pretty simple. The people who frequent these forums are indifferent towards Planet of the Apes.
Had it failed, they’d be VERY concerned.

Shall we go back through the thread and look at all the films that received pages and pages of discussion?
 

mickEblu

Well-Known Member
Had it failed, they’d be VERY concerned.

Shall we go back through the thread and look at all the films that received pages and pages of discussion?

Maybe but it’s a bad example as it’s not a property people care about. Come back with an example of people here being silent when a Disney live action remake or new animated movie kills it.

With what said I have no idea what’s going on with Planet of the Apes. Is it killing it at the box office? Getting praise from critics? I’ve never cared about the property. I think I liked one with James Franco from like 13 years ago.
 

DKampy

Well-Known Member
I get that. But it's not all that telling. If someone isn't going to see the film, and there isn't anything to talk about yet. Why would they talk about it? I gave it it's props, and I know others did too, but there isn't all that much to talk about right now. Sure it had a good start, from what I've seen most agreed. It's far from over though. Isn't this what you guys wanted? Would you rather everyone jump in with "it's far from it's 450mil goal, it's gonna be a huge flop!!!!?" I think not. So it seems just a bit poke the bear for the sake of poking the bear.
That’s never stoped people from posting daily updates on films that didn’t succeed… they have not seen…repeating the stuff day after day
 

erasure fan1

Well-Known Member
On it’s own, Ape’s success doesn’t prove that Disney has turned a box office corner - but the reaction goes some way to clarifying the intent of many of the regular posters here.
Like I said to Buford, It had a good start, that has been acknowledged by most, even the "bad faith" posters. But we'll see how it continues, hopefully it stays strong. But as of now, there's not a lot to talk about.
 

Minnesota disney fan

Well-Known Member
Maybe but it’s a bad example as it’s not a property people care about. Come back with an example of people here being silent when a Disney live action remake or new animated movie kills it.

With what said I have no idea what’s going on with Planet of the Apes. Is it killing it at the box office? Getting praise from critics? I’ve never cared about the property. I think I liked one with James Franco from like 13 years ago.
One possible answer might be that the old Apes movies were done many years ago. No one remembers them. I watched them when they came out, but after watching some of the old ones on TV recently, I find I am not interested in them anymore. I really thought I would be going to the theatre to watch this one, but I find I just have no interest anymore. It was a very long time ago that those movies were popular. Just another thought on why the silence.
 

Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
The fact that there’s only “something to talk about” when a Disney film flops is incredibly telling. It’s also clearly wrong. For people actually interested in the industry and its box office patterns during a period of unprecedented tumult, every data point is interesting, and Apes is a provocative one. In an unstable market, why did Apes thrive? Why was it a hit while the equally well reviewed Fall Guy failed? Why is the modern Apes franchise such a consistent performer, financially and critically? What does the success of Apes and Dune say about the box office prospects of mature sci-fi? Is this a trend or a fluke? Did the fact that Apes is less immediately associated with the Disney brand contribute to its success, and if so what does that mean? To be glib, why do big monkey movies seem to be the most reliable box office performers in 2024?

Of course, if a posters goal is trolling, not discussion, I understand why these topics might not appeal.
 

erasure fan1

Well-Known Member
Maybe but it’s a bad example as it’s not a property people care about. Come back with an example of people here being silent when a Disney live action remake or new animated movie kills it.
That's the thing, nothing has killed it in the last few years. Guardians did well and was praised pretty heavily. But in no way did it kill it. It's not silent as it's made out to be. If there's not enough discussions on apes, where are all the supporters who have seen it? Nows their chance to discuss while all the haters are so silent.
 

erasure fan1

Well-Known Member
The fact that there’s only “something to talk about” when a Disney film flops is incredibly telling.
Well unfortunately there hasn't been a whole lot of non flops to talk about over the years. So we really don't have a lot of options.
every data point is interesting, and Apes is a provocative one. In an unstable market, why did Apes thrive?
Again, it had a good start. It's a bit early to say thrive. I hope it does, they kept the budget within reason and it still looks good from an effects standpoint. It also doesn't seem to have overspent on the marketing. So that would be a great turnaround if it can get over $450mil to make a profit.
What does the success of Apes and Dune say about the box office prospects of mature sci-fi? Is this a trend or a fluke? Did the fact that Apes is less immediately associated with the Disney brand contribute to its success, and if so what does that mean? To be glib, why do big monkey movies seem to be the most reliable box office performers in 2024?
Now that's a great discussion. Don't you think that would have been a better discussion to start than the passive aggressive jab at the "haters"? And it wasn't even accurate really because just the page before there was examples debunking your claims.
 

WoundedDreamer

Well-Known Member
Had it failed, they’d be VERY concerned.

Shall we go back through the thread and look at all the films that received pages and pages of discussion?
I'm not convinced it's doing very well. All indications are that its final worldwide gross will be in the mid $300 millions. Its inflation-adjusted domestic gross is the weakest in the reboot franchise. Its opening was down film over film in markets around the world. This seems like a franchise that is fading. Its streaming numbers might perform well, but I don't think this is one to get triumphant over from a box office perspective.

Rise of the Planet of the Apes- ~$671 Million
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes- ~$940 Million
War for the Planet of the Apes- ~$620 Million

I think this film is going to struggle to reach $400 Million, but even if it does it will still be performing vastly worse than any other film in the reboot franchise. If someone is looking for another Disney failure, I think this would be a good example. If I were trying to point to an upcoming film that I expect to really energize audiences, it would have to be Deadpool 3. I'd be surprised if that doesn't cross the billion mark.
 

Stripes

Premium Member
If I were trying to point to an upcoming film that I expect to really energize audiences, it would have to be Deadpool 3. I'd be surprised if that doesn't cross the billion mark.
It would be the first Deadpool film to cross $1 billion and there’s a lot of overlap between Wolverine and Deadpool fans. I think there’s a lot of fan expectation that Deadpool 3 will cross $1 billion and I’m not sure it’s justified.

Apes is doing well and it’s a great film. It’s a better movie than Fall Guy, in my opinion.

Fall Guy was fun and silly but that’s the end of the good things I have to say about it.
 

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