News UBS: WDW Attendance Predicted to Recover in 2023

[SirLink]

No, the SA is not stronger, the British varients may be but that’s not proven yet.

Not true at all PHE have found data to suggest the opposite.

 

[Touchdown]

Not true at all PHE have found data to suggest the opposite.

That’s not what they said today

 

[SirLink]

Once again, false. Viruses propagate by natural selection — and natural selection favors weaker viruses. (viruses that nobody will work hard to prevent from spreading). Of course there will sometimes be more dangerous mutations. But as we saw with the 1918 flu, less dangerous forms became dominant in just a few years, not hundreds.

Yes, lock downs and other measures can certainly eradicate Covid 19 faster. But it’s also true that with a high enough vaccination rate, and improved therapies, the dangers of Covid 19 will dissipate.
Even without those things, natural immunity and mutation would eventually kick in. Though it depends on whether Covid is truly pandemic like the Spanish flu, or endemic like the measles.

Assuming worst case scenario — measles comparison, measles vaccines are about 80% effective. And wide use of the measles vaccine has essentially eradicated measles in North America. And measles are far worse than Covid.

There is no “only way” here. It’s a combination of measures. How well we execute those measures will go along way towards how fast we can normalize.

Thing is your thinking this as a seasonal flu which it is not it is much worse is viral pneumonia. So you spread the disease before your hospitalised. With the vaccines we know that some from the clinical have stopped severe symptoms from 90% to 100%, but unless we have evidence of those vaccines reducing transmissions by at least 80% we should not be encouraging any form of global travel.

 

[SirLink]

That’s not what they said today

No more severe than the Kent variant which the data has showed is more deadlier by 30%

 

[havoc315]

Thing is your thinking this as a seasonal flu which it is not it is much worse is viral pneumonia. So you spread the disease before your hospitalised. With the vaccines we know that some from the clinical have stopped severe symptoms from 90% to 100%, but unless we have evidence of those vaccines reducing transmissions by at least 80% we should not be encouraging any form of global travel.

That’s not what I said... and you’re just making up numbers.

Unnecessary travel should not be encouraged to/from any place with active pandemic.
When there is not active pandemic, you travel. If we can end the pandemic with a 65% effective vaccine... if we can end it with better medical therapies.. Doesn’t really matter how we end it. As long as we end it.

 

[James J]

No more severe than the Kent variant which the data has showed is more deadlier by 30%

It's still not been confirmed, only that it 'could' or 'may' be up to 30% deadlier. The studies are still ongoing.