disneytopdog
Active Member
What are peoples exprience with the crowd projections on the touring plans website? How accurate are they? The calendar shows 4's and 6's on the weekdays that I am there.
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Touring Plans Crowd Calendar
- Thread starter disneytopdog
- Start date
disney4life2008
Well-Known Member
Touring Plans is normally right on with their predictions. However, I would not use the site as the bible of Disneyworld - go with the parks on the days that you feel comfortable with using Touring Plans as a guide. Their crowd calendar is the best, anything less than a 5 means that the wait times will be minimal. They also have an attractions list by hour of the day that is great to print out and put in your pocket for each park. I will be using them next week. Great website!!!
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Heres what I find odd about their predictions. The Sunday after Thanksgiving11/29 is rated a 4. The Monday after Thanksgiving11/30 is rated as 6. Then Tuesday is a 4, Wednesday is a 6, Thursday is a 4. Logically you would think the Sunday after Thanksgiving would be more crowded then the Monday when everyone returns home from holiday. But it is not according to the numbers. Then to go from a 4 to a 6 on a Wednesday. Am I just reading too much into this?
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Pumbas Nakasak
Heading for the great escape.
I thought they were well off for the Thanksgiving Week of last year. Sort of put us off as we had believed the accuracy of their info.
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lentesta
Premium Member
Hey folks,
If you want to post questions and comments about the crowd calendar on the crowd calendar's blog posts, someone from the TP.com team will probably answer it.
disneytopdog, there are posts in the blog that address the accuracy of the calendar. Those include both when we're spot on, and when we're off. I think one of the things that makes our crowd calendar different from everyone else who does this, is that we go back and check whether our projections are correct, and we post the results. No one else does this.
Pumbas Nakasak, I'd be interested in hearing more about your experience last Thanksgiving.
Thanks!
Len
If you want to post questions and comments about the crowd calendar on the crowd calendar's blog posts, someone from the TP.com team will probably answer it.
disneytopdog, there are posts in the blog that address the accuracy of the calendar. Those include both when we're spot on, and when we're off. I think one of the things that makes our crowd calendar different from everyone else who does this, is that we go back and check whether our projections are correct, and we post the results. No one else does this.
Pumbas Nakasak, I'd be interested in hearing more about your experience last Thanksgiving.
Thanks!
Len
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Pumbas Nakasak
Heading for the great escape.
The thing that springs to mind immediately as being worse was AK on the Wed, day prior to Thanksgiving, by mid day most attractions were being posted at 90 mins plus and the park felt too crowded to move. I cant remember what exactly was forecast as I have now binned the spread sheet I had for last year but it was a bit of a downer as Im sure it was 40 - 60, .
We were staying at the Hard Rock for the previous few days and the valets had said that theyd heard it was very busy at WDW, and I felt it was busier than early August when we would normaly go, and I didnt notice a drop the week after that I have read so much about.
I could be wrong but I felt that the forecast was about 15 -20 mins out, and Im trying to discount the day at the Magic Kingdom when Big Thunder, Splash and haunted Mansion were all down at the same time, as I know thats bound to throw things off. I accept that some of it is mind set but tpo me there is a maked shift between a 40 min wait and 60. But it may be we set ourselves up to be dissapointed by looking at attendance and wait times and expecting less crowds than August was a mistake.
We were staying at the Hard Rock for the previous few days and the valets had said that theyd heard it was very busy at WDW, and I felt it was busier than early August when we would normaly go, and I didnt notice a drop the week after that I have read so much about.
I could be wrong but I felt that the forecast was about 15 -20 mins out, and Im trying to discount the day at the Magic Kingdom when Big Thunder, Splash and haunted Mansion were all down at the same time, as I know thats bound to throw things off. I accept that some of it is mind set but tpo me there is a maked shift between a 40 min wait and 60. But it may be we set ourselves up to be dissapointed by looking at attendance and wait times and expecting less crowds than August was a mistake.
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lentesta
Premium Member
Ah, thanks. Two things to note: that the calendar uses the peak wait times at the Magic Kingdom as its scale; and it's not meant to translate to other parks.
The reason for that is that, to this point, we've wanted to avoid getting thousands of questions about why one park's peak waits were substantially different from another. That would entail explaining everything from ride capacity to how Extra Magic Hours work, essentially every day of the year.
Thanks again for the response. Drop me a line if there's ever any trip planning we can help with.
Len
The reason for that is that, to this point, we've wanted to avoid getting thousands of questions about why one park's peak waits were substantially different from another. That would entail explaining everything from ride capacity to how Extra Magic Hours work, essentially every day of the year.
Thanks again for the response. Drop me a line if there's ever any trip planning we can help with.
Len
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erstwo
Well-Known Member
I would actually agree because Most (not all of course) people LEAVE on Sunday. They travel home to be at work bright and early on Monday, so they aren't going to the parks on Sunday.
Monday would be a little more crowded because people might arrive on a Sunday (only to depart the next Sunday) and Monday would be their first day in the parks.
I will say we experienced this first hand last December. Sunday was the best day at the Magic Kingdom ever - walk on to everything! Yay! We're testing it out again this weekend. We arrive tomorrow and Sunday will be our first day in the parks.
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disney4life2008
Well-Known Member
I really do not use their crowd numbers because they want you to avoid the parks on EMHs day. I use the cheat sheats and the preplanned guides (they are phenomenal). As a single traveler, I can cover a lot of ground.
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luvlifeinfl
New Member
BUt would EMH be taken in consideration? the reason i ask we arrive on the 21st and plan to go to the MK on the 22nd. On touringplans they stated to avoid the MK on the 22nd, but they also state to avoid parks w/ EMH.
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disney4life2008
Well-Known Member
They always state to avoid the park with EMHs. Mainly because it will be crowded. However, evening EMHs at MK are great! If you are talking about November 22, the park closes at 3am that night and I will be there!
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I am not putting that much into it. I am also doing a solo trip so the single rider lines will be my friend
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erstwo
Well-Known Member
Oooooo..... that's Christmas time. :xmas:
All bets are off at Christmas. I'll bet it's just like when we went at Easter. You consult Touring Plans, say a prayer and hope for the best! :lol:
Seriously though, we haven't really ever considered EMH, but our "Sunday" experience most likely had to do with the time of year we went, rather than what day of the week it was.
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disney4life2008
Well-Known Member
As a solo, I can give you 3 pieces of advice:
1) Arrive at the theme parks no later than 45 minutes before posted opening time
2) Extra MORNING hours are your friend at Epcot and HS. You can knock out the main attractions by 9am (depending on time of year)
3) Follow the Touring Plans Cheat Sheets. They are the perfect pocket guide for what to avoid during certain times.
My last solo trip, I was complete with AK, HS and Epcot (Future World) by 2pm. MK is a little different - you really have to be prepared for anything. Sometimes TP is spot on and other times, they miss the mark. I take their suggestions and just cover as much ground as I can. With MK, Evening Extra Magic Hours are your BEST FRIEND!
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Lisalyn
Well-Known Member
I remember when I went at Thanksgiving last year the touring plans numbers were sitting at 8's (if I remember correctly!) Anyways, they seemed to be dead on...it was busy! Enough said! lol And I remember that AK day that the gentleman "above" was referring too..holy cow! LOL Wait times were crazy but expected 
It's all in how you plan your day. Regarding MK though, all bets are OFF! It seems that park is just going to be packed no matter what time of the year it is nor time of day...
OK One week till take off:sohappy: Need to get off these boards (they are SO addicting!! LOL) and start PACKING!
It's all in how you plan your day. Regarding MK though, all bets are OFF! It seems that park is just going to be packed no matter what time of the year it is nor time of day...OK One week till take off:sohappy: Need to get off these boards (they are SO addicting!! LOL) and start PACKING!
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wvdisneyfamily
Well-Known Member
I read everything about Disney World I can get my hands on. I also listen to a lot of advice. Then I do what I want anyway. At least my decisions (however bad they may be) are well informed ones. :ROFLOL:
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Jerm
Well-Known Member
I have used the tourplan.com site a few times and have to say it does help. I went in Feb to do all the attractions in all 4 of the parks in 4 1/2 days and the tourplan site did help a lot! I also helped a friend in early september and used the site and she said she had hardly a wait for anything!
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