lazyboy97o
Well-Known Member
But most people visiting the Tokyo Disney Resort are not park hopping due to the high number of day visitors and park hopping being limited.
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TEA Attendance Report Now due June 3rd
- Thread starter PhotoDave219
- Start date
Uhhhhhh I've said since April not to expect a Star Wars announcement until after the movie comes out.
But thanks for trolling. Via con Dios.
asianway
Well-Known Member
There's no need - plenty to do
lazyboy97o
Well-Known Member
I wasn't saying anything otherwise, but the ticket policies mean there is less impact on numbers due to how park hopping can be counted.
Looking at Frozen.... That totally caused an attendance boost.
Second half 14 was up 13% in the above average (6+) crowds over the same time period in 2013. Attendance shifted upwards as the off-peak crowds dropped 13% Peak crowds up 9% over 2014.
But when the first half was such a nightmare.... First half, above average crowds were down 17%. Peak crowds down 13%. Anything considered a 3/4/5 grew by 25%.
I need an intern to make charts. Sheesh.
ThemeParkJunkee
Well-Known Member
@PhotoDave219 , I'm nowhere near you but I like charts. Check out the Excel tutorial. If you're not semi-retired like me, then don't.
So this is the year as a Whole at DHS looked at by Crowd Levels for 2014, split by the Six Months with and Without Frozen as an addition to the Park. (Obviously Everything 1-5 is Average & Below Crowd, 6+ is Above Average Crowd.) This is the number of days the crowd was observed to be at that level.
The crowd completely shifted to the right and got larger with Frozen's addition. More above average crowds and more peak crowds after Frozen than before.
So what does this show us? That while Frozen boosted the second half of 2014, there was a lot to make up for in that the first half of 2014 was awful.
ThemeParkJunkee
Well-Known Member
Yay! Charts!
But seriously, "Frozen" was the only reason DHS would have gotten a boost. Many visitors just skip this park and also, sometimes, AK.
But seriously, "Frozen" was the only reason DHS would have gotten a boost. Many visitors just skip this park and also, sometimes, AK.
DAK showed better performance vs 2013 than Epcot.
ThemeParkJunkee
Well-Known Member
Even with F&W and F&G and upcharge Illuminations events and.....
The data doesnt cover the F&W/F&G crowd. As pointed out by others, its based off wait times and unfortunately those cant be measured. So thats a flaw in the system, but I'm just trying to paint a picture.
Okay, This is the last I'm picking on the Studios for tonight. 2013 vs 2014 crowd distribution.
(Sorry Studios CMs and Fans. You deserve better.)
Even though the previous chart says DHS had a kickass second half as compared to the first, We're showing little-to-darn-little growth. The off-peak crowds shifted to merely average crowds. Doesn't have any growth on the number of above average crowds that occurred.
So if there is any growth, its darn small.
ThemeParkJunkee
Well-Known Member
We will need to compare the TEA numbers (annual) with your numbers (daily) and try to learn more. It is always good to get validation of our intuitions. The unknown factor is the issue of pent up demand in the vacation sector. A WDW vacation for many is NOT annual. With improved means, additional discounts and offerings, attendance is going up. While I don't consider any actual numbers as accurate, I consider year to year comparisons to be telling.
The Walt Disney World Crowd Distribution for the entire resort.
Fewer off/peak crowds (left side) and much more average-to-above average crowd levels. Shows a bit of growth and a little bit of crowd balancing. (Tho crowd balancing isn't holding true for Jan-Mar 15)
ThemeParkJunkee
Well-Known Member
Thanks Dave, explains the differences in my October trips year to year.
So this is essentially the most basic comparison I can think of to show growth and visualized. Average & Below days vs Above Average Days. You show growth there, you're going to have an increase.
What Magic Kingdom is showing us is that the below & above average crowds switched basically. Was MK busy last year? You betcha. There's significant growth at MK, IMO and its pretty evident.
hopemax
Well-Known Member
Oh yay, fun charts! So for more fun lets add some pretend numbers
So assume 1/2 represents a 18,000 day, 3 23,000, 4/5 28,000, 6/7, 33,000 and 8+ 41,000.
So sum of: # of days * # of people
107*18,000 + 40*23000 + 77*28,000 +85*33,000 + 56*41,000 = 10,103,000. Reported attendance was 10,110,000, so in the ballpark, but may not be accurate.
Then same thing for 2014
74*18,000 + 50*23,000 +108*28,000 + 85*33,000 + 48*41000 = 10,279,000
So 1.74% increase (between my numbers, not using the TEA one). Would love to know what the park actually pulls on a 1/2 day vs a 8+ and how I should adjust those attendance numbers. Between the data you have and that, we could get really good at this prediction thing.
Last Chart for the night.
Here's the Dead Season. We're looking at WDW as a whole and MK's crowd level from Mid August until Mid October.
I included MK on this to illustrate when the Hard Ticket events are. Those random spikes straight up? Day following a HTE.
Edit: @ThemeParkJunkee, there's your dead season.
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Yes and No....
I'm looking at the growth of above average crowds as an indicator of whether a park grew as a whole. Simplistic, I know, but its the best indicator I can come up with simply.
So if the above average crowds for DAK is 7% more for 2014 vs 2013, I'm suggesting DAK grew around that and then multiplying the growth vs 2013.
Extrapolate the way you want, I'm not ready to go out on a limb and say what a crowd level means beyond a 5. Using that estimate, a 5 would be 27,698 for the Studios., so right around what you're suggesting.
Pretty much in line with what I'm suggesting. Absolutely Flat at DHS.
