After reading people's experience with refresh v. restart and my own experience, I've seen that both methods can inexplicably fail.
Therefore, until very extensive record keeping is done with controlled variables that prove otherwise, I've determined that:
- It doesn't matter whether you restart or refresh.
- What matters is hitting the button and 'pinging into the server' at the right time to beat others to a lower group.
- And since so many other people are doing the same thing at the same time, you may not get a low group.
- And the 'pinging in' may completely fail, regardless if you refresh or restarted from scratch (see #3).
- Having more people in your group increases the chance that one of you will not have a failed pinging in, and will grab a lower BG number.
Everything else is just confirmation bias and a product of variable reinforcement and magical thinking where people think that random stuff they're doing has an effect on an outcome which, in reality, it doesn't. Sorry... that's just the way higher level vertebrates try to make sense of the world.
I mean, it's good to experiment and create theories and test them. But in the end, one has to be able to let go of theories if they're not always working.
I have spoken.