To elaborate on this, if an executive says this project isn't over budget I say that person is a liar, and I don't need insider information or a legitimate news source to be able to say this. Strong words maybe, but while it is true that a project can be over-budget yet still be on time, I have never heard of a project of any kind that was significantly late yet without "significant" cost overruns (but I'd sure love to hear an example if anyone has one).
But which budget? This year's budget? Last year's budget? The original budget? The R&D budget? The budget for Operations? The budget that included all the features that were descoped because of overruns elsewhere?
When Brooks Barnes wrote for
The New York Times:
"Seated in his office at Disney headquarters in Burbank, Calif., a smiling Mr. Staggs dismissed such chatter. He said that the initiative had stayed within budget."
Barnes accurately reported Staggs' response.
As a seasoned senior executive with numerous public speaking appearances under his belt, Staggs would know exactly what he could say without opening up the company to a lawsuit for making materially false statements to stockholders. Staggs would have had a specific budget in mind and, for
that budget, the program would have been “within budget”.
Most budgets are based on their similarity to other projects. Those who generate accurate budgets do so usually because what's being estimated is similar to something they've done in the past.
In the case of NextGen, we have to give Disney credit for coming up with something that was significantly different than previous projects.
However, that also means that it was extremely difficult to accurately estimate.
As others have suggested, few projects of this magnitude adhere to their
original budgets. It should surprise no one that NextGen is over its original budget while simultaneously under-delivering on content.
NextGen is behind schedule. A project simply does not overrun schedule without also overrunning budget.