Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
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I'm sure we will have enough significant data to say either way it's a thing or not. From personal experience there is pent up demand to travel in general. It's not just Disney. I look at National parks and how booked up they are this summer. Same with a lot of regional parks.
I was just at Cedar Point last week and I have never seen it that busy for May before. I have been going there for years in May as it's usually a slower time. I do think there is a lot of pent up demand for travel in general right now. How long that will remain to be seen especially if gas prices and prices in general stay the way they are.
Right, I struggle to envision a scenario where business travel ever returns to the way we knew it even five years ago. Yes, some work must be done face to face, but companies can save so much money via video chat. Most of them stubbornly refused to acknowledge that before the pandemic. Now that they know, I just don't see them going back.Yes. I am not sure how many businesses can justify maxed-out business trips in the age of Zoom/Webex. It will be interesting to see the long term viability of those industries (certain airlines, convention centers, hotels that cater to that sort of thing) vs those built around recreation.
This was an exceptional post. Thank you!I’m fascinated by this discussion. As I said a few days ago, I think anecdotal perceptions of “busyness” or crowds are more a reflection that the businesses can’t fully staff, so while they’re capped out (on flights, at restaurants, in parks) they’re taking on less customers than they could otherwise that if they were fully staffed.
Some interesting metrics. First, the TSA year by year comparison (for certain dates) of travel. As you can see, we’re not yet near the 2019 numbers of flyers-per-day. In fact, there appear to be another 400K or so more fliers on a given day in 2022 than in 2021. I would expect a lot more, honestly. Now, is the shortfall a reduction of business travelers vs vacationers? No way of knowing.
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Next, here’s an article re hotel occupancy in larger cities. They were predicting a rebound, but no where near the 2019 levels.
https://nypost.com/2022/04/20/nyc-hotel-and-tourism-business-has-long-road-to-recovery-study/amp/
Cleveland.com was saying last month that Top Thrill Dragster's fate is in the air. That would blow my mind, but after what happened last year, maybe they've decided they cannot maintain it safely.since they're down Top Thrill Dragster and Wicked Twister
Wow - you're welcome!This was an exceptional post. Thank you!
Cleveland.com was saying last month that Top Thrill Dragster's fate is in the air. That would blow my mind, but after what happened last year, maybe they've decided they cannot maintain it safely.
No thanks -- I don't have to.
There's a graphic in the post above.To some extent it depends how one defines 'pre-pandemic levels.'
How do we compare 2022 to prior years? What prior years or range of prior years?
Uh, duh, thanks for pointing out the obvious, but that still doesn't answer my question because the graph only shows # of TSA screenings for 2019-2022. It is far from a complete answer to your original question.There's a graphic in the post above.
All of 2019 was a full pre-pandemic year. I don't see why that isn't good pre-pandemic statistics.Uh, duh, thanks for pointing out the obvious, but that still doesn't answer my question because the graph only shows # of TSA screenings for 2019-2022. It is far from a complete answer to your original question.
That graph is only useful if you are randomly defining 2019 = a standard of measure for the very vague term, "normal year."
But 2019 was not a normal year if you look at ANY other years.
On top of that, the above graphic only shows TSA screenings. The number of TSA screenings only tells a portion of the story. For example, it doesn't tell anything about the distance they are traveling. Nor does it show anything at all about other modes of travel: car, bus, train.
I could go on....
I think you missed the point. I didn't say the graph was inaccurate. I said 'normal' is a subjective term. To measure anything, you need to define a standard of measure.All of 2019 was a full pre-pandemic year. I don't see why that isn't good pre-pandemic statistics.
Looks like there was a 2-4% increase each year leading up to 2019.I think you missed the point. I didn't say the graph was inaccurate. I said 'normal' is a subjective term. To measure anything, you need to define a standard of measure.
2019 was pre-pandemic, but we don't know that 2019 was a normal travel year, because we have not defined 'normal.' From what I have read, 2019 was an above-average travel year.
If you want to say the USA is back to normal, or not back to normal, so be it.
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