My guess is that things reopening are beholden to him, and I would think that things would not change as long as he is around. Mind you, I would like to be mistaken in this case. Like I said, until/unless he comes out and says something, or at the very least, hints at it, neither of which he has done (yet), I'm going to have to assume nothing has changed. To that end, I'm going to assume, until further notice, that he will be recalled before things reopen.
The expected Election is August through October, depending on how long the process takes... (Editing out some text to leave the main process and dates).
>>Dates and Deadlines
1. The minimum number of valid signatures required to qualify the recall is 1,495,709 (12% of the 12,464,235 votes cast in the last election for Governor). Valid signatures must be obtained from at least five counties and in each of those counties must equal at least 1% of the last vote for Governor.
2. Date proponent may begin circulating petitions. Wednesday, June 10, 2020
3. Last date for proponent to circulate petition and file with county elections officials. .Wednesday, March 17, 2021
4. Each county elections official must report to the Secretary of State 30 days after a recall has been initiated (Wednesday, June 10, 2020) and every 30 days thereafter all of the following:
1) the number of signatures submitted during that 30-day period ending five days previously, excluding Saturdays, Sundays, and holidays;
2) the cumulative total of all signatures received since the initiation of the recall through the period ending five days previously, excluding Saturdays, Sundays, and holidays;
3) the number of valid signatures, verified pursuant to Section 11104(b), submitted during the previous reporting period, and of valid signatures verified during the current reporting period; and
4) the cumulative total of all valid signatures that have been verified since the initiation of the recall and ending five days previously, excluding Saturdays, Sundays, and holidays.
5. When the Secretary of State notifies county elections officials that more than 149,571 signatures have been filed pursuant to Section 11104(d), the county elections officials will have 30 business days to verify all signatures filed in their office as of that date. After each examination, the county elections official is required to certify the results and submit a blank copy of the petition to the Secretary of State.
6. The Secretary of State must maintain a continuous count of the signatures certified by county elections officials.
7. Last day county elections officials may certify the results of their verification of signatures to the Secretary of State. - Thursday, April 29, 2021
8. Within 10 days of receiving certifications from one or more county elections officials indicating that a sufficient number of registered voters signed the petition to initiate a recall election, the Secretary of State shall notify each county elections official. (§ 11108(a)) Note: With this notification to the county elections officials, the Secretary of State will provide a calendar setting forth the specific dates related to the following events detailed below.
9. Supplemental signature withdrawal period: Within 30 business days of the Secretary of State’s notice, as set forth in Item 8 above, any voter who has signed the petition may withdraw his or her name from the recall petition. (§ 11108(b))
10.No later than 10 business days after the supplemental signature withdrawal period, the county elections officials must report the total number of signatures withdrawn to the Secretary of State. (§ 11108(c))
11.Following receipt of the county elections officials’ reports of withdrawn signatures, the Secretary of State must determine if the petition has the requisite number of valid signatures to initiate a recall election and, if so, notify the Department of Finance of the results. If the petition does not have the requisite number of valid signature, the Secretary of State must notify the county elections officials that they must continue to verify signatures; however, this is dependent on a number of factual scenarios such as, if there are additional signatures to verify and whether the circulation period has ended. (§ 11108(c))
12.Upon notification by the Secretary of State that the petition has the requisite number of valid signatures to initiate a recall the Department of Finance shall, in consultation with the affected county elections officials and the Secretary of State, estimate the costs of the recall election and submit this estimate to the Chairperson of the Joint Legislative Budget Committee, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, and the Secretary of State. (§ 11108(d))
13.The Joint Legislative Budget Committee then has 30 days to review and comment on the estimate provided to them by the Department of Finance.
14.Upon the expiration of the Joint Legislative Budget Committee’s 30-day review and comment period, the Secretary of State shall certify to the Governor, Lieutenant Governor that the proponents have submitted a sufficient number of valid signatures to qualify the recall for the ballot. (§§ 11108(e), 11109)
15.The Lieutenant Governor is required to call a recall election to be held not less than 60 days nor more than 80 days from the date of certification of sufficient signatures. << (Removed the 180 day option, as it isn't feasible in this recall).
