News Reedy Creek Improvement District and the Central Florida Tourism Oversight District

[Touchdown]

The injunction wouldn't prevent the district from operating... it would constrain their actions - most probably around the actions defined in the contracts in dispute. And considering the new board is already in place and has already transitioned, it's unlikely the court would force them to go back in time and put the old board back. At best you might get some sort of receivership/proxy leadership while it's in dispute. But I think even that is far-fetched. I would expect any injunction to scope just the board from messing with the existing land management plan and force them not to pass any new resolutions that would be considered targeting disney specifically.

The court isn't going to shutdown the government - it will find some sustaining operating point if it got involved at this point.

I imagine they would have to follow the “illegal contract” to its letter until the case is settled giving Disney status quo.

 

[RamblinWreck]

So clearly the things being alleged by Disney are true.

But what are their chances of actually winning?

 

[V.i.n.c.e.n.t.]

To be fair no one who needed to see it reads the Orlando Sentinel, maybe they should have noticed it on Fox News or OAN

Most people who say they are boycotting Disney have never gone and never planned on ever going. They are just trying to score facebook points.

 

[Figgy1]

The injunction wouldn't prevent the district from operating... it would constrain their actions - most probably around the actions defined in the contracts in dispute. And considering the new board is already in place and has already transitioned, it's unlikely the court would force them to go back in time and put the old board back. At best you might get some sort of receivership/proxy leadership while it's in dispute. But I think even that is far-fetched. I would expect any injunction to scope just the board from messing with the existing land management plan and force them not to pass any new resolutions that would be considered targeting disney specifically.

The court isn't going to shutdown the government - it will find some sustaining operating point if it got involved at this point.

I didn't mean they would be shut down but their actions/spending could be constrained to what RC was spending on

 

[Brian]

The administration yes, the 800 per hour lawyers not so much

They're clearly not in charge of much of anything, at least until now.

 

[tissandtully]

So clearly the things being alleged by Disney are true.

But what are their chances of actually winning?

Facts are usually a key point to win cases soo...

 

[flynnibus]

I didn't mean they would be shut down but their actions/spending could be constrained to what RC was spending on

But constraining what you can spend on is in effect, a yoke on operating.

Even a criminal defendant accused of stealing money is given opportunity to manage their money, including possibly money in dispute.

 

[BuzzedPotatoHead89]

So clearly the things being alleged by Disney are true.

But what are their chances of actually winning?

As a general rule of thumb corporate legal departments in Fortune 500 companies will usually not recommend bringing litigation unless there is at least an over 50% estimated chance at ultimate success as determined/vetted by outside counsel.

 

[Kamikaze]

So clearly the things being alleged by Disney are true.

But what are their chances of actually winning?

95%.

There's always a chance things go the other way in court, but this case is extremely cut and dry.

They have literal published quotes saying that the Company was targeted because of its (protected) speech. That's a clear 1A violation.

 

[RamblinWreck]

Facts are usually a key point to win cases soo...

Well they can be right about all the facts and the law may still not apply or provide any substantive relief.

 

[GBAB1973]

This won't be the last time DeSantis gets dunked on by potential Republican candidates over this. And if he starts taking losses in court as this thing works it's way through to conclusion, it's going to be a field day for people like Haley and Scott and Trump and whomever else jumps in.

 

[RamblinWreck]

As a general rule of thumb corporate legal departments in Fortune 500 companies will usually not recommend bringing litigation unless there is at least an over 50% estimated chance at ultimate success as determined/vetted by outside counsel.

Might that math change when you also have a vested interest in making sure the guy you are suing doesn’t become president?

 

[Andrew C]

This won't be the last time DeSantis gets dunked on by potential Republican candidates over this. And if he starts taking losses in court as this thing works it's way through to conclusion, it's going to be a field day for people like Haley and Scott and Trump and whomever else jumps in.

As it should honestly. There is a party nomination up for grabs.

 

[Figgy1]

But constraining what you can spend on is in effect, a yoke on operating.

Even a criminal defendant accused of stealing money is given opportunity to manage their money, including possibly money in dispute.

So if/when Disney wins can they sue the state for what the board spend on this suit? Is this part of what they're requesting in monitory damages/legal fees

 

[RamblinWreck]

95%.

There's always a chance things go the other way in court, but this case is extremely cut and dry.

They have literal published quotes saying that the Company was targeted because of its (protected) speech. That's a clear 1A violation.

Didn’t a court rule that the DA DeSantis canned had his first amendment rights violated, and then did nothing about it?

 

[Figgy1]

Might that math change when you also have a vested interest in making sure the guy you are suing doesn’t become president?

No, it would require a higher percentage of success

 

[flynnibus]

So if/when Disney wins can they sue the state for what the board spend on this suit? Is this part of what they're requesting in monitory damages/legal fees

they aren't calling for monetary damages based on the board's actions... (including raising their taxes) -- Just their legal expenses and whatever the judge may feel fit

 

[BuzzedPotatoHead89]

Might that math change when you also have a vested interest in making sure the guy you are suing doesn’t become president?

I’d estimate given the very apparent high profile nature of the circumstances that the TWDC legal team took a conservative approach to calculations of litigation risk so my personal estimate is that the approximated percentage of success is even higher. I have no insider knowledge of how TWDC legal department games this out though.

 

[flynnibus]

Didn’t a court rule that the DA DeSantis canned had his first amendment rights violated, and then did nothing about it?

Yes, but because they argued it was a firing he would have done anyway (without the 1A issue).

They don't have that same argument here as they have even admitted they didn't care about RCID until it became a woke battle.

 

[JAB]

While it might be just an empty PR gesture from someone with national political aspirations, it's still interesting to see that more and more of the GOP is throwing DeSantis under the bus.