Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
FP favors one particular type of guest though and that 11 to noon was not sustainable. On busy days I saw rides gone by 9am. Sure, early in the life of FP you could still get stuff as late as 4 or 5 but each year that time crept lower as attendance continued to rise. Every additional person coming in using FP was reducing how long they were available forcing more people to go early which caused them to run out earlier. It was a self-sustaining cycle.
From 2012 when FP+ was first introduced to the last full year before the pandemic the Magic Kingdom saw a 20% increase in park goers and it was going to hit the point that unless you were there first thing in the morning you got nothing but most certainly not the most popular rides if they had still been on FP.
Also, G+ isn't much of a gamble. SDD might be the only ride that regularly disappears quickly and even with that I regularly get slots waking up at 8 or 9 and just grabbing one for late in the day.
Now if we are talking VQ rides then sure, those are a measure of your phone and finger speed.
He estimated the numbers based on data he and his team collected combined with public information that was available and statements from Disney. A conversation(s) with Disney people who would know more or less verified his numbers. If I remember correctly, Len was even a bit on the low side with his estimates.
Fastpass avail crept lower overtime because attendance rose without new capacity
Their ride management system is using designs from the 90’s with the same capacity as the 90’s. It’s 20% short at a minimum