Look at my screen name. I prefer the Bay Area to my hometown.
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News Major Hurricane Dorian impacts to Walt Disney World 2019
- Thread starter monothingie
- Start date
Look at my screen name. I prefer the Bay Area to my hometown.
beertiki
Well-Known Member
The Weather Channel is a joke because they have been exposed for having reporters standing in a ditch to make the water look deeper, dramatically leaning into the wind while people in the back ground walk normally, and at one point a reporter was on his knees to make water look deeper. I don't have TWC now, but I bet their 6 day cone extends from Cuba to North Carolina. They tend to overexagerate.
JenniferS
When you're the leader, you don't have to follow.
And snow, and rain, and freezing rain, and ice pellets, and fog ....
JohnD
Well-Known Member
Coming from TWC mind you, just now on Weather Underground, after landfall and hanging around within the state over 24 hours would be “an unmitigated disaster”.
The reasoning is the slowing of the storm and taking time to move northward. Therefore the state is pounded with wind and rain. Better for it to keep moving.
The reasoning is the slowing of the storm and taking time to move northward. Therefore the state is pounded with wind and rain. Better for it to keep moving.
worldfanatic
Well-Known Member
Although they're showing a much better chance of the center spinning out to sea before hitting the coast.
Still so many possibilities.
Still so many possibilities.
The weather channel is “the onion” of meteorology.
AdamNV87
Active Member
This. This was exactly one of the possible models being discussed on TWC earlier that sparked my positive "gut feeling" of this being more merciful than Irma and other Fla direct hits. But sadly when I said it, it caused a lynch mobbing.
They're still holding onto that possibility, even though saying danger is increasing throughout the southeast this weekend. We're far better off in forecast accuracy than we were 30 years ago, but there is still so much uncertainty surrounding these storms.
Long time reader but 1st time poster. We are flying in from NYC on Tuesday. We have been planning this trip for a year and work schedules will not allow an easy rescheduling. I am in agony trying to decide what to do - cut 2 days off the trip and do Thursday to Sunday? It’s our 1st time back in 5 years and work/travel schedules will make it hard to plan again for at least a year.
worldfanatic
Well-Known Member
So true.
I was staying at Dixie Landings (now Port Orleans Riverside) as Hurricane Andrew approached Florida back in 1992, and the forecast gave it a strong chance of moving through Central Florida.
Obviously, we were a bit concerned, as was Disney. The night before it hit, all of the pool furniture was actually put inside the pool water to keep it from blowing around. Bizarre!
The fact that it came through so far to the South shows how far the forecast accuracy has come.
I can't imagine they'd be that far off today.
JenniferS
When you're the leader, you don't have to follow.
Don’t sweat it. You picked a fairly volatile thread to cut your teeth in. It’s not personal. Some people are rightly on edge because their personal safety is at risk. Their gut feeling tells them something different.
Like you, I am also starting to feel more optimistic. Not just for my personal trip (that would be selfish), but also for our forum friends in central Florida. Unfortunately a shift to the coast puts other forum members in harm’s way.
Again, it’s not really against you. Hang around for a while, you’ll come to love most of us. And for those you don’t end up loving, there’s the ignore feature. Cheers.
Allyp
Active Member
- In the Parks
- Yes
According to the latest models, I don't think you are arriving in on Tuesday. I'd recommend changing your plans to a shorter stay and skip the anxiety of making a Tuesday flight.
Based on the current plots, I'm not thinking anyone's flying in on Tuesday, but there's still a fair bit of uncertainty with the where and the when.
worldfanatic
Well-Known Member
That's a way to play it
But after looking forward to the trip for so long, how would they feel if the storm did move south or north, and they didn't really need to cancel or reschedule. That would be brutal.
If it was me, I'd wait a bit longer.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Yo...you don’t encourage someone to fly into a tropical storm zone
#EastCoastRules
It’s not about physical danger...it’s that everything will suck and why do that?
JohnD
Well-Known Member
Welcome to my world. That’s all I’m going to say. Hang in there!
worldfanatic
Well-Known Member
Storm should be through the area by Tuesday. And if there's heavy damage, nobody's flying in there anyway.
Yo!
Allyp
Active Member
- In the Parks
- Yes
You can certainly keep feeling the situation out, no doubt about it. However the entire state of Florida will be experiencing tropical force winds well before Tuesday which would certainly impact flights. For me personally, if I was in this situation, I'd take the safe route and reschedule my trip shorter and later in the week where I'd almost guarantee arrival to WDW.
InLovew/disney
Member
We were also at Dixie Landings then with our two young little boys. We flew out of Tampa the day it made landfall and had quite a rough flight. It had been a rainy summer and ditches were full. We were concerned about floooded roadways but got to the airport just fine. The flight out of Tampa was one I’ll never fiorget. The pilot took us up qucikly and we were laid back severely in our seats. Our boys (now 39 and 36) still talk about that take off. Funny thing, though. They went swimming under blue skies the morning of our departure. Things quickly changed. We were fairly oblivious to the severity of that hurricane and Disney did a great job of keeping us apprised of the situation.
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