BoarderPhreak
Well-Known Member
It's a little windy?
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News Major Hurricane Dorian impacts to Walt Disney World 2019
- Thread starter monothingie
- Start date
Where in Florida?
If Orlando, then there's a 40% chances of being in a storm with sustained winds averaging 60 MPH.
A 70% of being in a storm with sustained winds averaging 40 MPH.
This is for Tuesday.
Peak elevation I can find is 31 feet, so there's some protection from the wind to the western side by the boat dock.Update: the shelter was actually designed for CAT 5.
Disney Cruise Line employees ride out Hurricane Dorian on Castaway Cay
Hurricane Dorian tore into the Bahamas on Sunday and Disney Cruise Line had to clarify its choice to not evacuate employees from its private island Castaway Cay. While the island did endure reporte…www.orlandosentinel.com
kong1802
Well-Known Member
We are in JCP and our neighborhood is right out of the evacuation zone, by less than a mile. About a quarter of JCP is under mandatory right now.
Sirwalterraleigh
Premium Member
Certainly possible. I was more concerned with getting back to them than during the storm itself
EricsBiscuit
Well-Known Member
12’ data says WNW according to the radio. This could be the north turn we were expecting!
muddyrivers
Well-Known Member
Something that may be helpful to those who aren't local like myself, you can watch local TV coverage in Orlando by downloading the WFTV (Orlando ABC affiliate) app. I have it on my Apple TV and I am watching the station live and seeing the news as it comes in.
Da Bird is Da Word
Active Member
Ok. So it’s understood that Orlando will at least endure a tropical storm on Tuesday. Do we know how long this thing is supposed to stick around? My non refundable AKL booking is Wednesday Sept 4 thru Sept 11. I live six hours away. I’m considering heading to Orlando today and if this thing has largely passed by Wednesday then that will be fine.
Lensman
Well-Known Member
The following contains informed speculation on the forecast tracks for Dorian from *yesterday*. Please refer to NHC guidance and local authorities when making decisions if you are in the hurricane warning or watch zones. The following is just for discussion.
blog.weather.us
Aspects that were interesting to me:
1. I don't get to see spaghetti plots from ECMWF EPS that often, so interesting to see the range of possible tracks.
2. Also interesting to see how the NWS weather balloon observations from Illinois/Indiana/Ohio/South Carolina can help in assessing systematic model bias in addition to providing input data points for the numerical models themselves.
An In-Depth Look At Dorian’s Track Forecast
Hello everyone! Hurricane Dorian remains an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane this morning as it approaches the NW Bahamas. Its track over the next 5 days will determine to what […]
blog.weather.us
Aspects that were interesting to me:
1. I don't get to see spaghetti plots from ECMWF EPS that often, so interesting to see the range of possible tracks.
2. Also interesting to see how the NWS weather balloon observations from Illinois/Indiana/Ohio/South Carolina can help in assessing systematic model bias in addition to providing input data points for the numerical models themselves.
Lensman
Well-Known Member
When making decisions, it's always best to refer to the NHS advisories. Here is a link to the latest:
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERNESTO
www.nhc.noaa.gov
Did you have any questions about it? Were you planning to drive or fly down? Why are you thinking of heading to Orlando today (Monday) if your booking is for Wednesday and you live six hours away?
bclane
Well-Known Member
No one can make or should make that call for you, but while we should still have some weather on Wed, current projections do seem to bode well for most of your trip dates in my opinion (which isn’t worth a darn thing). But remember that things can change dramatically from one update to the next. Only you know how much risk tolerance you have. This could literally head inland unexpectedly at any time until it eventually dissipates if conditions change.
lazyboy97o
Well-Known Member
Regardless of nationality, could Disney just take people out of the country? I don’t know if the Bahamas allows for any sort of emergency egress from the country.
BoarderPhreak
Well-Known Member
The beaches all along the coast, unfortunately, will be eroded to varying degrees. On the bright side, it's after labor day and no longer technically "summer" but...
- 100% of Georgia and South Carolina beaches will be impacted
- Projected percent of dunes to be overwashed: 59% in Georgia, 57% in South Carolina, 22% in Florida, and 9% in North Carolina.
- 9% of Georgia and South Carolina dunes will be "inundated" – the most severe coastal impact.
- 100% of Georgia and South Carolina beaches will be impacted
- Projected percent of dunes to be overwashed: 59% in Georgia, 57% in South Carolina, 22% in Florida, and 9% in North Carolina.
- 9% of Georgia and South Carolina dunes will be "inundated" – the most severe coastal impact.
donsullivan
Premium Member
We are getting the first outer bands of the storm in southern Orlando right now.
TheDisneyDaysOfOurLives
Well-Known Member
- In the Parks
- Yes
Just talked to my parents in the Daytona Beach area and they were starting to get their first bit of weather. Nothing too crazy yet and based off how everything looks, they should be okay.
Sped2424
Well-Known Member
The latest track took me and my family out of the cone of uncertainty which was a little bit of a relief. Let's hope it continues that way for the rest of central Florida.
lazyboy97o
Well-Known Member
Test Track is painful in a light drizzle.
BoarderPhreak
Well-Known Member
I kinda wish they still had the live cam on Main St USA in MK... 