Iger out in 2018

ford91exploder

Resident Curmudgeon
Right - the problem is about the means by which they are achieving those 'growth' ends. I'm bearish on the stock, but I don't quite expect it to tank given consideration to all business units (in my non-expert opinion). I think a lot depends on the next 6+ months and through 2017.

Related note: I haphazardly saw this article on Harvard Business Review this am. I think it reflects the common thinking (eg Wall St) - it's about Disney as a good case for using M&A as growth, citing the Pixar acquisition. Fair warning: It contains several inaccuracies, eg using 2005 as evidence of the norm for TWDC when it was not. It also says things like, "Walt Disney is the epitome of a creative organization. But it has not always held this distinction." In fact, I'm not sure I recommend spending time reading it, aside from it reflecting what is 'business strategy de rigueur' and it is specifically about TWDC. A commenter says this was Steve Jobs' mgmt. philosophy but I really wouldn't know. https://hbr.org/2016/07/using-ma-to-increase-your-capacity-for-growth

Disney's stock price is vulnerable to macroeconomic events though which by definition are out of the scope of disney's control.
 

RobidaFlats

Well-Known Member
Disney's stock price is vulnerable to macroeconomic events though which by definition are out of the scope of disney's control.

This is one of the most frequently forgotten issues with using stock price as a barometer for anything.

An argument can be made that the current stock boom is due to interest rates being so low that non-equity markets are yielding practically nothing and so more money is in stocks seeking a better return. This is something over which companies have absolutely no control. On the other side, some market selloffs can be argued to be due to emotional panics with no basis in economic realities. That is also something that companies have no control over.
 

ParentsOf4

Well-Known Member
One comment on Iger's so called GROWTH, Iger has grown Disney's top line revenues 67% during his tenure, Eisner grew them 860% yes starting from a much smaller base granted. In reality the only thing Iger has grown is the stock price and if you look at @ParentsOf4's many charts you will see that the huge buybacks began at the same time Iger became Chair/CEO.
In the first quarter of FY2005, while Michael Eisner still was CEO, Disney repurchased $11M in company stock.

Iger was named CEO-elect in March 2005. For that quarter, stock repurchases jumped to $433M.

For the last 2 fiscal quarters of 2005, stock repurchases totaled nearly $1.976B.

In the first half of fiscal year 2006, Disney CEO Iger spent another $1.697B in stock repurchases.

Over his entire 21-year tenure at Disney CEO, Michael Eisner spent a bit under $4.1B in stock repurchases.

Iger spent more in his first 5 quarters as CEO-elect/CEO than Eisner spent in 21 years as Disney CEO.
 

Magenta Panther

Well-Known Member
In the first quarter of FY2005, while Michael Eisner still was CEO, Disney repurchased $11M in company stock.

Iger was named CEO-elect in March 2005. For that quarter, stock repurchases jumped to $433M.

For the last 2 fiscal quarters of 2005, stock repurchases totaled nearly $1.976B.

In the first half of fiscal year 2006, Disney CEO Iger spent another $1.697B in stock repurchases.

Over his entire 21-year tenure at Disney CEO, Michael Eisner spent a bit under $4.1B in stock repurchases.

Iger spent more in his first 5 quarters as CEO-elect/CEO than Eisner spent in 21 years as Disney CEO.

It's just good experience for when he's a member of Congress! :eek:
 

2351metalcloud

Active Member
I've studied a lot of failing companies and Disney is right up there with them the common theme is destroy the business to prop up the stock price, None of Disney's businesses have any organic growth in fact top line revenue is declining at all of them.with the exception of the studios which are a drop in the bucket as far as cash generation once again recall that studios only get 25-33% of box office revenue the rest goes to the distributor and theater.

Disney continues to make huge cuts in their businesses while buying back stock. The only thing DIS has going for it is the stock price at the moment and as such Disney is the definition of a house of cards.

A Disney company like 'Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures' or 'Buena Vista Pictures' or 'Touchstone Pictures' is the one that distributes many Disney/Marvel/Pixar movies. Doesn't that money get spread around for other stuff?

Plus there's merchandise and tv deals for movies besides just money from box office ticket sales.
 

LAKid53

Official Member of the Girly Girl Fan Club
Premium Member
Like any CEO today, Iger included, his replacement will look to Wall Street more than anything else.
 

ford91exploder

Resident Curmudgeon
Believe it or not, I don't hate Iger; I reserve my wrath mostly for political leaders :grumpy:. Maybe that means later I'll luck out?

The ONLY way Iger is getting into political office is as an political appointee, Just look at Iger's cringeworthy performance at the NFL bid (yes there is video for the masochistic) and tell me how he's going to perform on the campaign trail. The guy has the personality and delivery of a dead fish.
 

ford91exploder

Resident Curmudgeon
In the first quarter of FY2005, while Michael Eisner still was CEO, Disney repurchased $11M in company stock.

Iger was named CEO-elect in March 2005. For that quarter, stock repurchases jumped to $433M.

For the last 2 fiscal quarters of 2005, stock repurchases totaled nearly $1.976B.

In the first half of fiscal year 2006, Disney CEO Iger spent another $1.697B in stock repurchases.

Over his entire 21-year tenure at Disney CEO, Michael Eisner spent a bit under $4.1B in stock repurchases.

Iger spent more in his first 5 quarters as CEO-elect/CEO than Eisner spent in 21 years as Disney CEO.

Based on the size of MOST of Eisner's buybacks, It's probably safe to assume that many of them were for ESOP and other stock based compensation plans where Disney needed shares. Much like the small repurchases most tech companies do rather than dilute the stock with new shares they repurchase shares needed/used in stock based compensation plans.
 

ford91exploder

Resident Curmudgeon
And you, of course, know that can't be the reason?

Because IF that were the reason for the repurchases Disney would be required to state such in their disclosures as has every other US public company which repurchased stock with the intent of going private as that intent has a 'material' effect on the company going forward, Since Disney has not done so the reason must be that they are simply supporting their stock price.

No 'special' insight needed on this one
 

LuvtheGoof

DVC Guru
Premium Member
Because IF that were the reason for the repurchases Disney would be required to state such in their disclosures as has every other US public company which repurchased stock with the intent of going private as that intent has a 'material' effect on the company going forward, Since Disney has not done so the reason must be that they are simply supporting their stock price.

No 'special' insight needed on this one
I would have to defer to @MichWolv on this one. Maybe they are only thinking about that option in the future, and as such, would not have to declare it as of yet. You have to bet that the execs are just as tired of Wall St as the rest of us are.
 

MichWolv

Born Modest. Wore Off.
Premium Member
Because IF that were the reason for the repurchases Disney would be required to state such in their disclosures as has every other US public company which repurchased stock with the intent of going private as that intent has a 'material' effect on the company going forward
If the decision has been made to go public (or attempt to do so), that disclosure would likely be required. However, repurchases that are being done with a view to possibly making going private easier in the future, should the company decide to do so, wouldn't trigger a disclosure requirement. That being said, the possibility of Disney planning (or even considering) going private without a new investor putting up huge money is almost inconceivable. Dell had Michael Dell. Disney has no such large owner.

Since Disney has not done so the reason must be that they are simply supporting their stock price.
Wrong. There are two main reasons that companies repurchase stock. First, because they believe that the market is undervaluing the company and therefore buying its own stock is a good investment. While you could describe that as "supporting the stock price", that would be an inordinately pejorative way of describing it. Second reason is because the Company has decided it wants to return cash to shareholders, and chooses to do it via stock repurchases rather than a dividend. I find repurchases to be a more efficient means of returning cash shareholders, as it allows shareholders to decide whether to turn in all or a portion of their holdings for cash, rather than requiring them to do so, as a dividend would.

I would have to defer to @MichWolv on this one. Maybe they are only thinking about that option in the future, and as such, would not have to declare it as of yet. You have to bet that the execs are just as tired of Wall St as the rest of us are.
The execs are no doubt tired of some of Wall Street's tendencies. But the access to cheap financing overwhelms all of that. And the math makes it easy to see why. With a market cap of $163 billion, every 1/100th of a percentage point less that the market demands as a return on investment implicitly saves the company $16.3 million per year.
 

SorcererMC

Well-Known Member
The ONLY way Iger is getting into political office is as an political appointee, Just look at Iger's cringeworthy performance at the NFL bid (yes there is video for the masochistic) and tell me how he's going to perform on the campaign trail. The guy has the personality and delivery of a dead fish.

Iger is a presidential appointee to the US Export Council (intl tourist $ counts as exports in calculating GDP), since at least 2012 and I haven't found the exact time frame. He is still on it as far as I can tell. Recall the 2012 WDW Main St speech re: issuing visas and tourism industry jobs, see also March 2013 US Export Council remarks by President Obama, specific to WDW.

I'm already thinking of campaign slogans....and yes, Iger lacks a certain charisma that is usually typical of (successful) politicians.
 

epcotWSC

Well-Known Member
IDK, I think it's a fairly easy to use repurchases to support the stock price and many companies do it for that reason. IBM had been doing it for many years in order to increase EPS (to hit their now defunct road maps and increase shareholder value)... however, it's also easy to see that it was (and continues) to be used as a way to prop up the share price on a company that hasn't had revenue growth in over 4 years.

Of course Disney is in a much different situation than IBM (Disney's actually growing), but it is valid to consider that a company may be buying back its stock at least partially to keep share price stable or even increase it more than it would have otherwise.
 

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