That's not exactly correct. It was reported during the storm that the eye never made landfall.
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Hurricane Ian expected to impact Florida (updates and related discussions)
- Thread starter Touchdown
- Start date
That's not exactly correct. It was reported during the storm that the eye never made landfall.
peter11435
Well-Known Member
Yes, we obviously knew during the storm where the storm was. My point was that two days out we did not know that the eye would not make landfall.
Matthew like Ian was a very powerful and dangerous storm. Two days out from possible landfall Matthew was a significant threat.
Can't confirm about the Skyliner operating status, but we had a nice storm come through about 5:30 - 6 PM. I'm in Winter Garden...the Disney Winter Garden known as Horizons West. About 10 minutes from the gate on Western Way.
Sounds like it closed briefly for the storm that went through, it appears to have reopened.
JohnD
Well-Known Member
I was wrong. It reopened.
JohnD
Well-Known Member
Hurricane. But it re-opened tonight. I'm in the LL queue right now. It's only a matter of time because of the outside loop.
There was lightning near Epcot this evening. They cut short the early showing of the Food and Wine musical performance tonight.
SpectroMan93
Well-Known Member
Grew up in Sanford when Charley hit. First and only time I've ever been in the eye of a hurricane. In fact it was Charley that lead me on the path to become a meteorologist. Ian is very much giving me Charley vibes. The storm has been consistently to the right of the forecast path and the models have been adjusting accordingly. I would expect the NHC to make further adjustments east on the next advisory. Everyone in Central Florida should be preparing for hurricane conditions.
Hence my comment that I'm preparing like I did for Hermine in 2016 and Michael in 2018. Plan for the worst, hope for the best.
MrPromey
Well-Known Member
The Orlando area is still more than a full day away from starting to feel anything from this storm.
I sit between where the storm is and where it is projected to go as it passes that part of Florida (on the coast) and there is no rain or wind here at all so what is over Disney is just a typical localized thunderstorm right now.
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SpectroMan93
Well-Known Member
Hurricane hunters recently placed the eye of the storm about 40 miles east of the previous forecast track. The NHC doesn't update the forecast track at intermediate advisories like the 8PM one above, but they will for the 11PM tonight. I don't envy the NHC's job. A shift to the right would put Tampa and Central Florida in a much more precarious situation than the current cone. But given current trends and new model data, they may have no other choice.
Like we've been having for the past few weeks. "Is that thunder or the 9 PM fireworks?".
EricsBiscuit
Well-Known Member
If it goes far enough east then hopefully it won’t push as much water into the bay. The biggest worry for me is the storm surge.
Gringrinngghost
Well-Known Member
Nice Ian based sunset from this evening.
SpectroMan93
Well-Known Member
True, the current forecast track puts between 5-10FT of storm surge into Tampa Bay. Whereas a shift far enough east would significantly reduce that. My main concern is that if the storm comes in more east and south of the current track, that gives it less time if any to weaken prior to landfall. Conditions in the northern gulf are expected to be unfavorable for strengthening, which is why the current NHC track landfalls Ian as a category 1 north of Tampa. The further south that landfall becomes, the less it encounters those unfavorable conditions.