Hocus Pocus was a flop in 1993. Don't let someone fool you into thinking otherwise.
Those are modern articles exaggerating the term for interest pieces on a movie from 1993. It was not a hit. But it was not a flop.
Movies today need a bigger gap due to bigger budgeting. A movie that nearly doubled its cost in 1993 was not a debt to the company. It was something they knew did some coin and if people liked it, it would do well on home video.
The image issue aside, the point being made was still the same. And yes I made a mistake about the image, mea culpa, but again so what. Those looked exactly like costumes I saw at many Halloween parties in the 90s, some store bought some made by hand some a combination of both. So again I say so what that the specific image wasn't specifically from the 90s itself, the sentiment was still the same.
The mistake was lying about it. You snapped at the other postings as if you knew what it was. There is mea culpa, and there is lying through teeth to save face when you knew from the state you were wrong. When you stated you saw those exact costumes at many different parties when they were pulled from a website of homemade costumes. Which hurts reputation of future discussions you partake in and questions ones of the past.
Such as the Ruby Comparison to Turtles making all the more sense now.
HM won't even wind out with 1/3rd the people who saw Hocus Pocus in theaters here in the states.
Think about that and realize why the educated guess of it not being a cult classic in Halloweens to come is right off the bat a good educated guess.
Then the likelyhood diminishes even more when you realize we are in a world of streaming on demand. If one types in Haunted Mansion to Disney Plus, if they have it. They will see two Haunted Mansion movies and a Muppets Special. Which underperforming Haunted Mansion film do they go with? They may just choose The Muppets Haunted Mansion special.
It is not a VHS or DVD world anymore. It is certainly not a free network TV gathering society anymore. Hocus Pocus had over 20 years of that on free and paid tv, and was not tied to anything other than its cheesy fun Halloween self.
The gap to 157 million plus is huge for HM and has none of that.
There are no absolutes, but come on, let's be genuine educated guessers here.