That's kind of the point: if COP is only loading half their capacity, there isn't really a capacity problem is there? There is enough capacity in the park for people to get their overall ride counts up, but if they don't WANT to ride something, that capacity gets wasted.
That's why adding attractions is almost a zero-sum game. You add new attractions, people want to ride those, and whatever attraction is at the bottom of the demand list gets bumped out and closed. Now your overall park capacity is equal, or even sometimes less than it was when you started.
Worse yet, adding attractions tends to increase overall park attendance so now you have more people in the park, who all want to ride the same ten rides, and not enough capacity for them.
Disneyland is still miserably overcrowded, even with more attraction capacity. They had to go thru and tear out trees and benches and planters because they were so worried about how crowded it was.
But you could still walk into the Lincoln Theater on a hot summer afternoon and take a nap.
If enough people stopped going they wouldn't need Fastpass at all. But if they stopped needing Fastpass though, all those people would want to come back. Then they would need Fastpass again.
So much to unpack here.
You consider Disneyland Park miserably overcrowded?
You realize it comes in as #2 for annual attendance
behind the MK but has way more attractions, right?
Also, you talk about what happens to anything that's not the top 10 rides - quick, can you tell me how many Disney parks in Florida even have 10 rides?
Both Disneyland parks have higher attraction capacity and fewer people visiting than we do.
So what's your point?
That they had a problem with locals abusing their APs which has never been an issue in Florida and that there is less space to walk around since it occupies a smaller footprint? That they don't manage their crowds well in DL?
My point with bringing DL up is that people talk about the MK being overbuilt compared to the other three and it's not overbuilt at all - it's under-built for the crowds they push in and the other three are
WAY under-built.
No amount of guest management/manipulation is going to correct for that.
You know what other problem we have in Florida that guests in California don't have? Disney continuing full steam ahead for more than a decade building rooms that are entirely dependent on those theme parks... adding resorts and vacation clubs and then marketing like crazy to make sure they fill them tends to drive numbers up more than a new attraction, I'd imagine.
As for the COP, it was once a seasonally operational attraction. This was after the last previous on-ride update. The only reason it's open all year now is because management wanted more places to cram people without building anything new. That's not exactly a secret and the only point is proves is that people can't be coerced to do something they don't want to do, just because there's nothing else to do.
Adding new attractions didn't make COP less popular, time and a lack of updates to make it appeal to modern audiences did.*
Anyway, the opening of TRON is not going to suddenly make any of the mountains a walk-on. It'll barely move the needle.
It won't change the wait time for Peter Pan's flight.
If we're lucky, the wait for Small World
may go down but probably not since it doesn't serve a big percentage of the audience for that ride.
Just a reminder, Disney ran a Superbowl commercial to promote the opening of Toy Story Land and it's two c/d ticket rides like it was a whole new big amazing experience.
Adding attractions doesn't drive attendance out of control - Disney's marketing machine does and I expect they will do what they always do with the eventual opeing of TRON.
Programs to help manage crowds are not intrinsically bad but a decade of over-reliance on them has created a problem and continuing to look to them as the primary solution to capacity problems is bad
if you're a paying guest.
*I like it for nostalgia but even I can acknowledge they should be embarrassed to be running this one in it's current state. Great Moments in DL is still around for historical reasons - not because anyone expects it will ever be a headliner again and remarkably, the company still seems to care about preserving the history of
some aspects of DL. In contrast, the late Marty Sylar pretty much said more than a decade ago that when Disney needs the land COP sits on for something, it's a goner... which I'm sure is the same fate CBJ faces though I can imagine the Tiki Room hanging in longer.