Disney's Live Action The Little Mermaid

CaptainAmerica

Premium Member
Also, most of today’s reporting isn’t spinning the film’s box-office performance as a disappointment. Quite the opposite.

Here’s an example:

Box office reporting always sucks but it's been especially bad/inconsistent lately.

People keep bouncing between 3-day figures and 4-day figures, and they pick and choose when they care about North America only versus when they care about global.
 

Jedijax719

Well-Known Member
TLM's opening weekend is almost identical to Aladdin's, despite a higher Thursday preview. However, it is extremely doubtful that TLM will have the same multiplier as Aladdin's (3.9Xopening weekend). But let'see how the following weekends go.

TLM, in essence, is less of a 4-quadrant movie than Aladdin or Lion King. But then again, one can say that about Beauty and the Beast. However, BatB still had the Beast and Gaston.

Not to change the subject too much, but Snow White is DOA. Not sure why they are even doing that one. It's not a renaissance film. Nobody was around when it came out or has any real affinity toward it. It isn't going to have the 7 dwarves and won't even have Prince Charming. Actually, I am not even sure what it is going to be about!
 

LittleBuford

Well-Known Member
Not to change the subject too much, but Snow White is DOA. Not sure why they are even doing that one. It's not a renaissance film. Nobody was around when it came out or has any real affinity toward it. It isn't going to have the 7 dwarves and won't even have Prince Charming. Actually, I am not even sure what it is going to be about!
The live-action Cinderella did OK, and that was a remake of a pre-Renaissance classic also.

I would also strongly dispute the claim that no-one “has any real affinity towards” the original Snow White. Many of us love it (which isn’t to say I want Disney to remake it).
 

dreday3

Well-Known Member
TLM's opening weekend is almost identical to Aladdin's, despite a higher Thursday preview. However, it is extremely doubtful that TLM will have the same multiplier as Aladdin's (3.9Xopening weekend). But let'see how the following weekends go.

TLM, in essence, is less of a 4-quadrant movie than Aladdin or Lion King. But then again, one can say that about Beauty and the Beast. However, BatB still had the Beast and Gaston.

Not to change the subject too much, but Snow White is DOA. Not sure why they are even doing that one. It's not a renaissance film. Nobody was around when it came out or has any real affinity toward it. It isn't going to have the 7 dwarves and won't even have Prince Charming. Actually, I am not even sure what it is going to be about!

Who the heck doesn't have an affinity to the animated Snow White? It is CLASSIC Disney. It defines Disney for many.
That's absurd.

That said, no, we didn't need a Snow White live action.
 
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Disney Analyst

Well-Known Member
5th highest Memorial Day box office is nothing to sneeze at.


Thirty-five years after the animated story of Ariel, a flame-haired siren of the sea who falls for a prince, charmed audiences, a live-action remake of “The Little Mermaid” dominated the Memorial Day weekend box office. The Disney release is on track to debut to a massive $118 million over the four-day holiday, with $96 million of that coming over the three-day frame. It ranks as the fifth highest Memorial Day opening in history.


 

Jedijax719

Well-Known Member
Certainly they can find $4 million worth of change under Disney's couch or under the seat of their transport buses somewhere to make it an even $100 million. That number just sounds and looks so much tastier than $96m.
 

Chi84

Premium Member
Certainly they can find $4 million worth of change under Disney's couch or under the seat of their transport buses somewhere to make it an even $100 million. That number just sounds and looks so much tastier than $96m.
The Deadline article you cited earlier is saying $104 million for the 3-day and maybe $121 to $123 for the 4-day.
 

doctornick

Well-Known Member
Who the heck doesn't have an affinity to the animated Snow White? It is CLASSIC Disney. It defines Disney for many.
That's absurd.

While I wouldn’t phrase it as strongly as the previous post, I would argue that the affinity for Snow White pales in comparison to other Disney princesses. You don’t, for example, see anywhere near the same number of little girls wearing Snow White dresses as you do for Cinderella or Renaissance princesses or even Aurora. Part of that is certainly that the movie is much older but Snow White as a character and a movie isn’t IMHO as appealing as those that came after.

I think a lot of the love for that movie comes from its place in history especially among Disney fans. If anything I think the movie is more beloved for the dwarfs and their personalities and so I’m a bit concerned on how the potential remake if they change them too dramatically.

My point being, I’d be concerned on how much nostalgia will be able to drive that box office and I tend to think it’s got potential to bomb.
 

Jedijax719

Well-Known Member
The Deadline article you cited earlier is saying $104 million for the 3-day and maybe $121 to $123 for the 4-day.
What are you talking about? I didn't cite an article. I was responding to TLM's $95.5-$96m (depending on the site) OW for the 3-say holiday.
 

Magenta Panther

Well-Known Member
The Little Mermaid is now looking to make 117 million for the 4-day weekend. Whether that's good or bad depends on a number of things. It was projected to make 120-125 million, but it had a relatively weak Saturday, so projections have dropped. And it's doing very badly overseas. Unusual for a Disney film. Here's an article that talks about it:

 

wtyy21

Well-Known Member
The Little Mermaid is now looking to make 117 million for the 4-day weekend. Whether that's good or bad depends on a number of things. It was projected to make 120-125 million, but it had a relatively weak Saturday, so projections have dropped. And it's doing very badly overseas. Unusual for a Disney film. Here's an article that talks about it:

Regarding the box office numbers, i previously posted Twitter in the article that pre-ticket sales of the film were performed badly in China (which is the largest box office market), so not surprised to see the film performed badly overseas. I also i believe, Japan (third largest film market) release of the film will be late than other markets (June 9), so let see how the film performed in Japan.

Judged by it, i expected the film to be grossed at $800-$900 million upwards at the end of its theatrical run, although it's not impossible to have this film earned $1 billion (like another Disney renaissance live-action remakes) giving that the film is the signature of Disney's 100th anniversary and expected to perform better than Strange World (which is the first film to receive 100th anniversary logo but flops at box office). The opening weekend domestic box office numbers are expected to similar to Aladdin in 2019 i believe.
 
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CaptainAmerica

Premium Member
Regarding the box office numbers, i previously posted Twitter in the article that pre-ticket sales of the film were performed badly in China (which is the largest box office market), so not surprised to see the film performed badly overseas. I also i believe, Japan (third largest film market) release of the film will be late than other markets (June 9), so let see how the film performed in Japan.

Judged by it, i expected the film to be grossed at $800-$900 million upwards at the end of its theatrical run, although it's not impossible to have this film earned $1 billion (like another Disney renaissance live-action remakes) giving that the film is the signature of Disney's 100th anniversary. The opening weekend domestic box office numbers are expected to similar to Aladdin in 2019 i believe.
The global box office is tracking at about 75% of Aladdin. It will not come close to $1 billion. $800 million would be a miracle. Break-even is likely over $600 million.
 

tcool123

Well-Known Member
The global box office is tracking at about 75% of Aladdin. It will not come close to $1 billion. $800 million would be a miracle. Break-even is likely over $600 million.
I think similar to how Poppins Returns inched towards profitability this film will at worse perform just under what it needs to break even but merchandising well help it cover lost ground
 

tcool123

Well-Known Member
The true injsutice is that the soundtrack of the film doesn’t include much of these beautiful pieces of score, the one you mentioned in particular I sought out to listen to but to no avail as I couldn’t find it. Unless I missed it - also very possible
The injustice has been rectified! Disney released the Deluxe version of the soundtrack on the 26th and it includes much more of the score:

 

doctornick

Well-Known Member
I said weeks again that this film will end up around $800M world wide maybe a little higher or lower. This weekend’s results haven’t swayed me from that prediction
 

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