This chart contains the domestic box office for movies for Memorial Day 4-Day Weekends (All Movies).
www.the-numbers.com
Mermaid’s opening weekend compares favorably to Aladdin. But Aladdin ended up grossing 2x as much internationally as domestically ($700m vs $350m).
Mermaid is not going to come close to a similar 2x international figure. Let’s give Mermaid the benefit of the doubt and say it makes $400m domestically, more than Aladdin. It probably will not equal that overseas, so you’re looking at a total gross under $800m.
Disney’s budgeting has gone crazy. They spend way too much and have lost any sense of economy. Why is this movie 140m? Cut 30m from the screenplay in pre-production and make a movie with a more reasonable budget. It’s going to make the same amount at the box office because the people who show up for a 140m Mermaid will show up for a 110m one.
All that to say the filmmaking divisions of this company are in severe need of a reset.