Disney Labor Shortage

mkt

When a paradise is lost go straight to Disney™
Premium Member
What would happen?

If labor input increases 7x, prices will increase at least 7x to maintain expected margin level. Prices will increase proportionally to maintain PPP (Purchasing Power Parity)

Except in Orlando and Disney, prices have gone up year after year without wages increasing. Wage increases at Disney are a far more recent occurrence.
 

JoeCamel

Well-Known Member
CPs are absolutely getting milked dry rn and are self-terming at super high rates. Because Flamingo Crossing is so god damn expensive - a friend of mine says she brought home $40 last week. A “good” week is $140. How the hell are you supposed to live on that? Not to mention save? You can’t.

Perhaps, but when you literally can’t get a second job because you’ll get termed, how are you supposed to survive? I couldn’t afford living in my dorm now because i’m a full time student with a 24hr/week part time job, but I can use financial aid and defer my payments. Much different IMO.
Company town. Don't go to work in a company town. Coal miners proved it.
 

Vegas Disney Fan

Well-Known Member
There are no labor shortages, anywhere.
There are PAY shortages, everywhere :(.

Consider what would happen if every CM got $100 per hour. Clearly silly, but now? We are just arguing about the price.
I partially disagree, I think people took a year off and realized they were happier and are willing to make due with less.

I know 2 mothers and a father who didn’t come back when we got called back to work, they decided they’d rather spend more time with their family and their husbands (and wife) can support the whole family, they are just going without some luxuries. We also had a 60 year old who decided to retire early rather than coming back. That’s 4 out of about 100 people who were recalled in our department, and we‘re in an upper middle class pay range.

If 4% of the nations workforce decides to “retire” that’s millions of people.

If they offered $100 an hour im sure they’d all come out of retirement but I don’t think any of them would for anything less than $40 an hour (in the case of my coworkers), and most of the industries struggling for employees can’t realistically pay $40 an hour.
 

Lilofan

Well-Known Member
I partially disagree, I think people took a year off and realized they were happier and are willing to make due with less.

I know 2 mothers and a father who didn’t come back when we got called back to work, they decided they’d rather spend more time with their family and their husbands (and wife) can support the whole family, they are just going without some luxuries. We also had a 60 year old who decided to retire early rather than coming back. That’s 4 out of about 100 people who were recalled in our department, and we‘re in an upper middle class pay range.

If 4% of the nations workforce decides to “retire” that’s millions of people.

If they offered $100 an hour im sure they’d all come out of retirement but I don’t think any of them would for anything less than $40 an hour (in the case of my coworkers), and most of the industries struggling for employees can’t realistically pay $40 an hour.
And for some Americans they went in a savings spree ( staying/ working at home , not many places to spend there money to support local business due to closures, and actually enlarged their bank account ( ie net worth/ rising stock market ). Some I know did retire early when they realized their net worth doubled due to stock market gains and then some and called it quits.
 

Vegas Disney Fan

Well-Known Member
It is not just FL but also TX. A forum member lives in Austin TX who posted his house increased 6x in value. One can thank the influx of CA residents moving to TX , a cheaper COL state compared to overpriced CA, while also driving the TX real estate values up and rents. The name for some of the new residents in Austin are called "Austinfornians". But you've got year round beach weather compared to wintry dreary DC and NoVa . You are correct, with people and their monies coming to FL, its not cheap anymore to live in FL.
We have the same thing happening here in Vegas, house prices have tripled in the last few years… mostly Californians who sold their old 1500sq ft CA home for a fortune and can afford a brand new 2500sq ft home here and still stash a couple hundred thousand into savings.

My big question is who are the people buying in California? (Or in Floridas case New York) I have friends who bought a home in San Fran (twitch employees) and they paid $1.5 million, it’s mind boggling to think there’s enough people out there that make enough to sustain those prices.
 

Lilofan

Well-Known Member
We have the same thing happening here in Vegas, house prices have tripled in the last few years… mostly Californians who sold their old 1500sq ft CA home for a fortune and can afford a brand new 2500sq ft home here and still stash a couple hundred thousand into savings.

My big question is who are the people buying in California? (Or in Floridas case New York) I have friends who bought a home in San Fran (twitch employees) and they paid $1.5 million, it’s mind boggling to think there’s enough people out there that make enough to sustain those prices.
I would think ones who cashed out stock market gains who bought in CA. Even the luxury car market is booming in these times. I have friends and family that live in Southern CA. Beachfront real estate is also being bought out by families from Asia and the Middle East as second/ third homes also driving the values up. What you described CA moving to Vegas , that's been going on for many years with NY/ NJ money moving to FL.
 
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Lilofan

Well-Known Member
Except in Orlando and Disney, prices have gone up year after year without wages increasing. Wage increases at Disney are a far more recent occurrence.
Probably those worker protests nationwide for $15 per hour helped with the wage increases. It is all good to get some to earn more but I know increased labor costs will be passed to us the consumers in terms of higher priced products. Apt landlords also get wind of the wage increases and see opportunity - higher wage makers then higher rent residents will pay.
 

mkt

When a paradise is lost go straight to Disney™
Premium Member
Probably those worker protests nationwide for $15 per hour helped with the wage increases. It is all good to get some to earn more but I know increased labor costs will be passed to us the consumers in terms of higher priced products. Apt landlords also get wind of the wage increases and see opportunity - higher wage makers then higher rent residents will pay.
Even though there is a constitutional amendment in Florida governing the minimum wage and subsequent increases that takes effect next year, any increase in the minimum wage are currently is due to market pressure.

But here is the schedule for minimum wage increases, as per section 24(C) of Florida's Constitution.

• $11.00 on September 30, 2022
• $12.00 on September 30, 2023
• $13.00 on September 30, 2024
• $14.00 on September 30, 2025
• $15.00 on September 30, 2026
Beginning 2027, the minimum wage will be adjusted annually for inflation

Anyway, educational moment aside, as I stated below, supply and demand is the primary barometer for rent increases - not high wages.
 
Just a few thoughts.

1. Supply and demand are driving rent increases and the overall market for housing right now, not wages. The supply of housing in central florida has been focused on luxury segments, condos, and vacation homes because that's where the return on investment has been for companies.
2. Other institutional companies now though are out-competing wage-earners for the remaining houses. You see Zillow, Blackrock, etc. all buying houses for way above 'market' value and outcompeting the average family who can't necessarily pay 20% above asking price.
3. Doubling wages for Cast Members does not instantly mean that prices have to double. Wages are ultimately only one component of running the business.

Disney can continue increasing wages to attract Cast Members to the areas most in need right now, but there are significant externalities that are going to continue to make it difficult to attract Cast Members for reasons that are not exclusively Disney's to solve.
 

mkt

When a paradise is lost go straight to Disney™
Premium Member
Disney can continue increasing wages to attract Cast Members to the areas most in need right now, but there are significant externalities that are going to continue to make it difficult to attract Cast Members for reasons that are not exclusively Disney's to solve.

Unless the surrounding community can control it's insane COL increase, Disney's staffing problems will become worse.
 

Goofyernmost

Well-Known Member
Unless the surrounding community can control it's insane COL increase, Disney's staffing problems will become worse.
Not gonna happen. The area including WDW itself has been taken over by big money. They are making it their own and bringing those COL's up not just in Orlando, but the rest of the country as well. It appears to me that no one will be happy until all of us lower class people are living under an interstate bridge.
 
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Vegas Disney Fan

Well-Known Member
Unless the surrounding community can control it's insane COL increase, Disney's staffing problems will become worse.

Disney would be smart to build a few more apartment complexes in the area for CMs. Offering affordable rent could be a big perk for CMs with how unaffordable Orlando is becoming.
 

Lilofan

Well-Known Member
Disney would be smart to build a few more apartment complexes in the area for CMs. Offering affordable rent could be a big perk for CMs with how unaffordable Orlando is becoming.
Some live in those week to week high rise apts in Kissimmee . it is basically a hotel room with a fridge and microwave and a local bus stop in front that takes you to WDW. They are near Celebration and in a sketchy part of town but that's what Kissimmee generally is. See Willem Dafoe in " The Florida Project" and see the dark side near WDW.
 

John park hopper

Well-Known Member
Agree-- WDW has plenty of property they could build a "CM Village" with modular housing probably relatively cheaply, they do it with their generic hotel these days. Charge nominal rent.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
Agree-- WDW has plenty of property they could build a "CM Village" with modular housing probably relatively cheaply, they do it with their generic hotel these days. Charge nominal rent.
Easy peasy...

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Lilofan

Well-Known Member
Agree-- WDW has plenty of property they could build a "CM Village" with modular housing probably relatively cheaply, they do it with their generic hotel these days. Charge nominal rent.
If WDW goes down this road, and cast live on property then they would be subject to Disney rules . They risk losing their jobs and get evicted if they do not comply. ( aka college program housing where cast are held accountable for their actions ).
 

celluloid

Well-Known Member
Disney does not need to do all of that when they have people willing to pair up and co-habilitate paying a combined rent rate equal to the average. That is what the CP and Alumni programs are/were for.
 

Lilofan

Well-Known Member
Disney does not need to do all of that when they have people willing to pair up and co-habilitate paying a combined rent rate equal to the average. That is what the CP and Alumni programs are/were for.
A 4 bed / 2 bath at Flamingo with each CP paying $195 per week? That is around $3K per month rent.
 

celluloid

Well-Known Member
A 4 bed / 2 bath at Flamingo with each CP paying $195 per week? That is around $3K per month rent.

Yeah, sad that it is cheap huh? You would actually have it divided between 8 people(if bunk bed situation that many have become) you have about 100 bucks or more out of the paycheck a week for a furnished apartment and utilities. This is nothing new.
 

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