Folks been saying this since like what 1999. “It won’t last” People can choose not to participate in any recession. Which I agree there is. Or headed to. But there are many ways to save money for whatever one wants. Disney will not see a drop off. It’s only getting started to get back to “ normal”
But 1999 didn't last, and it's arguably the tail end of what people think of when they imagine the peak of Disney's domestic parks. The shifts in management strategies (particularly at WDW, but also at DLR) can be directly traced to reactions to outside forces beyond Disney's control, and has rarely led to improved guest experiences.
The dot-com bubble followed by the post-9/11 travel slump had real, drastic, and immediate impacts to the parks. This era ushered in dramatic reductions to the hours of operation, entertainment schedules, food variety and quality, and countless other across-the-board cuts. Entire buildings and wings of many hotels and the entire Port Orleans complex were temporarily shuttered, Pop Century's Legendary Years construction was halted in its tracks, and River Country was permanently closed. Nearly all of the "declining by degrees" changes can be traced back to Disney's reaction to the collapse of the travel industry during this period; these sorts of changes (and certainly the frequency of them) are a considerable from the general management philosophies prior to that downturn.
The 2009 recession led to Iger's "blue ocean" strategy, where he proclaimed that the parks had reached maturity, and any potential for growth would be from increased spending rather than increased attendance. This was the logic behind WDW's NextGen/My Magic+ system, which aimed to redistribute crowding and congestion rather than increase capacity, and DLR's sharp pivot toward catering to annual passholders. This era brought us the (failed) OneDisney mindset and the bland DisneyParks branding, trying to share overhead costs as much as possible, under the impression that there was limited growth potential. Yet, as park attendance recovered with a recovering economy, little effort was made to grow capacity to match, leaving us with parks that are more miserable than ever, even during "slow" periods.
1999 is an interesting year to call out, since it seemed to be a turning point in Disney's general management and operational philosophy. Prior to that that, the goal had been to give guests as much as they could at a reasonable price. But since then, there has been a slow but steady shift toward charging ever-increasing higher prices for ever-decreasing product quality.
To my mind, Disney havas become a luxury for rich people.
It seems that in Disney's mind, their parks are a luxury. However, unless we're defining "luxury" so broadly as to mean anything non-essential (which would include all leisure travel), their parks really don't fit the notion; they're clearly high-volume attractions intended for the middle class. There's nothing luxurious about waiting 25 minutes to order a cheeseburger and chicken nuggets and waiting another 15 minutes for them to be ready, spending an hour staking out a spot on unshaded pavement for the parade, or shuffling through a crowded queue for a ride that hasn't seen significant upgrades in decades.
Even Disney's once-famed customer service, with it's trademark smiling, cheerful, clean-cut cast members is geared more toward mass markets than actual high-end experiences. True luxury service tends to disappear into the background, anticipating your needs without drawing attention to itself. Disney has always been an above-average option that's within reach for large swaths of the American public: Disney isn't Prada, it's not even Nieman Marcus; Disney is Target.
But Disney has far outpaced most vacation spots with increased everything.
My only hope from all this is that more and more people realize this and broaden their travel horizons. For years, a week at WDW has been more expensive than a week in Europe, and Disney's ever-increasing prices make the comparison even more stark. Combined with the noticeable decline in quality in the last few years, there the value-for-money proposition just doesn't compare to so many other destinations that seem extravagant, but are actually attainable on the same budget.