Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

DKampy

Well-Known Member
have to see that. I was supposed to see The Zone of Interest tonight but I sprained my ankle on the treadmill at the gym today, so after the doctor, I just hobbled my way home instead, lol. Fun times! šŸ˜¬
Ouchā€¦been thereā€¦it sucksā€¦of the best picture nomineesā€¦I need to see Zone of Interest, Anatomy of a Fall, and Maestroā€¦Not going to lie I am not real excited to see that last one
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Ok. If those are the rules. Just wondering how much involvement the distributor, searchlight, had in actual production. Any at all?
TSG was one of the production companies.

TSG was the financing partner for 20th Century Fox, which Disney took over and by extension the partnership. You'll notice outside of a few Sony movies, all of TSG productions are for 20th Century/Searchlight. So yes its a Disney movie as its co-produced by TSG.
 

Trauma

Well-Known Member
In case anyone is counting, Disney has the highest number of Oscar nominations today: 20 in total.

"Poor Things" (Searchlight Pictures)​

11 nominations: Now in theaters:
  • Best Picture
  • Best Director - Yorgos Lanthimos
  • Best Actress - Emma Stone
  • Best Supporting Actor - Mark Ruffalo
  • Best Adapted Screenplay - Tony McNamara
  • Best Cinematography - Robbie Ryan, BSC, ISC
  • Best Editing - Yorgos Mavropsaridis, ACE
  • Best Production Design - James Price, Shona Heath
  • Best Costume Design - Holly Waddington
  • Best Makeup & Hairstyling - Nadia Stacey, Mark Coulier, Josh Weston
  • Best Original Score - Jerskin Fendrix

"The Creator" (20th Century Studios)​

2 nominations: Now streaming on Hulu
  • Best Visual Effects - Andrew Roberts, Ian Comley, Jay Cooper, Neil Corbould
  • Best Sound - Ian Voigt, Erik Aadahl, Ethan Van der Ryn, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic

"Bobi Wine: The People's President" (National Geographic Documentary Films)​

1 nomination: Now streaming on Disney+ and Hulu
  • Documentary Feature Film

"Elemental" (Pixar Animation Studios)​

1 nomination: Now streaming on Disney+
  • Best Animated Film - Peter Sohn, Denise Ream

"Flamin' Hot" (Searchlight Pictures)​

1 nomination: Now streaming on Hulu and Disney+
  • Best Original Song - "The Fire Inside" Written by Diane Warren

"Guardians of The Galaxy, Vol. 3" (Marvel Studios)​

1 nomination: Now streaming on Disney+
  • Best Visual Effects - Alexis Wajsbrot, Guy Williams, Stephane Ceretti, Theo Bialek

"The Last Repair Shop" (Searchlight Pictures)​

1 nomination: Now streaming on Hulu and Disney+
  • Best Documentary Short Film - Ben Proudfoot, Kris Bowers

"Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny" (Lucasfilm Ltd.)​

1 nomination: Now streaming on Disney+
  • Best Original Score - John Williams

"Nai Nai & WĆ i PĆ³" (Disney+)​

1 nomination
  • Best Documentary Short Film - Sean Wang, Sam Davis
Now if they can trade these in for revenue they might break even!!!

Oh wait I forgotā€¦

Nobody cares.
 

TP2000

Well-Known Member
Now if they can trade these in for revenue they might break even!!!

Oh wait I forgotā€¦

Nobody cares.

Poor Things needs each of its 11 nominations to be worth about $6 Million in upcoming box office per nomination, or else it won't break even at the box office.

As of yesterday, Poor Things has about $34 Million in global box office, which is about $65 Million short of breaking even with its $35 Million production budget and a guesstimate of a shoestring global marketing budget of only $15 Million.
 

Andrew C

You know what's funny?
TSG was one of the production companies.

TSG was the financing partner for 20th Century Fox, which Disney took over and by extension the partnership. You'll notice outside of a few Sony movies, all of TSG productions are for 20th Century/Searchlight. So yes its a Disney movie as its co-produced by TSG.
My friendā€™s, cousinā€™s, girlfriendā€™s momā€¦.
 

brideck

Well-Known Member
TSG was one of the production companies.

TSG was the financing partner for 20th Century Fox, which Disney took over and by extension the partnership. You'll notice outside of a few Sony movies, all of TSG productions are for 20th Century/Searchlight. So yes its a Disney movie as its co-produced by TSG.

Searchlight itself was also among the production companies, according to some sources, although we'd probably have to study the end credits in some detail to figure out how true that is. Regardless, in the world of indie films, the distributor is the brand most associated with the movie and is the one responsible for promotion and negotiating screen counts and all that good stuff. Production companies, like Element Pictures in this case (who consistently make great stuff), are a little more inside baseball. You really have to be paying attention to know who produced what. The presence of TSG does indicate that Disney put some non-zero amount into the $35 million.

From my reading, distributors typically get a % of the gross, not of the profits. So in this case, the statement about Poor Things needing to make ~$87 million (2.5x budget) in order for Disney to see any profit is most likely incorrect, but it would depend on how much they paid Element, etc. for the Lanthimos deal that they have in place -- Searchlight did The Favourite, Poor Things, and the upcoming Kinds of Kindness -- and how much they spent on marketing. Hitting $87 million would only serve to absolutely ensure that a profit was made.
 

Trauma

Well-Known Member
Poor Things needs each of its 11 nominations to be worth about $6 Million in upcoming box office per nomination, or else it won't break even at the box office.

As of yesterday, Poor Things has about $34 Million in global box office, which is about $65 Million short of breaking even with its $35 Million production budget and a guesstimate of a shoestring global marketing budget of only $15 Million.
I donā€™t even know what Poor Things is but considering how many times it was nominated it has be a film with some whiny actress delivering ā€œthe message.ā€
 

brideck

Well-Known Member
All of Us Strangers and The Iron Claw didnā€™t seem to mount much of an Oscar campaign, not sure why. Both were extremely worthy of awards consideration. Same for Saltburn and The Color Purple. They may have thought that Saltburn was just too sick. It is, but itā€™s still brilliant. They may have thought that they already had The Color Purple party in the 80ā€™s. They did, but this new musical production was also brilliant. Havenā€™t seen May December yet. Wonka should have gotten a couple of noms.

My understanding from reading around over the past couple weeks is that this is more or less a bandwidth problem with smaller distributors. A24 pushed for Past Lives and The Zone of Interest, but it came at The Iron Claw's expense. Likewise Searchlight and Poor Things, etc. Netflix apparently has the ability to push any and everything.

ETA: This is especially a shame for films like All of Us Strangers. It just got a nice little expansion last weekend, kept a pretty good per-screen average, but is going to be mercilessly cut down anyway to make room for Oscar-nominated movies. It's down from 17 to 4 screenings in my AMCs this coming weekend, and The Iron Claw is down to just 1. Meanwhile, Poor Things keeps 11, American Fiction is at 20, and a bunch of movies are back on screens at a $5 price point. They'll all be allowed to run for a number of weeks now. The power of the Oscars.
 
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Disney Irish

Premium Member
Searchlight itself was also among the production companies, according to some sources, although we'd probably have to study the end credits in some detail to figure out how true that is. Regardless, in the world of indie films, the distributor is the brand most associated with the movie and is the one responsible for promotion and negotiating screen counts and all that good stuff. Production companies, like Element Pictures in this case (who consistently make great stuff), are a little more inside baseball. You really have to be paying attention to know who produced what. The presence of TSG does indicate that Disney put some non-zero amount into the $35 million.

From my reading, distributors typically get a % of the gross, not of the profits. So in this case, the statement about Poor Things needing to make ~$87 million (2.5x budget) in order for Disney to see any profit is most likely incorrect, but it would depend on how much they paid Element, etc. for the Lanthimos deal that they have in place -- Searchlight did The Favourite, Poor Things, and the upcoming Kinds of Kindness -- and how much they spent on marketing. Hitting $87 million would only serve to absolutely ensure that a profit was made.

I agree, the ~$87M is just what would it would take to make everyone involved whole, not the figure before Disney sees $1. The same can be said for many Disney films, as Disney doesn't always self-finance or solely finance their films.

But that's too complex for the "Everything Disney releases loses money" crowd.
 

brideck

Well-Known Member
How did Disney-acquired Magazine Dreams do in terms of nominations?

I almost posted about Magazine Dreams last week. Searchlight returned the distribution rights to the filmmakers about a week ago. Given the circumstances around Jonathan Majors, I don't know if they were able to back out without penalty, or if Disney ended up losing anything in the deal.
 

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