Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

Vegas Disney Fan

Well-Known Member
YouTube Algorithm is interesting when you consider how many young children watch YouTube.
84 per cent of kids say YouTube is the main way they consume video content, with 40 per cent of kids spending up to two hours a day on YouTube.Jan 19, 2023
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I’m almost 50, we have a half dozen subscription services, and cable, and YouTube is my primary source of video content also.

I’d rather watch some random guy service a watch or dig a pond than watch a fake reality tv shows 27th season.
 

Heppenheimer

Well-Known Member
Exactly! Box office is basically determined by opening weekend at this point. If opening isn't strong, they know revenue is going to be low, so why NOT dump it to Disney+ and at least leverage what they've already put into promotion of the film to point people to D+?
That's the way it was when I worked at a movie theater in the 90s. Only difference is that if the film didn't have legs, it would end up at Blockbuster as soon as possible.

EDIT: I wonder what the age cut-off would be where a person wouldn't understand that second sentence?
 

Tha Realest

Well-Known Member
Exactly! Box office is basically determined by opening weekend at this point. If opening isn't strong, they know revenue is going to be low, so why NOT dump it to Disney+ and at least leverage what they've already put into promotion of the film to point people to D+?
I believe the theatrical window compression is twofold: get most ROI on the theatrical marketing effort/visibility, and to continue to make D+ a necessary app.

The Digital->Blu-Ray->streaming process is like clockwork now. Once they’ve given up on theatrical, you can see a film be released digitally for $20-$25 dollars within a few weeks. Then, a week or two later, Blu-ray’s are out. Then, a week or so after that, it’s on D+ or Max. Comically, Black Adam’s Blu-ray didn’t even have any bonus features- they just wanted go get it out the door.
 

Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
Do you believe these views have hurt Disney in recent years? These are well made critical arguments from talented podcast… why else would so many people watch.
No one has shown up recently to Disney movies. My girls watch YouTube more than any other channel and they are 12.
They don’t watch Disney Plus.
Outrage and targeted hate sells. It makes us feel perversely good about ourselves.

Victimization also sells. Telling folks that the big meanies have intentionally made their lives miserable and that they’re the virtuous ones almost always works, especially when it is providing a counter to reckoning with actual historical victimization that might force unpleasant introspection.

Almost all this stuff is thinly veiled identity politics. If that’s the basis of the argument you want to make, fine, but in that case I want to hear some concrete suggestions for solutions.

I am universally unimpressed with the quality of the “angry YouTube guy” arguments. The only film analysts I love on Twitter are Red Letter Media, and even they can be wrong sometimes. If you feel they have a particularly good argument, articulate it here, don’t expect folks to watch long videos.

If you think the outrage network or its toxic fallout is limited to America, welp… *gestures to Europe and Australia*

YouTube is a radicalizing force. We’ve known this for a while - it’s been heavily researched. Stupid online arguments about seemingly inconsequential media can be tremendously impactful - much of our current national and even global mess was born in an online fight over video games.
 

DisneyHead123

Well-Known Member
My 14yo is the same with youtube. That's really all she watches. She just doesn't care about going to the movies. She will go if we are going but its not something she asks for.
When I'm with my extended family we usually try to do a movie day to pass the time, but we almost have to bribe the kids to go. It helps if they like the IP, but popcorn and candy are a must. Last time I was home with a group of five cousins, three of them wanted noise canceling headphones for at least part of the movie. Screens have also gotten bigger and bigger which can be scary for kids. Not to mention this generation of kids seems to be more sensory sensitive on average. I think theaters really need to rethink the experience for children if they want a generation of young kids who clamor for a trip to the movies.
 

erasure fan1

Well-Known Member
Maybe actually listen to some of their critiques before just lumping them all into "outrage peddlers"? Some of them certainly are nothing more than right-wing hacks, but some of the better ones have pretty incisive arguments on the recent weaknesses in cinematic storytelling.
I agree, there are plenty of idiots on YouTube just shouting nonsense because of the it's cool to hate Disney mentality. But there's plenty of them that break things down very well. The problem now, is even the channels that have been historically pro Disney, are saying the same things we are about Disneys content over the last year or so. Like this video from John Campea.

Heck, most of the ones that make it onto my Youtube feed aren't even American, and these are hardly "powerful people" or "medial outlets".
This is where I take issue as well. I get there's a lot of hate channels, and I'm guessing there's idiots who see the click bait preview image and title and take it as gospel. But I'm really not sure what ones are powerful? And the media outlets are very much a wash, if anything most mainstream media sites are pro Disney.
 

DKampy

Well-Known Member
If you're just dismissing all of it as "Culture War", then you're missing the point of much of the better criticism.
I have watched much of the criticisms from certain YouTubers… and I find most of it to be “culture war” biased stuff… including critical drinker he just can sound more articulate…he still has biases to a certain side… I prefer watching someone like Dan Murrell… he is truly unbiased… he gives honest reviews…. He may not have the subscribers of those other YouTubers… but click hate sells… there is a reason so many are doing it with the same talking points
 

DisneyHead123

Well-Known Member
I think the "free" tier is going to be YouTube.
That could be, although I think they need to include actual shows on it. Maybe older seasons and cool stuff like holiday specials only go on D+, but I think they need a way to get people watching in the first place.

They're aware of what they have/had in Bluey. I'm expecting a lot more anime and Mr. Beast-style "give money away but make it inspirational" sort of stuff because it's so cheap to make.
In general or from Disney? I was just saying in another post that it would cool to see a "Disney Dreams Come True" kinda reality show on D+. Maybe someone gets to shop the entire Disney bridal line and choose whatever they want, someone gets a behind the scenes tour of the park, someone spends a day with an Imagineer, etc.

I don't agree about premium access. I think they tried it and it doesn't work. Honestly, I think they're going to have to embrace a model that has all general content production covered by subscription/ads, and upcharge for access to behind-the-scenes, fan discussion, merch, and "influencer" commentary-type stuff.
The fact that they tried it once does make me wonder if it can work. That said, my take is that they kinda have to make it work, because they don't have the breadth of content of a platform like Netflix (see the graph in that article) and they're currently trying to cut production budgets. I just don't see what they're going to offer that's going to allow them to keep pushing the subscription price up and up.
 

Animaniac93-98

Well-Known Member
I prefer watching someone like Dan Murrell… he is truly unbiased… he gives honest reviews…. He may not have the subscribers of those other YouTubers… but click hate sells… there is a reason so many are doing it with the same talking points

Speaking of Dan, his latest box office video summarizing the last several weeks was a great watch and brings up and elaborates on many of the points referenced in this thread. His profitability calculations are inherently suspect due to the guesswork involved and the lack of reported information on all the various revenue outlets, but the overall conclusions are clear and concise.

Bottom line, Disney had a rough year. Some people online capitalized on that for their own benefit, but there was a clear disinterest from both mainstream critics and the general public for much of Disney's output and that was ultimately reflected at the box office.

As Dan put it, the failures of The Marvels and Wish were the end result of an overall decline in quality and interest, not that these specific titles had anything outright wrong with them (though poor reviews didn't help).
 

CinematicFusion

Well-Known Member
Outrage and targeted hate sells. It makes us feel perversely good about ourselves.

Victimization also sells. Telling folks that the big meanies have intentionally made their lives miserable and that they’re the virtuous ones almost always works, especially when it is providing a counter to reckoning with actual historical victimization that might force unpleasant introspection.

Almost all this stuff is thinly veiled identity politics. If that’s the basis of the argument you want to make, fine, but in that case I want to hear some concrete suggestions for solutions.

I am universally unimpressed with the quality of the “angry YouTube guy” arguments. The only film analysts I love on Twitter are Red Letter Media, and even they can be wrong sometimes. If you feel they have a particularly good argument, articulate it here, don’t expect folks to watch long videos.

If you think the outrage network or its toxic fallout is limited to America, welp… *gestures to Europe and Australia*

YouTube is a radicalizing force. We’ve known this for a while - it’s been heavily researched. Stupid online arguments about seemingly inconsequential media can be tremendously impactful - much of our current national and even global mess was born in an online fight over video games.
But to be fair they do have a point just like Red Letter Media (who also has 1.5 million subscribers) When Last Jedi was such a colossal disappointment, Red Letter Media did an exceptional job of describing why.
People are upset with Disney's recent issue with quality control. Their stories from Willow to Wish have been average to terrible.
So Disney is fueling guys like Red Letter Media with plenty of ammunition to attack them.

Add that most kids watch youtube, my kids included, and it can spell disaster for Disney.
Everyone watches these critiques.
I mean, they are fun to watch and many have solid points as you know.
 
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Animaniac93-98

Well-Known Member
Asking the question again in this thread where it's more relevant, what happens if Frozen 3 underperforms?

I think It would completely undermine Iger's whole business strategy and confidence in the brand.

I would never expect such a thing to happen a couple years ago, but now I feel anything is possible.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
Fail.

Why is it any different to write a white character vs. a non-white character when it comes to creativity or storytelling?
My guess?

Because there tends to be an instinctual resistance to minority characters - or those not in traditional roles - being represented more than you would find them statistically on the street.

And I’m all for more varied material…it’s interesting

But here’s a tip: don’t redo old stories with different races “just cause”…because it looks judgement

And don’t replace luke Skywalker with a 90 lb 20 year old…who coincidentally hasn’t worked since…proving what a bad idea it was.

Make new stories and new characters and expand “the world”:..not swap it out for money

It’s not working
 

DKampy

Well-Known Member
Speaking of Dan, his latest box office video summarizing the last several weeks was a great watch and brings up and elaborates on many of the points referenced in this thread. His profitability calculations are inherently suspect due to the guesswork involved and the lack of reported information on all the various revenue outlets, but the overall conclusions are clear and concise.

Bottom line, Disney had a rough year. Some people online capitalized on that for their own benefit, but there was a clear disinterest from both mainstream critics and the general public for much of Disney's output and that was ultimately reflected at the box office.

As Dan put it, the failures of The Marvels and Wish were the end result of an overall decline in quality and interest, not that these specific titles had anything outright wrong with them (though poor reviews didn't help).
I agree… I think Dan box office analysis is some of the most insightful online
 
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Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
My guess?

Because there tends to be an instinctual resistance to minority characters - or those not in traditional roles - being represented more than you would find them statistically on the street.

And I’m all for more varied material…it’s interesting

But here’s a tip: don’t redo old stories with different races “just cause”…because it looks judgement

And don’t replace luke Skywalker with a 90 lb 20 year old…who coincidentally hasn’t worked since…proving what a bad idea it was.

Make new stories and new characters and expand “the world”:..not swap it out for money

It’s not working
If it looks “judgmental,” that’s because of what the viewer is bringing to the material.

Luke Skywalker wasn’t “swapped.”
 

Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
But to be fair they do have a points just like Red Letter Media (who also has 1.5 million subscribers) When Last Jedi was such a colossal disappointment, Red Letter Media did an exceptional job of describing why.
People are upset with Disney's recent issue with quality control. Their stories from Willow to Wish have been average to terrible.
So Disney is fueling guys like Red Letter Media with plenty of ammunition to attack them.

Add that most kids watch youtube, my kids included, and it can spell disaster for Disney.
Everyone watches these critiques.
I mean, they are fun to watch and many have solid points as you know.
I said they aren’t always right, and that’s one of their biggest misses. That said, they don’t play the political games most other YouTube critics do, so they don’t need or want “ammunition.”
 

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