Slowjack
Well-Known Member
Again, it looks easy in hindsight. It's true that there aren't a lot of rides for young children in DHS besides TSMM. But that could also lead to DHS not drawing as many families with young children, which would hurt attendance on the ride, not help. Of course, building the ride could alter the mix of guests at the park -- which is why these patterns are so hard to predict. And building a ride the whole family can enjoy doesn't tell you how many families will actually enjoy it.Simple.
1.) This is an interactive/competitive ride
2.) This is a ride the whole family can enjoy (unlike almost the entire rest of DHS outside of GMR)
3.) WDW Draws much higher crowds than DLR does.
Combine all of that together and it should be easy to know that you're gonna need a bigger boat.
And DHS currently gets only about 15% more guests than DCA, although admittedly the gap was larger back when the rides were built. But consider: Tokyo DisneySea has a TSMM, too. Do they need a third track? Apparently not, even though their crowds crush those at DHS or DCA.
Keep in mind, too, that WDI can't even be completely sure what a ride's capacity is until it's built. They can make educated guesses, but changes in ride control systems, dispatch timing, and operational issues can make a big difference.
Or remember the boats that used to be circling the Animal Kingdom. There was a lame ride, which should have meant the demand would be low to match the low capacity. But that's not what happened. People queued up like there was a free turkey leg at the end of the line.
Or who would have thought that people would wait, literally for hours, for a simple meet and greet? I know I wouldn't have. But apparently there's something about those Frozen girls that transcends all reason.
So I'm going to cut Disney some slack on this. Capacity planning is hard, not simple. (And for capacity planning on a WDW trip, here's my biggest gripe: why are there so few bathrooms at the Orlando airport?)