Yeah, I mean do people really think behavior is going to be any different? The ship has sailed, the vaccines will bail us out...hopefully. In a practical sense cases staying up in FL may actually help with vaccine acceptance. If the cases flatlined right now even more people may decide they don’t need the vaccine.
Accessibility seems to be a big one, there's counties reporting single digit doses being distributed a day. How many those counties are being allocated may be hindering them as well.
I also think Hospice may be a part of this. You will be kept as comfortable as possible but they will not mitigate death and in my Uncle's case not vaccinate.
This could be the best idea on this thread ever.
Spraypaint "free Mickey Bars" and watch them come running lol
Only wrinkle is Florida is ground zero for the UK variant (B1.1.7) right now, let that thing mutate into something more deadly and we are in trouble. It is already more contagious than the "wild" we had at first
So basically just good old fashion laziness because after my first vaccination I felt bulletproof (misplaced I know) and have forgotten a mask a time or two. Its just not ever present on my mind anymore.
IMHO that trend line isn't looking good
Agreed first shot is a good indication of how many will ultimately be fully vaccinated. Since the efficacy 2 weeks after shot 1 also appear to be 80%+ in real life studies I also assume a lot of the impact on cases should be felt within 2 weeks of shot 1. The 2nd shot adds further protection but as we have seen in the UK, 1 shot does give a substantial amount of protection as well and will move the needle down on cases. We will be over 50% of adults with at least 1 shot in a few weeks, most will be 2+weeks by May 1.
Agreed first shot is a good indication of how many will ultimately be fully vaccinated. Since the efficacy 2 weeks after shot 1 also appear to be 80%+ in real life studies I also assume a lot of the impact on cases should be felt within 2 weeks of shot 1. The 2nd shot adds further protection but as we have seen in the UK, 1 shot does give a substantial amount of protection as well and will move the needle down on cases. We will be over 50% of adults with at least 1 shot in a few weeks, most will be 2+weeks by May 1.
The pace will slow soon in certain locations. Demand overall is still way higher than supply but levels of demand vary by state and locally within each state. The states and the federal government are going to have to make some calls on allocating doses to places where demand is higher. That should help keep the pace up of done right. Eventually we will run out of people that want to go, but that’s a good thing
Look for Michigan to take that crown away from FL. Not immediately, but with half as many people, they have about half as many cases of B117. FL, about 3200 cases with 20 million people in the state, Michigan with 1600 cases and 9 million people. However, Michigan's trend line is still the steepest anywhere. @Nubs70 needs that vac site to triple the impressive output of 12k per day.
Interesting. Hospice patients are still being vaccinated in our state. With all the caregivers they contact, they don't want these patients to become a nexus of infection. Also, keep in mind that being on hospice doesn't necessarily mean death is imminent, it just means the goals of care change from prolonging life to emphasizing comfort.
Sadly the company I work for is paying employees $100.00 to get the vaccine but only about 30% oh the employees at my store have gotten the shot. I'm hoping more will get if we get the J&J vaccine
After the year we've had it blows my mind.
It doesn’t blow mine, this year has truly shown me how much, how to say this in a non mean way, umm, ugliness and willful ignorance there are in the world.
