I don’t see it as over promising if you never promise anything. Again, if you tell people to get vaccinated as soon as possible because that’s the fastest way to a return to normal I think that’s the right set of talking points. I’m not worried about rebellion either. We had rebellion for the last 9 months when a small group of people didn’t want to follow simple safety protocols. That won’t change, they still don’t want to follow and certainly won’t be any more willing if you tell them we’re keeping them around for 9+ months longer. I don’t think we need to slow play the whole situation to placate those snowflakes. Tell people your honest best guess on timelines, tell them it’s a best guess not a promise and that nothing is guaranteed because there are a ton of variables and if something derails the process or even slightly delays it come back to me as soon as you know that and tell me there’s a delay and why. The vast majority of Americans can handle that and will appreciate that approach vs being told no return to normal until 2022 because there’s a chance that could actually happen.
What you're saying should be the message -- That's what I'm hearing. I haven't heard anyone to say "no normal until 2022."
It's important to read beyond the headlines. The media sensationalizes stories in the headline, often picking an outlying part of the story. It's not even the journalists writing the story who pick the headline -- it's an editor who picks the headline in order to grab attention.
For example: Washington Post headline from last week:
"When will we return to normal? The question looms as Fauci says mask-wearing may continue in 2022."
Now, even the headline doesn't have Fauci saying mask-wearing WILL continue until 2022. Just "may" continue. So they decided the "maybe" we worthy of the headline, in order to sensationalize.
So what did Fauci actually say:
“No, you know, I can’t say that, Dana,” Fauci told CNN’s Dana Bash when she asked him on Sunday whether his timeline for a return to normality had been pushed back by a year or more. “Because then it will be a sound bite that’s not true. I’m saying: We don’t know."
So, all he said if "he didn't know" if we would need masks in 2022..
His further message was almost exactly what you said:
“I want it to keep going down to a baseline that’s so low there is virtually no threat,” Fauci said. “If you combine getting most of the people in the country vaccinated with getting the level of virus in the community very, very low, then I believe you’re going to be able to say, you know, for the most part, we don’t necessarily have to wear masks.”
So, he gave no timeline -- he just said that "if you get lots of people vaccinated and it gets the level of the virus to a very very very low level" then we won't generally need masks.
Sadly, what we are already seeing, is a rush to normalization whenever the *trend* of the numbers looks good. "Numbers are on their way down, time to re-open!"
What Fauci is warning us about -- and I don't know how much patience there will be for it -- You really have to wait for the numbers to sink to a minimal level BEFORE you rip off your masks. (I read it comments to suggest he wants to see us down to well under 1000 cases per day... probably more like under 100 per day, before we re-open. Much like Australia is now down to an average of 5 cases per day. When adjusted for population, that's 65 cases per day in the US.