“A pandemic closing the parks is unprecedented,” Bloom wrote in a Touring Plans blog post. “We have data from the September 11 attacks that closed the parks and disrupted travel. During the 2008 recession, people reduced spending on vacations. The data for all disruptions in operations shows an initial reduction in attendance and then a bounce back.
If the parks don’t reopen until July or August, the post-COVID-19 recovery could take much longer as the park heads into the natural post-summer attendance drop-off, according to Touring Plans. With a late summer reopening, attendance could see a much shallower recovery with Disneyland attendance unable to regain its footing until the Halloween, Thanksgiving and Christmas seasons, the Touring Plans data shows.
Informative forecast on DLR considered a locals park.