Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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Clamman73

Clamman73

Well-Known Member
Polynesia said:
People and cast members were very sick in January. I still stand by the assumption that Orlando area was hit with this previously. John Hopkins estimates anywhere up to 500,000 people had this and it was undetected. I just can’t fathom that with 70,000 plus cast members you’re not hearing of large numbers being sick. And cast members are pretty tight with each other on Facebook grouped by different locations. It would make the news how Disney put their employees in harms way. That’s how the media spins it in Florida.
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Late January I had some weird worse as a cold, not as bad as a flu sickness where I was coughing until my lungs couldn't give up anymore air and was out for a few days. I was a little surprised I got sick with a regular cold since I got sick in the fall and wouldn't have expected to get a cold again for a while. However I was in proximity to others where I don't think they got sick afterwards, so I don't think it was this Corona thing with how people are saying it spreads so easily.
 
Nunu

Nunu

Wanderluster
Premium Member
We've been getting daily dms' from the Government, keeping the population informed. Waiting for news about our mandated curfew. It's supposed to end tomorrow, but I have a feeling that it might be extended for at least another week.

In other more pleasant news: I've never had a better tasting McDonald's chocolate fudge sundae, like I did today, it felt specially good since we haven't been out much. 🍦😋 Drive-thru only, of course.
 
"El Gran Magnifico"

"El Gran Magnifico"

We are The Knights who say Nuuk
Premium Member
HongKongFooy said:
Where, specifically, in the Constitution am I granted the freedom to eat tuna on rye?
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“The constitutional power of the State to insist that its natural advantages shall remain unimpaired by its citizens is not dependent upon any nice estimate of the extent of present use or speculation as to future needs. . . . What it has it may keep and give no one a reason for its will.”

If you can catch it.....you can eat it.
 
ToTBellHop

ToTBellHop

Well-Known Member
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This has proven pretty accurate. Projected deaths today: 542. Actual 534.
 
Polynesia

Polynesia

Well-Known Member
MisterPenguin said:
There's a killer in your house!! Quick, lock the doors to keep out other possible killers!!!!!


This is the damnedest stupidest thing I've seen, next to the ban on travel from Europe excepting the UK when the UK and US already had community spread.

It's in your house. Stop worrying about it getting 'in.'

It's in. Your. House. Already. Governor.

The person flying or driving in from NY is not any more a concern then the thousands of people in your state who are infected... who you haven't locked down yet. Sure, quarantine the New Yorker, but let the infected in your state run free.

Road blocks *might* make sense if you were testing everyone traveling, or you knew for sure that your community was 100% CV free. Or, your own state was on lockdown and had travel bans. But again, not enough tests to make sure.

And of course, no Floridian would ever travel to NYC and return to Florida. Unheard of! Floridians couldn't possibly have done this to themselves... it's those dirty New Yorkers!

{Many of the first cases in the U.S. wasn't because of Chinese people entering the U.S., but U.S. citizens traveling to China and back.}​
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We’re trying to contain this. Why have a lockdown if you’re letting people from other states in? I don’t recall anyone calling New Yorkers dirty. This isn’t personal. It’s common sense to stay out during a lockdown and follow the guidelines of your state. Geez
 
hopemax

hopemax

Well-Known Member
Polynesia said:
People and cast members were very sick in January. I still stand by the assumption that Orlando area was hit with this previously. John Hopkins estimates anywhere up to 500,000 people had this and it was undetected. I just can’t fathom that with 70,000 plus cast members you’re not hearing of large numbers being sick. And cast members are pretty tight with each other on Facebook grouped by different locations. It would make the news how Disney put their employees in harms way. That’s how the media spins it in Florida.
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I went back to the Professor's article. It was posted on March 12, and he said

"He added: “I think we have between 50,000 and half a million cases right now walking around in the United States.”

With the R0 = 3 or "1 person infecting 3 other people" we can walk these numbers back.

So one infection cycle earlier, it would be 16,667 people - 166,667 people

Two infection cycles earlier, it would be 5,555 people - 55,555 people

Three infection cycles: 1852 people - 18,518 people

And those would have been spread out around the entire country. So how long is an infection cycle? Research says 4 days. So March 1, would represent the date of "3 infection cycles earlier." And a much smaller tally of cases.

If hundreds of people were sick in January, exposing 3 people, and cycling every 4 days. The number of cases at the end of March would be millions.

Let's do it:

Jan 15 - 300 CMs and guests are walking around WDW sick
Jan 19 - 900 people infected
Jan 24 - 2700 people
Jan 28 - 8100
Feb 2 - 24,300
Feb 6 - 72,900
Feb 10 - 218,700
Feb 14 - 656,100
Feb 18 - 1,968,300
Feb 22 - 5,904, 900
Feb 26 - 17,714,700
Mar 1 - 53,144,100
Mar 5 - 159,432,300
Mar 9 - 478,296,900
Mar 13 - Looks like I am wrong. It isn't Millions that would be infected today it would be Billions.

All stemming from the sick WDW people in January.

That is obviously NOT what is happening here. So either all the epidemiologists are wrong about the R0 or the serial interval, even though they DO match during the time everybody started tracking it everywhere. Or...

Is there any way you can believe your assumption was wrong, and THAT'S why you aren't seeing the effects you think you should?
 
"El Gran Magnifico"

"El Gran Magnifico"

We are The Knights who say Nuuk
Premium Member
Ok. So now - here's a real poll. What's the ride you miss the most.


Splash. I want to fend off the bees and wasps while my log backs up near that waterfall. Can't wait......

Close second (unofficial ride)......sitting sipping a Lapu Lapu at the Poly watching families have a meltdown after a full day at MK.
 
hopemax

hopemax

Well-Known Member
scorp16 said:
Ok. So now - here's a real poll. What's the ride you miss the most.


Splash. I want to fend off the bees and wasps while my log backs up near that waterfall. Can't wait......

Close second (unofficial ride)......sitting sipping a Lapu Lapu at the Poly watching families have a meltdown after a full day at MK.
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Horizons

Or are we supposed to stick with what currently exists?
 
wishiwere@wdw

wishiwere@wdw

Well-Known Member
Apologies if this has been posted already but even still, too good not to share even if it’s again :).

And kudos to Europa Park for doing this. Maybe Disney will turn back on that creative engine as well and do something similar.

 
Andrew C

Andrew C

You know what's funny?
Polynesia said:
We’re trying to contain this. Why have a lockdown if you’re letting people from other states in? I don’t recall anyone calling New Yorkers dirty. This isn’t personal. It’s common sense to stay out during a lockdown and follow the guidelines of your state. Geez
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geez it is horribly sad what is occurring in New York. 45k out of the 122k total cases. Over 500 of the 2K deaths. They are getting nailed.
 
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