This is the group out of UW in Seattle. Other then failing to predict new varients (which no one can) they’ve been pretty spot on in their near future predictions.
The supplychain problem was well predicted. We saw it with our ocer dependance on medicine, facemasks and other PPP. Anyone who watched sharktank should have known it listening to how Mr Wonderful told everyone they needed to move their production to China. We did that to ourselves and almost every one of our elected officials had no problem with it. in fact even today we are sending our production to China. If you doubt that look at greenenergy and where the solar cells are made. We are still giving away our future to China. The time has come to take it back. Buy American. Make it here. We should be the worlds energy supplier not importing solar cells and wind turnbines.
They have been the worst of all the models.
How so? Again they can’t predict new varients, but once a wave starts they have been spot on. Recently they 100% nailed the omicron wave in the US and when it would end.
I've noticed the same.
I followed them for the first year and found them to be completely unreliable. There’s a reason why all media started ignoring them. The most accurate model has been the university of Florida’s.
Just as production was moved to China industry can move production away from China. How about that other continent to the south, you know South America. Lots of countries there would welcome investment and business which would mean a higher standard of living for them, a better relationship with the U.S. and a shorter supply chain. Disney can start by divesting itself of the looser park SD. Disney does not own it anyway, just a minority share holder.
Am I missing something? I thought they did the state of Florida only? https://www.epi.ufl.edu/covid-19-resources/covid-19-models/
The efficiency of production in China does not compare to other parts of the world. Factories are built with staff housing in the same location so ops can run 24/7 to keep up with demand of a number of products. This was typed from a device made there. I've traveled in SA where many holidays are celebrated , towns close up, shortened work hours etc. If efficient production would work there, I beg to differ. If anyone can suggest what other country can manufacture and supply approx 70% of USA meds like China , I'm open to ideas. Moving main ops from China to other parts of the world is wishful thinking. Companies including US ops have invested billions in China , so it is what it is.
You continue to be such a negative Nancy on this topic. It’s not a question of what is possible today. It’s a question of what can be possible in the future. What is able to be, not what is now. No one expects a change with the flick of a switch. Have some vision.
Sorry. Yes. I will.Can we stick to covid
It is a pipe dream to think other countries to rival or exceed China productivity especially the suggestion of SA, but it is ok to dream..
I kind of enjoy the thread and if we annoy the mom too much I'd worry about shutting us down like the mask thread did is all
IG Farben had an incredibly low cost of labor too.
I agree - I stopped looking at them long ago. They were pretty bad in the first year.
But the CDC changed metrics for a reason. The idea was that in the early days of the pandemic, when there were no vaccines and no effective therapeutics, it made sense to judge risk based solely on transmission levels in a community. But now that folks can get vaccinated if they choose and we have decent therapeutics as well, people have the tools to protect themselves from severe outcomes. So "how likely are you to be exposed to Covid" is no longer considered the appropriate metric. It's "how often are people in a community having serious problems because of Covid." And I think that makes sense.I'm not sure what you mean here?
These are both the CDC defined metrics. One they've been using for months (and still are for health care facilities) and one that's been around for the last couple of months (maybe less, time is hard to judge these days).
If the question is how did they determine the cut offs between each level? I've got no idea, they could have pulled them out of thin air. Presumably if they did just make them up out of thin air, it was done by people with the knowledge and expertise to make that kind of determination. I would assume a little more went into it though, with some work done based on impacts and goals.
Comparing the two, you can judge them on how they work differently compared to each other. Not so much on how those cut offs work in an absolute sense.
CDC Landing Page:
COVID Data Tracker
CDC’s home for COVID-19 data. Visualizations, graphs, and data in one easy-to-use website.covid.cdc.gov
There's links at the top to both, with more links and links and then even more describing both of them.
The same people who would die of Covid, will still of Covid now. The only difference is we are over stopping the world to try to save the weak. I don't mean that in a vicious way but many of the population are weak body wise. The slightest thing will kill them.
