disneygeek90
Well-Known Member
MLB had an agreement in place that if 85% of staff and players were vaxed they could loosen restrictions in clubhouses. To that effect, many teams have already reached that benchmark. There was a concrete "reward" that I think is being lost on the general public at the moment.Yes. This is exactly what should happen. Trying to listen to both sides I’m hearing one side say that we can’t remove restrictions and return to normal unless cases come way down to a reasonable level. The other side is saying what‘s the point of getting vaccinated if we need to continue to act mostly the same after getting it. They claim if we were told we could drop all covid restrictions once vaccinated mostly everyone would get the vaccine. I think the perfect compromise is to set a finite goal of reaching a percent vaccinated. As long as you pick a vaccination rate that’s high enough you almost guarantee cases will be plenty low enough and the vaccine hesitant crowd can see a finite end to the restrictions if they just take the jab.
I would be careful to set a percent of the eligible population not total population unless you adjust down for the 25% of the population who are not eligible yet. So right now 93% of eligible people would need to be vaccinated to get to 70% of the population. That’s not going to happen any time soon or ever. A reasonable goal is probably 70% of the eligible population vaccinated. Once the 12-15 year olds amendment is approved 70% of eligible people is around 196M Americans. We are at 142M with at least 1 shot. 54M more people and probably 20M come from the 12-17 age group so likely 34M more adults. That’s very doable. That would also get us over 60% of the total population which is slightly higher than Israel is at today for 1 shot and we‘ve seen the great results there.
On timing if a firm goal is set and more hesitant people come in as well as kids 12-15 we have the capacity to blow though 54M new doses before the end of May. At the current pace it would likely take into June with 3-4 weeks for shot 2. Assuming the pace picks up again, by July 4th we could reach the 70% of eligible Americans fully vaccinated and lift all restrictions nationwide. The beauty of the plan is that how long we have to wait to get back to normal rests solely on the shoulders of those who aren’t vaccinated yet. Put your money where your mouth is and get the shots and we all get to throw away the masks and go back to normal. No excuses.