I feel like it’s Groundhog day around here. We don‘t need 80-85% of adults vaccinated to reach herd immunity. Israel is at 55% of their total population vaccinated
actually... they are closer to 60%... which is 80% of adults.
Not sure why you keep confusing adults with entire population.
80% of adults in Israel = 60% of population. Per Israel’s DOH, they have vaccinated 62% of entire population
and you said earlier is either approaching or reached herd immunity. We would need 65% of the 12+ population (kids 12-15 should be approved shortly) to get to that level.
no. How does 65% of 12+ equate to 62% of entire population???
Again... Israel is 62% of entire population, 80% of adults.
27% of Israel’s population is under 15.
Without touching that 27%, they still have managed to vaccinate 62% of adults
I think we hit 70%+ which means 60%+ of the total population.
we may barely hit 70% of adults. In many places and regions, we may not even hit 60% of adults. As Dr. Gottlieb suggested, he expects pockets of continued disease and spread.
I know you will credit that to their vaccine passports but that‘s a matter of opinion. Those passports just limit indoor dining and large group activities already mostly limited here.
Most employers are requiring them. You can’t have a job outside the home without the passport.
Indoor dining is just barely limited here. Gyms are open. Public gatherings are open. You need a passport for all those activities in Israel — which is a huge carrot that has led to 80% of adults getting vaccinated
It’s not a major part of the picture, the vaccines are the key driver. We can and should get there. Passports are a plan B if we don’t.
Ok... simple bet. You say we are 6 weeks behind Israel.
Today, Israel had 4 cases per million people. Will we be at that level in 6 weeks? In 6 weeks, will we be under 1,500 cases per day and still dropping?
Im sure we will get significant case reduction. I bet we are under 20,000 cases per day in 6 weeks. But will we get to Israel’s point, under 10 cases per million people?