I’m looking at longer term trends. I posted the Israel numbers a few pages back. 3 weeks ago there were people here losing their mind saying the numbers in Israel looked terrible and had plateaued. Their little blip reversed course and they are back to full downward. I’m not saying we can’t be at the beginning of a 3rd wave but just that it‘s way too soon to know yet. The general trend is still downward for the national numbers. Let’s see how it looks in 2 or 3 weeks.
Could be a problem. Vaccine hesitancy is the biggest roadblock to us getting a return to normal. It will be a tragedy if we have enough vaccine doses for every eligible American come May 15th but only 50-60% of people have gotten it. In good news 67% of people 65+ have gotten at least 1 shot. In a handful of states they are still only doing 75+ and in many states it’s still difficult to get appointments. That number could easily get into the 75-80% range nationally. That group is more likely to want the vaccine than younger people, but it’s still a good sign that we are near 70% on the first group eligible.
That is when they go door to door. It is already happening in minority communities here and some of the teams are offering on the spot vaccines. When someone shows up at your house you might say what the heck and say go ahead, all the impediments are gone and its private, that should get more done.
The writing is on the wall, that people are going to do nothing. The school situation, and states lifting restrictions show that we've reached the point where anything government does will be fighting a losing battle. Some states will hold out until we reach the point where vaccines are available to anyone as a walkup. Then whatever happens happens. I think this will translate into most people going back to normal, but a quarter-ish of people being suspicious and distrustful which will have ramifications in the recovery phase.
Agreed. I saw in some states they had allocated a portion of the JnJ doses for mobile vaccine units. Basically a van that drove into certain areas and vaccinated anyone that wanted it. No questions asked. We are fast approaching the switch from push to pull where the supply exceeds demand. Governors and local leaders so far have been judged on how efficient they were at getting vaccination sites setup but we are going to see a switch to judging them on how effective they are at getting the rest of the people vaccinated.
@GoofGoof is really gonna spike or surge by Fall or Winter? I'm worried about that. Is going to back to normal soon for good?
Who knows, it could go either way, but nothing to worry about either way. All we can do is continue to do our part: wear a mask, distance, wash our hands and get the vaccine when we are eligible. If most people do those things we will likely avoid another wave and get back to normal life.
Wiping after touching doesn't help me. It's the touching during that I loathe because of touching after other hot hands. I just don't like it, but I do it. I don't routinely carry wipes or santizer tbh. Would rather wash hands, but would love it if I could skip this all together from here on out.
I saw those at a McDonald's somewhere in South Dakota a few years ago and thought it was the greatest thing ever. They are very easy to use. I hate public restrooms with inward opening doors that require you to grab a handle to get out.I saw these things on restroom doors in town restaurants. Sorry I'm too uncoordinated to stand on one foot and pull the door with my other foot.
Paper towels and a trash can by the door. Natural to have a wad in your hand just pull the door open. Most places don't get that so no can. Often a few by the door.
I maybe too cautious but after my second Moderna shot in mid Feb, I continue to mask up, social distance and the whole nine yards. I'm not going to let my guard down. But I will take what I had to go through with Moderna second shot side effects instead of contacting Covid anyday.
Not too cautious at all, that's absolutely the right thing to be doing at the moment.
You should do those things. A time is coming eventually where we won’t need to do those things but we’re not even close to being there yet. There’s no short cut, we have to follow through all the way until the very end. The better we contain cases now the lower the starting point for cases to come down from and the faster the vaccines do their thing and get us back to normal. If cases do spike and surge now that only delays the return to normal.
