Distribution will be difficult. I was impressed with the write up that Pfizer had on their progress. They have the freezer farms where they partnered with UPS and DHL to build out as well as the reusable shipping containers ready to go. They are going for a just-in-time delivery process where the vaccine doses are delivered to the end user within several days of production. The 2 dose thing becomes really problematic though. They would need to really make sure the coordination is spot on. Moderna has to rely on a third party more but they have a deal in place too. JnJ and AstraZenaca also have huge distribution capability. If we get a safe, working vaccine in record time they will figure out a way to get it over the finish line.
Here‘s the Wall Street Journal Article on Pfizer:
The drugmaker is preparing to ship over a billion doses of Covid-19 vaccine using frozen boxes, cargo planes and trucks in a mega logistics operation.
www.wsj.com
The scale of the operation is enormous. They will be able to ship almost 8M doses a day when fully up and running meaning there’s a good chance they could get up to 200M doses delivered in a few months. That’s 60% of the US population and doesn‘t include the first wave of doses delivered as soon as they get approval. Theoretically that means they could potentially get the 2 doses of the vaccine out to most people that want it in a mater of 2-3 months. Lots would have to go well, but certainly a reason to be optimistic.