Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

Status
Not open for further replies.

wdisney9000

Truindenashendubapreser
Premium Member
ie - some things (like social justice) may be important enough to take risks.
Fair and valid point, but is social justice the only thing worth it enough to "take risks"?

Small business owners have been arrested for taking a risk to save their way of life i.e putting food on the table, paying their bills, keeping their home, etc. and were harshly criticized by many of the same people excusing the riots and protests (which have destroyed many small businesses) as "worth it".
 

DisneyDebRob

Well-Known Member
Fair and valid point, but is social justice the only thing worth it enough to "take risks"?

Small business owners have been arrested for taking a risk to save their way of life i.e putting food on the table, paying their bills, keeping their home, etc. and were harshly criticized by many of the same people excusing the riots and protests (which have destroyed many small businesses) as "worth it".
Haven’t seen one article, one post or one comment saying the riots were ok or excusable.Source?
 

Tom P.

Well-Known Member
I don't claim to be a science guy, but I'll take a stab at it anyway.

I don't read this statement as saying protests are not a potential spreading event, I simply read it at face value: we don't condemn these protests... but that doesn't mean all gatherings are ok.

ie - some things (like social justice) may be important enough to take risks.
Up until the protests began, it was taboo to suggest that there just might be things important enough to take the risk of COVID-19 transmission over. You were pretty much shouted down as not caring about people's lives if you said so. From people attending church services that are deeply important to them to small businesses that provide family livelihoods even being allowed to be open, we've been told that we just couldn't take the risk. And if you look at my posting history, I think you'll see that I was one supporting those efforts to restrict activities to slow the spread.

But now, with the current social unrest, suddenly the attitude of our leaders has shifted. Suddenly, there are things that are so important, we can't speak out against them, even if they can potentially cause a surge in infections. That is the issue that is being addressed here.

Please note that I am not suggesting people shouldn't be permitted to take the risk to protest peacefully. I am suggesting that there should be consistency, though, and that people should be free to judge for themselves other activities they also think are important enough to take that risk over.
 

DisneyCane

Well-Known Member
Before somebody brings up the "spike" in Florida's cases yesterday (and Friday), look at the number of tests. Yesterday there were over 57,000 test results (Friday was over 41,000), which is the highest I've ever seen in a day by a lot. I think the highest I've ever seen before was under 42,000. The new case positive rate was 2.6%.

These "spikes" in cases are probably a good thing because it seems that more mild and, especially asymptomatic cases are being discovered. This means that more people who are infected will know they are infected and quarantine. Also, contact tracing allows people in contact with them to get tested.
 

disney4life2008

Well-Known Member
Disagree. I could easily make an entire vacation at Walt Disney World without ever setting foot in one of the theme parks. There is so much there beyond just the parks.

I'm sorry I just don't see it. There are way too many limitations and restrictions. Even in Orlando, I'm good.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
Before somebody brings up the "spike" in Florida's cases yesterday (and Friday), look at the number of tests. Yesterday there were over 57,000 test results (Friday was over 41,000), which is the highest I've ever seen in a day by a lot. I think the highest I've ever seen before was under 42,000. The new case positive rate was 2.6%.

These "spikes" in cases are probably a good thing because it seems that more mild and, especially asymptomatic cases are being discovered. This means that more people who are infected will know they are infected and quarantine. Also, contact tracing allows people in contact with them to get tested.

There was a big increase in tests in mid to late May and the percent positive went down. And when testing went down, the rate positive started to climb. So, therefore, there is an inverse relationship between the two...

Except... before that big spike in tests in mid May, there was no clear correlation between tests and rate positive. And for the past few days, testing went back up and rate positive didn't go down, but continued to climb.

And... correlation isn't causation.

I've posted before that rate positive is unreliable unless there is systematic randomized testing, so, I'm not going to die on the hill that rate positive is increasing.

But, when you take into account the increasing number of absolute positives and the failure of the death rate to go down significantly... I don't think any case can be made that things are getting better in Florida.

1591551082427.png


1591551506972.png
 

danlb_2000

Premium Member
I don't claim to be a science guy, but I'll take a stab at it anyway.

I don't read this statement as saying protests are not a potential spreading event, I simply read it at face value: we don't condemn these protests... but that doesn't mean all gatherings are ok.

ie - some things (like social justice) may be important enough to take risks.

I think the problem with that whole statement boils down to just a few works "we do not condemn these gatherings as risky for COVID-19 transmission" which is the one being echoed a lot on social media. It makes is sound like they are saying these gatherings are not risky for the transmission of COVID-19. They should have simply said, "we do not condemn these gatherings, but emphasize that they are risky for COVID-19 transmission"
 

danlb_2000

Premium Member
There was a big increase in tests in mid to late May and the percent positive went down. And when testing went down, the rate positive started to climb. So, therefore, there is an inverse relationship between the two...

Except... before that big spike in tests in mid May, there was no clear correlation between tests and rate positive. And for the past few days, testing went back up and rate positive didn't go down, but continued to climb.

And... correlation isn't causation.

I've posted before that rate positive is unreliable unless there is systematic randomized testing, so, I'm not going to die on the hill that rate positive is increasing.

But, when you take into account the increasing number of absolute positives and the failure of the death rate to go down significantly... I don't think any case can be made that things are getting better in Florida.

View attachment 475023

View attachment 475024

What site was this from?
 

SoFloMagic

Well-Known Member
I think the problem with that whole statement boils down to just a few works "we do not condemn these gatherings as risky for COVID-19 transmission" which is the one being echoed a lot on social media. It makes is sound like they are saying these gatherings are not risky for the transmission of COVID-19. They should have simply said, "we do not condemn these gatherings, but emphasize that they are risky for COVID-19 transmission"
Agreed.

Not sure if anyone already posted it, but here's the full letter. The context helps to understand what they were trying to say.

 

Incomudro

Well-Known Member
Haven’t seen one article, one post or one comment saying the riots were ok or excusable.Source?

It's about what the media focuses on, and what they don't.
The media made a decision to largely gloss over the extent of the damage.
They do very few stories of the people affected, their businesses lost... The years of hard work, time effort.
There are human interest stories there, and they are almost exclusively ignored.
All while saying protests were "mostly peaceful."
I saw a youtube video posted by a guy who drove through the blocks that have the high end stores in Manhattan.
He drove block after block, over 4 minutes of driving - showing stores boarded up for entire blocks.
I had NO idea it was that extensive.
That is a story that any honest to goodness news agency would and should show.
But they don't.
 

Incomudro

Well-Known Member
Agreed.

Not sure if anyone already posted it, but here's the full letter. The context helps to understand what they were trying to say.


Wow.
I'm stunned.
If that doesn't fly in the face of everything we were preached, lectured, and warned about, I don't know what does.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Register on WDWMAGIC. This sidebar will go away, and you'll see fewer ads.

Back
Top Bottom