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Black Widow moves to 2021

erasure fan1

Well-Known Member
I am super curious as to how successful this will be. I personally think they wet the bed and black widow should have been put on premier access a long time ago. It's the MCU so it might not matter at this point. People might just be so starved for a new MCU movie they go to the theater and then buy the premier access as well. It won't surprise me if it does great. But at the same time I could see it just being a very mediocre box office performance. Personally I hope it does great as I'm a huge fan of the MCU.
 

DavidNoble

Well-Known Member
Not surprised Black Widow finally moved to Disney Premier and I think it will do great business in theaters and on Disney+, to the point that this will end up being the future of Disney movies (splitting it for both theaters and streaming at the same time) to allow them to capture the market on both ends.
 

Jedijax719

Well-Known Member
I would bet that if they sold Black Widow on PA for $20, there would be a TON more paying for it. However, there might be less seeing in the theater.

However, since they'd only be pulling in 50% of the theater in-take, I think they'd end up with more money if they charged less than $30.
 

erasure fan1

Well-Known Member
I would bet that if they sold Black Widow on PA for $20, there would be a TON more paying for it. However, there might be less seeing in the theater.

However, since they'd only be pulling in 50% of the theater in-take, I think they'd end up with more money if they charged less than $30.
It's a hard nut to crack. The movies that have gone to premier access haven't done fantastic as far as we can tell. But MCU movies they were not. I think Widow would have done just fine at the $30 price point if they had done it last October. Now I'm not so sure. I don't see a lot of pent up demand for the movie anymore. I asked my wife and daughter if they wanted to pay to see it and the answer was, they don't really care at this point. So $20 would probably be a slam dunk, I just don't see Disney under billing an MCU movie. They would only need a quarter of the accounts to purchase it to equal a billion dollar box office at $20.
 

CJR

Well-Known Member
I won't be too surprised if the "additional fee" is more than normal. Especially if people are showing up to the theaters, which they are doing so this weekend for a movie that's "free" on HBOMax.
 

MisterPenguin

Fully Pfizered!
Premium Member
Every time I see this thread in the list of new posts, I think, "Oh, no, it's moved back by another whole year?!!"

And then I realize: "Oh wait, *this* is 2021!"

I'm on COVID time.
 

Jedijax719

Well-Known Member
With ZillavsKong's success, I can see a situation where Black Widow does end up pulling in $1billion WW. That will NOT be from theaters alone of course, but $500 million WW in theaters is a very real possibility. The release in July will actually help this to happen.

And $400-$450 million worth of PA orders on D+ is also a very real possibility, or even probability.

Finally, if you add in the fact that Disney will take all the $$$ it makes on D+, the total revenue could actually be higher (by quite a bit even) than a theater-only release. And that is EVEN in a pre-Covid setting.

If it makes $500 million WW at the box office and 15% of D+ subscribers pay for it, that comes to $950 million box office/subscriptions total. (and GvK is very close to $300 million WW already).
 

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