A look ahead at the 4 CFP Slots:
Conferences represented in no particular order:
SEC - candidates are Undefeated Georgia, Bama, LSU, Kentucky can win out and are in, and 1 loss Florida and Auburn would need help to get to the SEC Championship
ACC - candidates are Clemson, Miami, and long Shot NC State...any of those three are in if they win out
Big Ten - candidates are Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan, and Wisconsin.....Penn State is the only one that would need help - the other three can win out and be in as the conference Champion
Notre Dame - in with 1 loss or less
The rest need help/don't control their own destiny:
Big 12
West Virginia - really have to be undefeated and have Oklahoma not lose again until they play just to get the 4th slot...still would need Notre Dame, Ohio State, or Clemson either lose badly in their conference championships (Notre Dame in an Independent) or have two losses
Oklahoma - must win out and beat undefeated West Virginia
Pac 10
Washington - win out and same help as Big 12
Florida got that help they needed...now win out and hope Georgia beats Kentucky.....you're in the SEC championship
Nope.
MSU beating auburn makes our win in Starkville look even better. Sec has Bama-UGA at the top and then a lot of teams that are any Saturday toss-ups, especially counting home field advantages. A&m came through with a big win, as did SC. Mizzou and Kentucky are still pretty good teams.
You want LSU to remain strong the rest of the season.....
B12 is in a bind. Would needs to go undefeated, but then it’s best wins would be twice over a minimum 3 loss team. Oklahoma would need to beat an undefeated wvu two games in a row. To get into the ccg, do they need Texas to lose? Undefeated wvu scenario has them beating Texas. Is this a 2008-like b12 triangle year?
West Virginia still has Texas and Oklahoma to play. If they beat both, there would not be a 3 way tie as Texas would have 1 loss, and Oklahoma would have 2.
The B12 best chance, surprisingly, would be for TEXAS to run the table. I'm guessing Texas would be no lower than 12 in today's Poll.
A revised look ahead at the 4 CFP Slots:
In no particular Order
SEC Champ - Candidates Bama, Georgia, LSU, and Kentucky - Florida needs help
- Bama only has to beat LSU and can actually lose to a conference game and still go to the SEC Championship...win the SEC Championship either undefeated or 1 loss and they're in the CFP
- Georgia has to win against Florida and Kentucky to guarantee a trip to the SEC Championship...win the SEC Championship either undefeated or 1 loss and they're in the CFP
- LSU must win out.....they're in the CFP as a 1 Loss SEC Champ
- Kentucky must win out.....they're in the CFP as a 1 Loss SEC Champ
ACC Champ - Candidates Clemson, Miami, NC State
- Clemson and NC State are sure things if they win out
- Miami should be in as a 1 Loss ACC Champ
Big 10 Champ - Candidates Ohio State, Michigan - Wisconsin and Penn State Need Help
- Ohio State only has to beat Michigan and can actually lose to a conference game and still go to the Big 10 Championship - Michigan is a sure thing if they win out and are Big Ten Champs
- Penn State must win out and needs to Ohio State conference losses to get to the Big 10 Championship
- Wisconsin must win out and still might not make it as Big 10 champ
Notre Dame - Win out and you're in.....
The rest in need of help:
SEC - Candidate - Florida - Win out + Kentucky loss and Florida is in as a 1 loss SEC Champ
Big 12 - Candidates West Virginia, Texas, and Oklahoma
- Texas - Win out and you have the best chance of anyone in the Big 12.....Would be at least the #4 seed by winning out and
1)Wisconsin wins the Big 10 or 2) ACC champ is Miami....in this scenario would pass Wisconsin and maybe Miami as well
- West Virginia - Win out and 1)Wisconsin wins the Big 10 or 2) Notre Dame has 2 losses or 3) ACC champ is 2 loss Miami
- Oklahoma - Win out and 1)Wisconsin wins the Big 10 or 2) Notre Dame has 2 losses or 3) ACC champ is 2 loss Miami
Pac 10 - Candidate Washington - Must win out and have BOTH 1)Wisconsin win the Big 10 + Big 12 Champ is 2 loss Oklahoma/Texas
No such thing as 100% certain, but
almost certain locks for CFP Slots:
SEC Champ
Notre Dame
Really Strong and can't imagine not getting in
BIG 10
Should get in
ACC Champ
Not impossible but highly unlikely:
- SEC gets 2 teams in .
- Big 10 gets 2 teams in
- ACC is shut out
- Oregon or Colorado gets in
Peeps who have had enough of the SEC:
1) SEC Championship is NOT an Undefeated Bama vs and Undefeated Georgia...close game they both could get in
2) Bama and or Georgia sits home and watches the SEC Championship - Georgia could finish with 1 loss and watch Florida or Kentucky play in the SEC Championship ---- same for Bama as they could finish with 1 loss to LSU and watch LSU in the SEC Championship....
In addition to the possibility of Bama/Georgia both getting in, you could have:
SEC Champ LSU + 1 Loss Georgia (Georgia either loses SEC Championship to LSU, or loses to Kentucky or Florida)
SEC Champ LSU + 1 Loss Bama (Bama's only loss is to LSU)
SEC Champ Kentucky + 1 Loss Bama
SEC Champ Florida + 1 Loss Bama
SEC Champ Florida + 1 Loss Georgia
. I work in Kentucky though, so most everyone else is excited with their performance.
