Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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ABQ

Well-Known Member
551,000 and rising there, “ma freedom”...

we need serious people...not fools.

another great tidbit: in the states where cases and hospitalizations are rising...the highest percentage are people UNDER 30....

why is that? The variants. You and the sons of Liberty don’t want to hear that...I bet.
Can you tell me where you are finding that under 30 data? not disputing it, just can't seem to get that granular. All I've found is national and only updated through 3/20
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JIMINYCR

Well-Known Member
Ugh you are way off the flu is practically non-existent this year. There have been about 1500 CASES between sept 2020 and March of 2021. So no. Flu deaths are NOT exceeding covid at all, no where even close.
If you are going to reply to a post then do it in a timely manner. At the time I posted the figures they were valid. Thats one problem when people address a post and dont look at the dates.
 
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lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
Can you cite where you are getting that bolded part? I am not certain but I am pretty sure that is factually wrong. I believe the basic understanding is that NORMALLY they occur within 3 months.

However, we have never developed a vaccine so fast so their is nothing normal about the situation we're in. We are in uncharted territory, basically, with the covid vaccine, like it or not. I don't blame people for being cautious with it.
He is a doctor who has explained this many times. There was nothing rushed about the vaccine’s development, especially in a manner regarding safety. The widespread nature of the disease is what allowed for accelerated studies.
 

correcaminos

Well-Known Member
Can you cite where you are getting that bolded part? I am not certain but I am pretty sure that is factually wrong. I believe the basic understanding is that NORMALLY they occur within 3 months.

However, we have never developed a vaccine so fast so their is nothing normal about the situation we're in. We are in uncharted territory, basically, with the covid vaccine, like it or not. I don't blame people for being cautious with it.
This is well known in the medical community. We are well beyond the 3 or even 6 months post trial anyway. If you don't trust a medical professional I'm not sure who I would. I'm not the professional but just 6 months post vaccine now.

The vaccine results came so fast because the pandemic is that bad. These vaccines were in development for decades now.

I do think spouting this line of thinking is dangerous. It's not factually based. It's meant to spread fear. We don't need that. Though most baffling to me are the ones who are most fearful. They have zero reason or history as a whole to fear.
 

mmascari

Well-Known Member
A COVID19 Vaccination Passport program sounds impressive but worthless. All that a person needs is a vaccination card, Hey!, something that already exists.

Ah I forgot to say a person can laminate the card to better preserve it.

True. I still have my old school shot / vaccination record and I actually ended up w two more shot / vaccination records from my time in the Army. I think I have been vaccinated against everything known to science, that is until now. I am happy with the card. All that documentation and $1.50 might get me a cup of coffee. Data bases with unimaginable amounts of information on people are all over the place, not just in governments, things are at a point where the right hand can not communicate w the left. The simple little card will do just fine for the intended purposes everybody keeps talking about.
They type of proof is highly dependent on the value and risk that having that proof provides and the amount of trust between the person presenting it and the entity accepting it.

To show your doctor your vaccinations so that you're getting the best healthcare you can, there's a high trust because you want good care, the document doesn't need to provide that trust for you.

To have a friend over for dinner that tells you they're vaccinated, you don't even need the card. You'll simply trust them without showing any proof at all.

To give a random person the value of eliminating all mitigation items to create a bubble like environment, there's a trust factor needed. Whatever is used for the verification process is providing that trust. The vaccination card people have today isn't suitable for providing that trust. Doesn't have to be a smart app, but whatever it is, it's not just the thing in your hand. It's the entire system that thing represents that's providing the trust factor to allow an entity to believe that a random person they have not knowledge of should be allowed into the bubble.

Something that's just a key and looks up in a back end database, assuming the data is valid, has a high trust factor. Without the database, something that's difficult to fake can provide the trust factor.

Just look at a WDW park ticket. It's not just some ticket that grants you access. There's an entire system behind it designed to validate that it's a real ticket, issued to a specific person, and not used by anyone else. And, that's just to get into the magic bubble.
 

danlb_2000

Premium Member
Can you cite where you are getting that bolded part? I am not certain but I am pretty sure that is factually wrong. I believe the basic understanding is that NORMALLY they occur within 3 months.

However, we have never developed a vaccine so fast so their is nothing normal about the situation we're in. We are in uncharted territory, basically, with the covid vaccine, like it or not. I don't blame people for being cautious with it.

Here is a good source...



and backing up a bit in the same episode, good talk on how it was developed so fast and safety...



and even though this is the first approved MRNA vaccine, these have been in development for over 20 years and there have been human trials with mrna vaccines for other diseases in the past.
 

danlb_2000

Premium Member
He is a doctor who has explained this many times. There was nothing rushed about the vaccine’s development, especially in a manner regarding safety. The widespread nature of the disease is what allowed for accelerated studies.

... and the fact that the companies developing the vaccines were willing to take huge financial risks (partially because they received government money) by doing parts of the development process in parallel.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
And I cite examples of family friends who have died in vehicle accidents who were tagged as "covid deaths" and get laughed at and called a liar.

Some people don't want to have civil conversations.

Do you have any sources for anything you mention? I looked around and can't find anything except an article that says hosptialization rates for people in their 30's and 40's matches where it was in the fall. The highest percentage of new hospitalizations nation wide is people under 30? It's the cause of the variants?

To be honest, you sound like the very conspiracy theorists you are making fun of.

 

CaptainAmerica

Premium Member
This is a conspiracy theory.
The total number is materially accurate. Obviously there's some dirty data but not enough to alter the general fact pattern.

That said, politicians and the media have definitely been guilty of deliberately manipulating *specific, individual cases* into convenient anecdotes that were not entirely accurate. They're not doing it to seize power or instill communism or anything nefarious but they're still doing it. This was especially true early in the crisis when they were trying to emphasize that the virus can infect or kill young people without comorbidities.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
And I cite examples of family friends who have died in vehicle accidents who were tagged as "covid deaths" and get laughed at and called a liar.

Some people don't want to have civil conversations.

Do you have any sources for anything you mention? I looked around and can't find anything except an article that says hosptialization rates for people in their 30's and 40's matches where it was in the fall. The highest percentage of new hospitalizations nation wide is people under 30? It's the cause of the variants?

To be honest, you sound like the very conspiracy theorists you are making fun of.

How many of the 574,000 deaths were actually motorcyle accidents? And were every other country also fudging their death certificates?

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Disney Experience

Well-Known Member
It sucks there's no way to prove you got the vaccine. We have cards, but they can be easily faked. We have a registry of vaccines for children, so why can't we have the same thing for adults? The cruise lines are requiring COVID tests. I'd rather show that I got the vaccine than to have to get a COVID test 3 days before and risk one of us getting a false positive from one of the bozos in a lab.
There are over 3010 pages in this forum, buried in there are links to various vaccine proof systems being worked on. Clear which already has a bio identity system that verifies that the person is who they say they are and other data, has a health pass system they are in trial with. Forum members have linked some info about these systems, but to make it easier to find some here is a more recent CNBC article:




The above technology identifying the vaccinated will not be important if we get enough people vaccinated. (Picture New Zealand who only have about 2% vaccinated, and almost no covid cases; implementing it there is not worth it. If the rest of the world can get the numbers down, the need for such systems will be minimal. But the numbers worldwide are not low. )
 

mmascari

Well-Known Member
See this right here is then problem. On one hand it’s “get you vaccine so we can go back to normal”. That is immediately followed up by “you have to keep wearing your mask because we don’t know how effective the vaccine is against all variants, we don’t know how long the vaccine lasts, and we don’t know if you still spread the virus once vaccinated”. The mask police are actively creating millions of more people not taking the vaccine. If your life doesn’t change for getting the vaccine, there is no reason to get it.

Until that changes, a lot of people won’t get it. As of now, it doesn’t change your day to day life at all.

If we want to get people to take the vaccine they need a reason to. That can be rewarding them by removing mask and social distancing requirements or punishing them by requiring vaccine passports. But rewarding them will work faster than punitive measures which would undoubtedly end up in court.
This is a great example of only looking at short term impacts over long term advancement. It's like chasing quarterly profits even if investing in longer term projects that reduce quarterly profits would generate larger long term profits. Never realizing the larger long term gains because only the next quarter matters.

  1. As soon as we get community spread reduced enough, all mitigations will go away.
  2. Once enough people are vaccinated, community spread will dramatically decrease.
  3. People getting vaccinated faster will accelerate number 2 which will lead to number 1.
It's that simple. That's the reason to get vaccinated.

Let's pretend that we vaccinate people as fast as possible and everyone gets the vaccine, in this simulation, assume we reach enough people that by July 1, community spread plummets and all mitigations can be removed. Someone who finished the vaccine in April had to wait through May and June still using mitigation efforts. While someone who didn't complete vaccination until the end of June only had to wait through two weeks still using mitigation efforts. Was the person who waited really better off?

Now, let's change the scenario. Because those people in April were not able to immediately stop mitigation efforts, they didn't bother with the vaccine. The roll out slowed. Come July 1, not enough people are vaccinated and community spread is still to high to eliminate mitigations. A massive marketing push is done to get more people vaccinated but it takes until September 1 before enough are vaccinated, community spread plummets and all mitigations can be removed. Those people that couldn't be bothered to get vaccinated earlier had to go an extra two months of mitigation restrictions. Were they better off now by waiting? Do they just like extending the time while mitigations are required?

Let's change it again. Even after the marketing push, people still don't bother because they see no immediate point. Community spread never plummets, mitigations continue being required into 2022. Are they better off yet?
 
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