Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

[GoofGoof]

Right, but (similarly deadly) * (more cases) = (more deaths). Or at least should. Btu there could be many other differences: demographics, medical care, etc.

I saw an article that correlated fatality rate per country with average BMI and there was a decent correlation. It's at least a hypothesis as to why the virus has not struck Africa and Asia as hard as the US/Europe/Latin America. Asians and Africans tend to be skinnier.

Yes, totally agree. The variant could account for their higher cases per capita but not less deaths. Not sure on testing level either. It’s possible they test more and as a result show more positive cases. Lots of factors.

 

[MaryJaneP]

You would have to be a serious germ-a-phobe to go a whole day without touching anything in the parks. The average person probably doesn't even realize how many times they touch things during a day in the park.

It might be somewhat informative to sprinkle black-light sensitive powder on various touch-points in a park as an experiment. A different color per "land" could reveal at an exit black-light station not only who touched stuff and what lands they visited but also how effective or ineffective they were if they visited a restroom and supposedly did the 20 second handwash routine as opposed to the usual "splash and dash" technique. This might highlight areas where WDW could strengthen cleaning/disinfecting efforts.

 

[Tom P.]

Neither am I. I did a google search and didn’t find any source to back up your claim. Since you can’t easily find it either, I’m taking that as you have no source.

Let me see if I can help.

There have been two large studies, one by The Mayo Clinic and one in Israel, on whether or not people who have been vaccinated are actually protected from infection and transmission, or whether they can still get the virus and just be asymptomatic, thus potentially still spreading it to others. Both studies have shown that the former is the case, that the vaccine not only prevents symptoms but is actually effective in preventing infection and spread.

Here are links to a couple of news articles which have covered the studies. The first relates to the study in Israel. The second to the study by The Mayo Clinic.

Pfizer Vaccine Highly Effective at Preventing COVID-19, Study Shows

Data suggest that the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine is effective at preventing asymptomatic and symptomatic COVID-19 in people who are vaccinated against the virus.

www.verywellhealth.com

No Longer Available

www.wesh.com

 

[hopemax]

Two of the virologists/ ID Epi, I follow just released a paper talking about asymptomatic transmission

AAAS

science.sciencemag.org

In their paper they say "The prevalence of symptomless cases is not precisely established. Early studies reported that asymptomatic cases accounted for 30 to 80% of infections (3), but more recent data point to a rate of asymptomatic cases between 17 and 30%"

 

[TrainsOfDisney]

Two of the virologists I follow just released a paper talking about asymptomatic transmission

AAAS

science.sciencemag.org

In their paper they say "The prevalence of symptomless cases is not precisely established. Early studies reported that asymptomatic cases accounted for 30 to 80% of infections (3), but more recent data point to a rate of asymptomatic cases between 17 and 30%"

Thank you!

 

[Tom P.]

So it seems like recent studies are indicating (a) that asymptomatic spread generally may account for less infections than we thought and (b) vaccinated people may not be able to spread the virus. If both of those things are true, that would be great news!

 

[MaryJaneP]

Not according to this January 2021 Journal of the American Medical Association article.

SARS-CoV-2 Transmission From People Without COVID-19 Symptoms

This decision analytical model assesses the proportion of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmissions in the community that likely occur from persons without symptoms.

jamanetwork.com

"Meaning The findings of this study suggest that the identification and isolation of persons with symptomatic COVID-19 alone will not control the ongoing spread of SARS-CoV-2."

While that study looks at asymptomatic transmission, hanging life and death decisions on "may"s, however desirable, leaves a huge uncertainty over the transmissible nature of either asymptomatic and/or vaccinated people.

 

[DCBaker]

Numbers are out - there were 53 new reported deaths, along with 1 Non-Florida Resident death.

 

[danlb_2000]

So it seems like recent studies are indicating (a) that asymptomatic spread generally may account for less infections than we thought and (b) vaccinated people may not be able to spread the virus. If both of those things are true, that would be great news!

With the amount of spread this virus has had it's hard to believe that non-symptomatic people (either asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic) aren't a big driver of infection. One of the reasons the first SARS virus was brought under control was that people weren't significant infectious until they were very ill.

 

[DCBaker]

Current Florida vaccine report -

 

[mmascari]

If this new announcement doesn't come with nuance that it only applies when masks are worn and not in situations where masks are off, such as while eating, I will eat this post. Probably with some hot sauce.

Physical distancing​

Core principle for physical distancing: Establish school policies and implement structural interventions to promote physical distance between people.

• Between students in classrooms
  • In elementary schools, students should be at least 3 feet apart.1
  • In middle schools and high schools, students should be at least 3 feet apart in areas of low, moderate, or substantial community transmission. In areas of high community transmission, middle and high school students should be 6 feet apart if cohorting is not possible.1,2, 4-6
• Maintain 6 feet of distance in the following settings:
  • Between adults (teachers and staff), and between adults and students, at all times in the school building. Several studies have found that transmission between staff is more common than transmission between students and staff, and among students, in schools.1
  • When masks cannot be worn, such as when eating.
  • During activities when increased exhalation occurs, such as singing, shouting, band, or sports and exercise. Move these activities outdoors or to large, well-ventilated space, when possible.
  • In common areas such as school lobbies and auditoriums.

I'm going to assume I'm safe and don't need to eat the post.

I didn't expect the age distinctions. The other ones all make sense, since those things are different mitigations instead of distance. The community transmission distinction makes sense too, since that's the threat level.

Any facility that can meet the same guidelines should be able to follow them, not just schools.

Those age distinctions make that a harder proposition. But, something like an art studio, sewing studio could all use the same. A grocery store for only pre-teens.

It would be nice if there was a guideline defined for adults that also supported reducing the distance. Something short of a hazmat suit.

No restaurant comparison though, that would be harder to argue should be 3 feet based on this change.

 

[seascape]

Numbers are out - there were 53 new reported deaths, along with 1 Non-Florida Resident death.

View attachment 540635View attachment 540637View attachment 540636View attachment 540638

Good news for me today, is I now have 2 Pfizer shots and in 2 weeks will meet the CDC definition of fully vaccinated. Further, based on the numbers above Forida is down to an average of 4622 cases per day which still comes to 21.3 cases a day using 2020 numbers or 20.8 using 2021 estimated population. I am looking forward to the actual census numbers next month so we can all know the real cases per 100,000.

 

[Sirwalterraleigh]

I'm cheering for you in particular, NJ. Mainly because I want to spend some time in Ocean City later this summer.

Just don’t eat that crappy manco manco

Good news for me today, is I now have 2 Pfizer shots and in 2 weeks will meet the CDC definition of fully vaccinated. Further, based on the numbers above Forida is down to an average of 4622 cases per day which still comes to 21.3 cases a day using 2020 numbers or 20.8 using 2021 estimated population. I am looking forward to the actual census numbers next month so we can all know the real cases per 100,000.

That’s 2.5 times the original target for flattening the “curve”

Florida isn’t as bright as it claims it is...really ever...on anything.

 

[correcaminos]

You would have to be a serious germ-a-phobe to go a whole day without touching anything in the parks. The average person probably doesn't even realize how many times they touch things during a day in the park.

For me it's an ick factor. When the touchpoint is warm and sweaty from the person(s) before me it's gross. I hate them and I'm not a germaphobe, but I get icked out like that.

 

[Chi84]

For me it's an ick factor. When the touchpoint is warm and sweaty from the person(s) before me it's gross. I hate them and I'm not a germaphobe, but I get icked out like that.

You know what's even worse? When you . . . oh, never mind - you know.

 

[correcaminos]

You know what's even worse? When you . . . oh, never mind - you know.

Honestly not sure where you are going with that...

 

[havoc315]

You would have to be a serious germ-a-phobe to go a whole day without touching anything in the parks. The average person probably doesn't even realize how many times they touch things during a day in the park.

That might be true. But they aren't touching the exact same spot that has been touched 500 times in just the prior 30 minutes.

 

[havoc315]

and a wipe and poof. If anything that controlled area would be the cleanest and safest point in the park.

Keypads everywhere are envious.

Yes, disinfecting after each guest would be an "easy" solution ----- Except that it would significantly slow down entry, causing a bottle neck, causing social distancing issues...

 

[Chi84]

Honestly not sure where you are going with that...

Toilet seats lol. Now aren't you sorry you asked?

 

[Heppenheimer]

Just don’t eat that crappy manco manco

The Mack family seems to have taken the secret recipe when when they split from the Mancos (or maybe that owner who went to jail took it). Their crust used to be damn-near perfect back in the day. Now? Meh, nothing special anymore.

Johnson's, Kohr Brother's, and Shriver's products have all held up well as of my last sampling in 2019, though.