Pareto analysis says 20% of the population (statistics, not people) is responsible for 80% of the problems, therefore if you fix the 20% it should clear up 80%.
The counties in PA are getting shorted every week. There’s a news story or report every day on it. We are looking in Jersey and anywhere within a few hours north of us. Nothing. I can wait just getting itchy.
That’s a theoretical construct to think of problem solving solutions not an analysis. I already said that vaccinating seniors does lower deaths and hospitalization faster. However, now that they are so low it’s time to focus on transmission which is still too darn high. Hitting essential workers next should dramatically improve this.
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I dont know what the numbers are, but I think the largest impact for what you are trying to acheieve is to prick the largest group of infections and work backwards. The media might not like it, but honestly, I think that would have the greatest impact.
If/When they actually open the border again, that's the huge question mark that needs answering. I have friends in Alberta itching to go to Vegas as well is WDW.
I am under the impression CMs are being called back on an as-needed basis, not on a blitz-like schedule.
We have done that and continue to do that, 55% of all seniors in the US have started. Polling suggests only 60-70% of Americans want the vaccine right away. When you get close to the total in a group that want it, it’s time to open up to the next group especially if you approve a new vaccine and get an increase in shipments from the other two at the same time.
From my other post, 84% of the fatalities were people 65 and over. That is with them taking more precautions. You're not going to reduce cases appreciably faster by targeting the people in the more likely to spread it age group because of the limited vaccine supply.
The issue is that with the current limitations on vaccine supply, the largest group of infections is too large to target and reach a level of vaccination high enough to put a big enough dent in the spread.
We did that, and got 55% of that group vaccinated. We are never going to get to 100% in any group, 20% say they’ll never get it, and 10-20% still want to wait so it’s time to move on. Its not like the few people left in that group can’t get now, they still can but with the increase in distribution now occurring if you didn’t open more groups you would start to have open appointments you can’t fill. You want to put shots in arms ASAP. Therefore you open a new group before you get a lull in people signing up.
When everything finally gets to the point where any person can go to any clinic or pharmacy and receive the COVID19 vaccine (does not matter which one) upon request, with no bureaucratic hoops to jump through, we can then realistically talk normalization.
No matter what the polling suggests, the appointments were all being claimed BEFORE they were forced to allow teachers. That means the demand among the eligible groups was still exceeding the supply of appointments.
There isn't any sign of a lull yet. Wait until the pace of sign ups show some kind of slowing and takes 3 hours instead of 1.5 to fill all of the Publix appointment slots.
That’s wasteful when you know supply is going to double in the next two weeks. There won’t be a lull, there will suddenly be no one left.
There may be a lot of young teachers but there are a lot of teachers / professors in the older age group, yep! those currently eligible and receiving the vaccine. I do not see a teachers vs seniors issue.
We still have appointments available today in our county up in Indiana. I'm tempted to head over after work and ask if they have extra.
Yup, the Midwest is crushing this. Iowa goes to 1c Monday, Wisconsin plans to announce the next group next week (and open it up soon after.) All you need to do is look at the map (from Bloomberg.) The Southeast (not including Florida,) and to a lesser extent the PNW is lagging behind the country. The Northern Rockies and Plains are the national leaders.
