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Do you think that Disney world will reclose its gates due to the rising number of COVID cases in Florida and around the country?

kong1802

Well-Known Member
I guess since you highlighted my posts you are addressing me?

Still stand by what I said, there hasn't been exponential growth in deaths, it has gone up yes, and appears to have peaked back on July 8 or 13th but yes still to early to tell for sure. It will still go up a bit more.

I still say the comparison to Iran is still very problematic. the trends in AR and TX are much more relative.

I guess your questions of "what will happen when it goes down in a few weeks" was off the mark, huh?

Should have turned that around, "what will happen when it goes up"

Little did I know the answer would be, "the stat can't be trusted" lol
 

hopemax

Well-Known Member
I guess since you highlighted my posts you are addressing me?

Still stand by what I said, there hasn't been exponential growth in deaths, it has gone up yes, and appears to have peaked back on July 8 or 13th but yes still to early to tell for sure. It will still go up a bit more.

I still say the comparison to Iran is still very problematic. the trends in AR and TX are much more relative.
You never mentioned the words exponential growth. I was very clear, in my post that I was expecting a trend line sloping up. You never jumped in to declare that the slope of the line needed to be steep or exponential.

And Iran was simply an estimating tool, that turned out to be pretty accurate. That is not a comparison.
 

legwand77

Well-Known Member
I guess your questions of "what will happen when it goes down in a few weeks" was off the mark, huh?

Should have turned that around, "what will happen when it goes up"

Little did I know the answer would be, "the stat can't be trusted" lol
once again, I have never said that stat can't be trusted.
 

schuelma

Well-Known Member
I guess since you highlighted my posts you are addressing me?

Still stand by what I said, there hasn't been exponential growth in deaths, it has gone up yes, and appears to have peaked back on July 8 or 13th but yes still to early to tell for sure. It will still go up a bit more.

I still say the comparison to Iran is still very problematic. the trends in AR and TX are much more relative.

I don't know what exponential means to you, but deaths are rising substantially.
 

legwand77

Well-Known Member
You never mentioned the words exponential growth. I was very clear, in my post that I was expecting a trend line sloping up. You never jumped in to declare that the slope of the line needed to be steep or exponential.

And Iran was simply an estimating tool, that turned out to be pretty accurate. That is not a comparison.

from the posts you quoted

Screen Shot 2020-07-23 at 12.01.42 PM.png
 

kong1802

Well-Known Member
I don't know what exponential means to you, but deaths are rising substantially.

They obviously meant exponential to the power of 5.....lol

There's a reason people use very vague terms like exponential. So that when called on it, like today, they can start the dancing.
 

hopemax

Well-Known Member
from the posts you quoted

View attachment 485821
Fine, you used exponential. But that was not the position of the dissenters in the thread that it would rise exponentially. The position was that the curve would switch from trending down to trending up, and you repeatedly ridiculed us for it with "2 more weeks."

Here is a post I made from earlier in June, when I said what scientists were saying about the possibility of exponential growth, and the actual type of growth we could expect.

 

kong1802

Well-Known Member
I have said deaths are dropping and hospitalizations are steady and that is good news. I also said numerous times, testing and discovering positive cases is a good thing.

Now that deaths are rising, is it bad news?

Ok, last one for the day, needed the comedic relief.
 

kong1802

Well-Known Member
The willful ignorance is quite something, isnt it?

It's funny to see the quick summaries and smugness that was displayed less than a month ago when they thought they had the numbers.

"We should have seen a rise in deaths, we didn't, so stop being alarmists"

Then we do see the rise in deaths, and it shifts to "Look at how the deaths are being reported" instead of saying, "Ok, I was obviously wrong"
 

schuelma

Well-Known Member
Of course , but the point is a good bit of those deaths already happened weeks and months ago

Sigh. I'm going to take you at your word, and not that you're being intentionally obtuse- it is a very bad sign that these deaths happened weeks and months ago, considering the recent explosion in cases.

Please tell me you understand this reality.
 

legwand77

Well-Known Member
Sigh. I'm going to take you at your word, and not that you're being intentionally obtuse- it is a very bad sign that these deaths happened weeks and months ago, considering the recent explosion in cases.

Please tell me you understand this reality.
not the way in which you framed it
 

marni1971

Park History nut
Premium Member

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