Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

Disney Irish

Disney Irish

Premium Member
To bring this back to the box office, its really looking like M:I8 isn't even going to break $200M domestic just like the last one, and I'm beginning to think it may not even reach the $172M that the last one did just two years ago.

1749159015755.png
 
BrianLo

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
celluloid said:
I think stitch will get the 400 million range final domestic but I think HTTYD next week is going to steal a lot of family attention from it for it to get to past Moana 2 levels.
Click to expand...

I think Moana 2 is actually a pretty good comp. Which also had to compete against Mufasa and Sonic and Wicked to some extent.

The trajectory should be fairly apparent coming off this weekend.
 
BrianLo

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
Inspired by a @TP2000 target run, I’ve done a quick scan of Fukuoka to get the pulse of the health of stitch in the Non-maihama catchment Japan - heading into the box office weekend.

He seems healthy, spotting him filling random gotcha machines around the city. A perusal of a Disney Store has him well represented along with the fab five. A good amount of Zootopia (for the year end) and the always quizzical adoration of Lotso. I think this random wall of stickers and bands captures the franchises they rather like.

IMG_5566.jpeg


IMG_5567.jpeg


Lots of movie displays, but also noted a bunch of Minecraft and this is the launch day for Mario Kart World (Switch 2) and a new Pokemon TCG expansion. Those also are dominating the vibes.

Signing off.
 
Agent H

Agent H

Well-Known Member
BrianLo said:
Inspired by a @TP2000 target run, I’ve done a quick scan of Fukuoka to get the pulse of the health of stitch in the Non-maihama catchment Japan - heading into the box office weekend.

He seems healthy, spotting him filling random gotcha machines around the city. A perusal of a Disney Store has him well represented along with the fab five. A good amount of Zootopia (for the year end) and the always quizzical adoration of Lotso. I think this random wall of stickers and bands captures the franchises they rather like.

View attachment 862580

View attachment 862581

Lots of movie displays, but also noted a bunch of Minecraft and this is the launch day for Mario Kart World (Switch 2) and a new Pokemon TCG expansion. Those also are dominating the vibes.

Signing off.
Click to expand...
You’re in Japan? Awesome.
 
Tha Realest

Tha Realest

Well-Known Member
Disney Irish said:
In this case I'll apologize for automatically assuming intent. Its just easy to assume though given a specific post and surrounding the topic of box office and the discussion of certain movies falling short at the box office and posters that tend to gloat over that, especially when there is no additional context to go by. So one can see why the post comes across that way.
Click to expand...
Why are you apologizing to Little Buford? You didn’t malign them or accuse them of acting intentionally in bad faith.
 
Hawkeye_2018

Hawkeye_2018

Well-Known Member
Disney Irish said:
To bring this back to the box office, its really looking like M:I8 isn't even going to break $200M domestic just like the last one, and I'm beginning to think it may not even reach the $172M that the last one did just two years ago.

View attachment 862523
Click to expand...
I have little interest in this one because I thought the last one was awful. I guess I'm not alone. Fallout was great but the last one was a huge step back for me.
 
Tony the Tigger

Tony the Tigger

Well-Known Member
Threepeat?

L&S held at $5m every day this week except $8m on discounted Tuesday.

Will repeat viewings best the John Wick offshoot?

It seems like two completely different audiences. Maybe both will do well.
 
brideck

brideck

Well-Known Member
Tony the Tigger said:
Threepeat?

L&S held at $5m every day this week except $8m on discounted Tuesday.

Will repeat viewings best the John Wick offshoot?

It seems like two completely different audiences. Maybe both will do well.
Click to expand...

Lilo & Stitch is certainly still on more screens around me than Ballerina, so it looks like the theaters are thinking that'll be the case at least.
 
Tony the Tigger

Tony the Tigger

Well-Known Member
Question for the floor:

Thursday night, stitch did over 5 million. Ballerina previews did under 4 million.

Won’t those Thursday night previews get lumped in with ballerina’s Friday night numbers?

But Stitch’s Thursday night numbers will not count, right?

Hmm…
 
Disney Irish

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Tony the Tigger said:
Question for the floor:

Thursday night, stitch did over 5 million. Ballerina previews did under 4 million.

Won’t those Thursday night previews get lumped in with ballerina’s Friday night numbers?

But Stitch’s Thursday night numbers will not count, right?

Hmm…
Click to expand...
Correct, Thursday previews get lumped into Friday's total because the opening of a movie is technically on a Friday unless otherwise noted. This goes back to when Thursdays used to be real "previews" for an opening where you only had a few showings late night, ie the movie ended after Midnight making it Friday. But now its just extra padding for a movies opening weekend because showings typically start Thursday afternoon for previews.

A Thursday for a movie after opening weekend is counted as any other day.
 
D

DKampy

Well-Known Member
Tony the Tigger said:
Threepeat?

L&S held at $5m every day this week except $8m on discounted Tuesday.

Will repeat viewings best the John Wick offshoot?

It seems like two completely different audiences. Maybe both will do well.
Click to expand...
L&S is expected to top the weekend….Ballerina is not profiting as well as expected…which is now expected between 25-27…..while Stitch has a better hold then expected…which is now projected to be around 35 million…so yes a threepeat looks likely
 
C

celluloid

Well-Known Member
The John Wick spinoff is also action fatigue, which follows the downward trend of the year for action and Horror and Family being the trend that audiences have gone to and both genres have had better chances at success.
 
Disney Irish

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Well Friday numbers are in and action is 3 of the top 5 movies (I lump Karate Kid into action here but it borders action and family) with Ballerina being number 1 -

1749326656564.png


We'll see how the rest of the weekend unfold but I don't see horror on that of top 5 list, only "family" and "action". So this may be a preview of how the rest of the year will go, as I'm thinking with how the rest of the calendar looks that those two genres with potential help from superheros are going to be the top genres of the year.
 
C

celluloid

Well-Known Member
Disney Irish said:
Well Friday numbers are in and action is 3 of the top 5 movies (I lump Karate Kid into action here but it borders action and family) with Ballerina being number 1 -

View attachment 862914

We'll see how the rest of the weekend unfold but I don't see horror on that of top 5 list, only "family" and "action". So this may be a preview of how the rest of the year will go, as I'm thinking with how the rest of the calendar looks that those two genres with potential help from superheros are going to be the top genres of the year.
Click to expand...

There is a Horror movie performing well against its microbhdget from A24. Which is right below one of the best performing horror of the year. There was no horror out for the past few weeks so it would be silly to say there is a trend of action doing well when they are flopping. I don't think Balerina's 80 million budget will help it enough. Bht if any can, it's a Wick following action film.

Remember trends as a whole does not mean there is no way an action can't play well or a horror cannot bomb.

Ot suffered from the trend we saw talked about pages ago.

Remember, just because they are not in the top five of this weekend of newer releases does not mean they already had their time.
 

Register on WDWMAGIC. This sidebar will go away, and you'll see fewer ads.

Back
Top Bottom