Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Common sense should tell you that they are explaining they also make money outside of the box office when reporting about bad box office results. Cushioning the blow.

It is no secret that there are ways for home viewing to make the loss less or reach an audience for profit.
It is hopeful and explainining how it works.

You are jumping to a conclusion that this is the new norm.

Common sense shows that if a movie's marketing budget so it can get to theaters is still near half the budget for the film or more, than they would save a ton if they did not feel box office is the primary driver for success.

So again, your stance has no basis.
You want to say its jumping to conclusions, fine, but you're also the one who said that the box office would be back to pre-pandemic levels. So let me take what you say with a grain of salt here.

I'm just looking at what Disney is presenting in their year-end results, adding that to the overall box office for all studios, and coming up with a result. Now some can disagree with me, but the numbers seem to add up. The box office is no longer the profit driver for most if not all studios like it was in the pre-pandemic days. That post-theatrical makes up for those losses at the box office as the majority profit driver now, again note I say profit driver, not revenue driver.

Disagree with that, fine, then please provide data to prove the counter, because several of us have now provided data that seems to confirm it. 🤷‍♂️
 

easyrowrdw

Well-Known Member
Again I think people are getting confused in what I'm saying, so let me quote myself what I just posted -
I’m not confused. You quoted Disney and then interpreted it as saying something that it doesn’t. Supporting your position requires numerical breakdowns. You can feel free to provide them. But the statement you’re quoting doesn’t do it.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
I’m not confused. You quoted Disney and then interpreted it as saying something that it doesn’t. Supporting your position requires numerical breakdowns. You can feel free to provide them. But the statement you’re quoting doesn’t do it.
So you don't think that statement in their year end results is saying that the post-theatrical is making up for the losses at the theaters? I'm sorry, then what do you think it says?

As far as numerical breakdowns, @BrianLo and @brideck have provided the Deadline reports of the breakdowns that show many of Disney movies over the last couple years that were deemed box office losses were actually turning a profits due to post-theatrical revenue.
 

Chi84

Premium Member
Common sense should tell you that they are explaining they also make money outside of the box office when reporting about bad box office results. Cushioning the blow.

It is no secret that there are ways for home viewing to make the loss less or reach an audience for profit.
It is hopeful and explainining how it works.

You are jumping to a conclusion that this is the new norm.

Common sense shows that if a movie's marketing budget so it can get to theaters is still near half the budget for the film or more, than they would save a ton if they did not feel box office is the primary driver for success.

So again, your stance has no basis.
But didn’t Disney say it was incurring marketing costs not only to get people into theaters but also to get them to watch movies at home?

From what I’ve been reading, movie theater attendance is in a long-term decline. Common sense would dictate that people are choosing to wait a short time to see a movie at home on a streaming service.

Wouldn’t this make post-theatrical more important in coming years?
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
So you don't think that statement in their year end results is saying that the post-theatrical is making up for the losses at the theaters? I'm sorry, then what do you think it says?

As far as numerical breakdowns, @BrianLo and @brideck have provided the Deadline reports of the breakdowns that show many of Disney movies over the last couple years that were deemed box office losses were actually turning a profits due to post-theatrical revenue.
For about the 10 billionth time: box office flops lower the potential for additional revenue for the short, intermediate, and longterm.

Scraping out “coverage” at the box office…which has now been extended to “after the box office” - because they can’t do it there anymore more often than not - is missing what the goals are.

It’s to make easy money…flops hurt that potential revenue and profit.

This is just a ridiculous, untenable stance.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
But didn’t Disney say it was incurring marketing costs not only to get people into theaters but also to get them to watch movies at home?

From what I’ve been reading, movie theater attendance is in a long-term decline. Common sense would dictate that people are choosing to wait a short time to see a movie at home on a streaming service.

Wouldn’t this make post-theatrical more important in coming years?

What would you say if you started tanking losses at the BO?

There’s no “truth serum” that can detect a pivot. It’s relying on “predictions” and “assumptions”

But it is a pivot. They’ll say that Snow White will make money on D+…but common sense is still a thing…for now.

Well…everywhere but on this thread - at least.

We debate whether bombs are actually bombing? Daily. Like as if the debate is being moderated by bobs stock broker.

Just look for the mushroom cloud above an AMC and the truth can be gleaned
 

Chi84

Premium Member
For about the 10 billionth time: box office flops lower the potential for additional revenue for the short, intermediate, and longterm.

Scraping out “coverage” at the box office…which has now been extended to “after the box office” - because they can’t do it there anymore more often than not - is missing what the goals are.

It’s to make easy money…flops hurt that potential revenue and profit.

This is just a ridiculous, untenable stance.
What is the exact stance that you are calling untenable?
 

Chi84

Premium Member
What would you say if you started tanking losses at the BO?

There’s no “truth serum” that can detect a pivot. It’s relying on “predictions” and “assumptions”

But it is a pivot. They’ll say that Snow White will make money on D+…but common sense is still a thing…for now.

Well…everywhere but on this thread - at least.

We debate whether bombs are actually bombing? Daily. Like as if the debate is being moderated by bobs stock broker.

Just look for the mushroom cloud above an AMC and the truth can be gleaned
Who are you arguing with?
 

easyrowrdw

Well-Known Member
So you don't think that statement in their year end results is saying that the post-theatrical is making up for the losses at the theaters? I'm sorry, then what do you think it says?

As far as numerical breakdowns, @BrianLo and @brideck have provided the Deadline reports of the breakdowns that show many of Disney movies over the last couple years that were deemed box office losses were actually turning a profits due to post-theatrical revenue.
No, it does not. It says, “costs are expensed as incurred, which may result in a loss on a film in the theatrical markets, including in periods prior to the theatrical release of the film.” Meaning, they spend a lot of money upfront so the movies may not hit profitability for a while - both before they’re released and sometimes not even when the theater run ends. It absolutely does not say post-theater money primarily drives profitability.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
What is the exact stance that you are calling untenable?
There are 955 pages of posts on this thread…covering years of twist and turns…
The pattern is there…

This isn’t the “I don’t understand…” intentional obtuse bit, is it? We’ve addressed that before on many threads.

You know what’s being done here: explaining away failures as “not really failures”

There is no “upside” to box office losses. None. Period. Full stop.
It’s a loss of potential revenue and profit. Everytime. Not just at the ticket window and popcorn stand.

And you give a souless behemoth excuses they don’t even have to work for…as a “fan” 🙄…and the chance of anything turning is zero
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
For about the 10 billionth time: box office flops lower the potential for additional revenue for the short, intermediate, and longterm.

Scraping out “coverage” at the box office…which has now been extended to “after the box office” - because they can’t do it there anymore more often than not - is missing what the goals are.

It’s to make easy money…flops hurt that potential revenue and profit.

This is just a ridiculous, untenable stance.
And for the 100 Billionth time, I'm not looking at just Disney, I'm looking at the overall landscape of the theatrical market which is depressed and doesn't look to be getting better anytime soon if ever. Disney just happens to be the focus of the discussion but the overall market is at play here. The market has changed, you even just admit that just a page ago. And with that change comes a focus on post-theatrical being a profit driver. Sure we can debate the impact of that but that doesn't change that it is indeed a profit driver, so say otherwise is just not being honest with that state of the theatrical market in this post-pandemic era. That is my stance, and its not untenable.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
No, it does not. It says, “costs are expensed as incurred, which may result in a loss on a film in the theatrical markets, including in periods prior to the theatrical release of the film.” Meaning, they spend a lot of money upfront so the movies may not hit profitability for a while - both before they’re released and sometimes not even when the theater run ends. It absolutely does not say post-theater money primarily drives profitability.
Ok, well we'll just agree to disagree there because others seem to believe it does and brought it up before I even did.
 

DisneyWarrior27

Well-Known Member
Well, looks like Disney’s all-new live-action #LiloAndStitch is faring much better with critics than a certain other Disney live-action remake that Honest Trailers just today aptly named “The Princess and the Slog,” w/ a Rotten Tomatoes score that’s nearly double what that film got.

Can’t wait to see how this will translate into its opening weekend box office and beyond…
 

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Chi84

Premium Member
There are 955 pages of posts on this thread…covering years of twist and turns…
The pattern is there…

This isn’t the “I don’t understand…” intentional obtuse bit, is it? We’ve addressed that before on many threads.

You know what’s being done here: explaining away failures as “not really failures”

There is no “upside” to box office losses. None. Period. Full stop.
It’s a loss of potential revenue and profit. Everytime. Not just at the ticket window and popcorn stand.

And you give a souless behemoth excuses they don’t even have to work for…as a “fan” 🙄…and the chance of anything turning is zero
Well first of all I’m not seeing anyone arguing that there is an upside to a box office flop. At most, they’re arguing that the post-theatrical window has become far more important as theater attendance declines.

I’ve seen a lot of movies in the last five years, none of them in a theater. Someone has to be profiting.

Finally, and this goes across threads, I made a pretty good living being precise with words and using them to express ideas in a clear, straightforward manner. I’m hard-wired that way so if you can’t communicate clearly with me, don’t respond to me at all. 🙂
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
But it is a pivot. They’ll say that Snow White will make money on D+…but common sense is still a thing…for now.
No one claimed that with any movie, so don't know why you think some will try to make that claim with Snow White.

I think its pretty much universally agreed that Snow will be one where its pretty much a guarantee they won't turn a profit.
 

Tha Realest

Well-Known Member
And you don't know what those internal goals are though, no one here does. So don't play like you do, you have an opinion based on an assumption, but there is no proof that is actually what Disney's goal are.

Also as discussed I believe your assumptions of goals are outdated and incorrect based on where we are in the post-pandemic era. Disney has provided guidance on what their goals are, so I don't know why you can't accept that.
It’s great you’re part of a Greek chorus that doesn’t care about the box office profitability of Disney’s film slate, but the past and current CEO certainly does.

 

Disney Irish

Premium Member

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