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Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

brideck

Well-Known Member
Poor Things is being predicted at $2.7M again this upcoming weekend, which would be good for 7th. [It was actually the #5 movie on Wednesday, but Migration, being family fare, will surpass it over the weekend.] With the increased screen count, will it manage it this time?

Friday had it in 6th place.

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Anyone But You continues to do unfathomably well, apparently largely because TikTokkers want to get up and dance to the song that plays during the closing credits?

On a personal note, we are probably finally seeing All of Us Strangers today, unless a conflict rears its head this afternoon. ETA: We did not. It's been a bumpy weekend.
 
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TP2000

Well-Known Member
Box Office first-pass estimates are out for this last weekend in January. Soul has been removed from all theaters as of Friday and is no longer playing. Poor Things is in 7th, All Of Us Strangers is in 22nd, and Wish hangs on for some unknown reason in 29th place.

Box Office Estimate.jpg


And down in the twenties we find...

Box Office 2.jpg


 

DKampy

Well-Known Member
Box Office first-pass estimates are out for this last weekend in January. Soul has been removed from all theaters as of Friday and is no longer playing. Poor Things is in 7th, All Of Us Strangers is in 22nd, and Wish hangs on for some unknown reason in 29th place.

View attachment 765549

And down in the twenties we find...

View attachment 765550

I believe the reason Wish is still on the charts is because some people are still paying money to view the film
 

TP2000

Well-Known Member
Looking at that weekend box office data above, I was struck by a few things. In no particular order;

Aquaman just went over $400 Million globally, while The Marvels never quite got to $200 Million globally. I get the sense that Aquaman isn't a huge hit pop-culturally and, and it will still lose some money at the box office, but still.... The Marvels was truly disappointing and lost hundreds of Millions of dollars. The overseas box office in particular is most stark between these two:

Fish Vs. Ladies.jpg


Aquaman: $205 Production, $100 Marketing, $71 Domestic Take, $119 Overseas Take = $115 Million Loss
The Marvels:
$220 Production, $100 Marketing, $51 Domestic Take, $46 Overseas Take = $223 Million Loss

And Migration and Wonka are still doing solid box office over a month after Christmas? Wow. I take it that's because they are really the only family films in theaters right now? Still, a rather stark comparison between Wish bombing globally and the other three animated/family musicals from the holidays legging out to the end of January. Migration might break even by next weekend.

Wishing For Something Better.jpg


Wish: $200 Production, $100 Marketing, $38 Domestic Take, $68 Overseas Take = $194 Million Loss
Trolls 3:
$95 Production, $50 Marketing, $61 Domestic Take, $42 Overseas Take = $42 Million Loss
Migration:
$72 Production, $35 Marketing, $61 Domestic Take, $42 Overseas Take = $4 Million Loss
Wonka:
$125 Production, $65 Marketing, $117 Domestic Take, $143 Overseas Take = $70 Million Profit
 

TP2000

Well-Known Member
We can agree the numbers are awful, but I always thought Disney got about half what we see in the chart?

It's a bit murky, but the numbers I've been using have been based on the accepted assumption that a studio gets 60% of domestic box office receipts and 40% of foreign box office receipts.

That often averages out closer to 50% for big global releases like Wish, but when discussing purely domestic numbers I used 60% to determine that Wish earned $26,400 yesterday in American theaters.
 

DKampy

Well-Known Member
While that might be true, Migration is still trending up and it has been out for a month less than Wish.

View attachment 765687
Domestic sure… but I believe Wish could still Be trending upwards worldwide… I read an article yesterday( which is why I looked up what the box office worldwide was) that was discussing how well Wish was doing when compared to here…especially in Europe… the article also specifically called out the UK saying it dropped something like only 12% this weekend
 

brideck

Well-Known Member
Domestic sure… but I believe Wish could still Be trending upwards worldwide… I read an article yesterday( which is why I looked up what the box office worldwide was) that was discussing how well Wish was doing when compared to here…especially in Europe… the article also specifically called out the UK saying it dropped something like only 12% this weekend

I'm your huckleberry. This is real quick and dirty, sourced from weekly snapshots of Wikipedia edits. Y-axis is millions USD.

1706559881517.png


Migration would need at least 4 more weeks of solid returns to overtake Wish given the current trends. Given the lack of releases until Kung Fu Panda 4 arrives in 6 weeks, I guess anything's possible, but extrapolating out I'd guess that Wish will end up on top by about $10M-$15M overall. The Trolls line is weird looking because it released everywhere overseas first (reflected in the week 1 total), so virtually all of the growth shown in the chart is from the US release.
 
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