I'm still not ready to declare WDW attendance doomed at this time. I'm watching how Miami/South FL tourism will be affected. A tourist destination would typically see a decline of 5-15% in attendance when there is what I would call a 'deterrent event' like a natural disaster or disease...if you take something like the CA wildfire, hotels adjacent to the wildfire area but not close to it were reporting bookings down 50%. So it really depends on the nature of the threat and how the tourist/public perceives it. Last I read, there is still a lot of apathy and plenty of misinformation about Zika among the general American public. And when it comes to assessing risk, most people think 'it won't happen to me', and if they do, they take precautions.
On the other hand, FL state economists have downgraded the projected revenue forecasts due to the anticipated impact on the tourism industry. I'm thinking that the focus is still on South FL and not central FL/ Orlando.
