News The Walt Disney Company Board of Directors Extends Robert A. Iger’s Contract as CEO Through 2026

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
Strange 2 made more than Strange 1. Thor 4 made more than Thor 3 in every market in which it was allowed to open.

You’re reading a heck of a lot into two data points - Ant-Man 3 and The Marvels. Let’s reconvene at the end of 2025 and see where we are.

Oh, and no one credible uses “adjusted” numbers. You’re free to do so, of course.
Sure thing…

What do we got coming?

…uh oh…not looking good
 

BrianLo

Well-Known Member
Which one of those major funds does George Lucas control and which one Jamie dimon?

Because if one votes for Peltz…you’re gonna see a final tally similar to 2004.

Definitely, if one of them voted it would be much closer. But they won’t. The progenitor of ETFs and passive funds isn’t backing disruptive active investors. It’s pretty much against their investment philosophy.

Blackrock and Vanguard are really twins. I already argued none of these would tip Peltz to begin with, but tipping Blackrock’s decision seals my belief.
 

Casper Gutman

Well-Known Member
Sure thing…

What do we got coming?

…uh oh…not looking good
In 2022, the MCU released three hit blockbusters in a single year. I’m pretty sure no IP in the history of Hollywood has ever done that (except for the MCU in previous years). The MCU had smash hits in three successive years - 2021, 2022, and 2023. How many IPs have done that? We’ve become so used to the MCU that people have lost perspective on how remarkably unprecedented it is. And now a bunch of real geniuses want to kill it.

Next year we have Captain America, Thunderbolts, and Fantastic Four. I’d be lying if I said I knew how they will perform in the present, unsettled environment. I don’t see any particular reason to bet against them, particularly not Cap or FF. If you’d like to back up your glibness with actual analysis, feel free.
 

WoundedDreamer

Well-Known Member
Strange 2 made more than Strange 1. Thor 4 made more than Thor 3 in every market in which it was allowed to open.

You’re reading a heck of a lot into two data points - Ant-Man 3 and The Marvels. Let’s reconvene at the end of 2025 and see where we are.

Oh, and no one credible uses “adjusted” numbers. You’re free to do so, of course.
The loss of China did hurt Love and Thunder. No question there. That's one of the untold stories of the past five years. China has absolutely annihilated Disney's once-thriving box office figures. Even now that Disney has begun to release in China again, the interest in the MCU is diminished. Now they have to rebuild from scratch.

I've got to disagree on adjusting figures for inflation. Especially following these last few years of heightened inflation, adjusting for inflation is pretty crucial for direct comparison. If we don't adjust for inflation, then we can't actually gauge the real health of a business over any length of time.

If we don't adjust for inflation, figures will always favor the present. That can skew our understanding.
 

WoundedDreamer

Well-Known Member
I gave you the adjusted numbers…
Look for the pattern

Like how many flops did they have in 2023?

Or let’s throw it out as a poll question: does anyone other than Mr. 2016 here have a case to make that the MCU is not in decline/diminishing returns? Anyone?
Did someone say "adjusted numbers?"
Screen Shot 2024-04-02 at 1.46.35 AM.png

This chart is of every film in Phases 2, 3, 4, and 5. In a way, the success of the Avengers films are just so insane that it skews the results. The other notable film on this list is Spider-Man: No Way Home. Tobey Maguire and Andrew Garfield ought to feel proud, because they drove the third biggest inflation adjusted gross in the MCU's history. No Way Home was so big, that it outgrossed Civil War and Age of Ultron! But still, the greatest films are Infinity War and Endgame. No contest. But a critic might point out that Infinity War and Endgame were in many ways the climax of a decade long story. Is it fair to compare phases 4 and 5 to the peak of the Infinity Saga?

Maybe not...

Screen Shot 2024-04-02 at 1.54.38 AM.png

This is perhaps a more fair view. Gone are the Avenger's films. By eliminating those three films, the Average Marvel film gross drops significantly. We see here a general weakening in Phases 4 and 5 relative to phases 2 and 3. Whereas not a single phase 2 and 3 film gross below 600 million, only 50% of the phase 4 and 5 films crossed that threshold. But someone could easily argue that 2021's releases (Shang Chi, Black Widow, Eternals) were impacted considerably by the pandemic and corresponding changes in the release strategy. Should those films really count?

Maybe not...
Screen Shot 2024-04-02 at 2.01.47 AM.png

Which brings us to our final chart. Things don't look so bad with this iteration. However, the notable failure of Ant Man 3 and The Marvels stick out... But there is reason to worry. Two of the most successful Marvel films released in 4 and 5 have an uncertain future. GotG and Thor both are potentially ending or at least changing. It's not just in anyone's imagination that Marvel's mission of launching new successful characters to carry the saga forward has largely failed.

The jury is out on Marvel's future. There's no Iron Man to save them.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
Marvel‘s destiny always has and always will be with the X-Men

iron man and the avengers was just a sideshow
Comic book geeks always point to xmen first

And that could be the way

They put the characters on the main stage with the casting of the avengers…that’s the difference with MCU.

Xmen should be a slam dunk…but we have seen Disney miss on some notable slam
Dunks of late. Let’s hope somebody doesn’t muck this one up
 

LSLS

Well-Known Member
Comic book geeks always point to xmen first

And that could be the way

They put the characters on the main stage with the casting of the avengers…that’s the difference with MCU.

Xmen should be a slam dunk…but we have seen Disney miss on some notable slam
Dunks of late. Let’s hope somebody doesn’t muck this one up
Non-Comic people as well. Anyone who grew up in the 90's with Saturday morning cartoons.
 

Phicinfan

Well-Known Member
Marvel‘s destiny always has and always will be with the X-Men

iron man and the avengers was just a sideshow
Not sure I agree, the first family of Marvel will always be the Fantastic Four. That is the movie they really need to hit. I would much rather see them do a slow build up for X-Men, and dribble mutants in a few at a time in other movies to build up the desire and anticipation. Just me though
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
Non-Comic people as well. Anyone who grew up in the 90's with Saturday morning cartoons.
Prior to that series…nobody outside the hookah lounge had ever heard of gambit

The movies certainly did well.
X2 is still one of my top five super movies ever…but I don’t think you can expect more than avengers with xmen now. Sometimes things come along at the right time and place
Not sure I agree, the first family of Marvel will always be the Fantastic Four. That is the movie they really need to hit. I would much rather see them do a slow build up for X-Men, and dribble mutants in a few at a time in other movies to build up the desire and anticipation. Just me though
Eventually that will work…but it hasn’t yet

Somethings don’t work the same way off the pages. They have never done much with FF
 

Phicinfan

Well-Known Member
Eventually that will work…but it hasn’t yet

Somethings don’t work the same way off the pages. They have never done much with FF
They who? Not sure your point here as they just gained possession of FF in MCU. I believe you will see major FF, X-men an Avengers sightings and action leading to a major story line IMO.
 

Chip Chipperson

Well-Known Member

Brian

Well-Known Member
Why is nobody expressing skepticism about Iger supposedly pulling ahead according to the WSJ? There was plenty when WSJ was reporting Trian supposedly being ahead.
 

Slpy3270

Well-Known Member
All 3 major US indexes are down more than that today (as of 10:47 a.m. Eastern), but somehow Disney's drop is due to a widespread fear of Peltz losing his bid? Okay.

The market's been flat for the past month or so but Disney's been skyrocketing because of the proxy battle and the belief amongst some that Peltz might have a chance. Now that the battle is ending and a Peltz victory is looking increasingly unlikely, the pro-Peltz crowd is cashing out.

Why is nobody expressing skepticism about Iger supposedly pulling ahead according to the WSJ? There was plenty when WSJ was reporting Trian supposedly being ahead.

If by "reporting" you mean cringe YouTubers making videos and ITM-like sites writing clickbait then yeah.
 

Chip Chipperson

Well-Known Member
The market's been flat for the past month or so but Disney's been skyrocketing because of the proxy battle and the belief amongst some that Peltz might have a chance. Now that the battle is ending and a Peltz victory is looking increasingly unlikely, the pro-Peltz crowd is cashing out.
Disney has been rising for at least the past 6 months and has outperformed all 3 indexes over that span, so the past month has nothing to do with Peltz. There's a reason why he's not getting support from some heavy hitters in that world. His past performance gives no indication that he's some savior for Disney.
 

Slpy3270

Well-Known Member
Disney has been rising for at least the past 6 months and has outperformed all 3 indexes over that span, so the past month has nothing to do with Peltz. There's a reason why he's not getting support from some heavy hitters in that world. His past performance gives no indication that he's some savior for Disney.

Trian announced their campaign six months ago. Coincidence?
 

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