News Reedy Creek Improvement District and the Central Florida Tourism Oversight District

Chi84

Premium Member
Obviously...as of yesterday, Disney does NOT believe they need Lake Nona anymore. So, it seems they also think their original concept turned out to be a bad one when placed under their CURRENT economic conditions. The Lake Nona idea was created at a time that was different than it is today.

Lake Nona is dead for Disney and I think it has ZERO to do with DeSantis and everything to do with the project being hated INSIDE Disney itself and their need for money in OTHER places of the company right now. DeSantis himself or the Parental Rights bill did not kill Lake Nona.
But everyone thinks he did.
 

Figgy1

Well-Known Member
But everyone thinks he did.
I'm looking at this situation like a multi-course meal. There are appetizers, soups, salads, entrees, cheese plates, and desserts, the size of each course varies but we'll never know by how much. Some courses may be a single grain of rice and some will be served on very large platters
 

Cliff

Well-Known Member
Can anybody answer this?

#1 - Was the Lake Nona campus concept designed as a charity "gift" to Florida or a symbolic "nice gesture" to the state?

#2 - Was Lake Nona part of a REVENUE GENERATING goal or COST SAVING goal of the company? Was it part of a "real" profit/loss BUSINESS model for Disney?

If the answer is #1,...then yes, DeSantis killed it and Disney is taking their "gift" to the state away in angry protest.

If the answer is #2...then there is NO reason why they would "not" continue to build it. If the project had REAL revenue generating or cost saving VALUE, there would be NO reason to kill it because DeSants said "mean" things about Disney.

Lake Nona would have survived SOLEY on it's own profit/loss business model

It seems to me that the Lake Nona concept never had a strong business model backing it up from day one and had no true business value.
 
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lazyboy97o

Well-Known Member
Can anybody answer this?

#1 - Was the Lake Nona campus concept designed to as a charity "gift" to Florida or a symbolic "nice gesture" to the state?

#2 - Was Lake Nona part of a REVENUE GENERATING goal or COST SAVING goal of the company? Was it part of a "real" profit/loss BUSINESS model for Disney?

If the answer is #1,...then yes, DeSantis killed it and Disney is taking their "gift" to the state away in angry protest.

If the answer is #2...then there is NO reason why they would "not" continue to build it. If the project had REAL revenue generating or cost saving VALUE, there would be NO reason to kill it because DeSants said "mean" things about Disney.

Lake Nona would have survived SOLEY on it's own profit/loss business model

It seems to me that the Lake Nona concept never had a strong business model backing it up from day one and had no true business value.
Lake Nona is not near the Reedy Creek.
 

mikejs78

Premium Member
I was speculating what the future holds for him. If he isn't successful in 2024 in his bid for the WH I think he could give Senators Scott or Rubio serious competition in the GOP primaries when his 2nd term is up.

He could, but there's no Senate race he could run in until 2028 at the earliest. And then the question would be whether he runs for Senate in 2028 or takes another shot at the Presidency....
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Can anybody answer this?

#1 - Was the Lake Nona campus concept designed to as a charity "gift" to Florida or a symbolic "nice gesture" to the state?

#2 - Was Lake Nona part of a REVENUE GENERATING goal or COST SAVING goal of the company? Was it part of a "real" profit/loss BUSINESS model for Disney?

If the answer is #1,...then yes, DeSantis killed it and Disney is taking their "gift" to the state away in angry protest.

If the answer is #2...then there is NO reason why they would "not" continue to build it. If the project had REAL revenue generating or cost saving VALUE, there would be NO reason to kill it because DeSants said "mean" things about Disney.

Lake Nona would have survived SOLEY on it's own profit/loss business model

It seems to me that the Lake Nona concept never had a strong business model backing it up from day one and had no true business value.
Everyone here has agreed since page 1 that Disney cannot move WDW from the state. Not possible due to the massive investment that would have to be written off. Lake Nona was a billion dollar project with 2,000+ jobs tied to it. Once Disney spent that money and relocated workers moving those jobs out of the state would have required a billion dollar write-off. It makes perfect sense for the company to pull out of that project now before it’s too expensive to do so. Why create another situation with massive investment at risk? WDW can’t move but office jobs can.

The original project was a long term cost savings for the company as well as a move to a more business friendly state. The company’s own original press releases confirm that. The primary reason it was a cost savings was the tax credits. Without them the move would not have been proposed. Disney stated yesterday that they cancelled due to a change in the business environment. As others pointed out maybe they view those tax credits as being in jeopardy now as well. What’s to stop the Governor from trying to pull them back with a crazy bill like the monorail one that creates a carve out that only impacts Disney? Difficult but not impossible to do. Even without that fear there is always a risk premium associated with political risk anywhere. FL had a positive outlook for businesses as recently as a year or 2 ago, that has flipped now.
 

flynnibus

Premium Member
Obviously...as of yesterday, Disney does NOT believe they need Lake Nona anymore. So, it seems they also think their original concept turned out to be a bad one when placed under their CURRENT economic conditions. The Lake Nona idea was created at a time that was different than it is today.

So what do you believe made it so much more expensive now… vs 2021?
 

flynnibus

Premium Member
If the answer is #2...then there is NO reason why they would "not" continue to build it. If the project had REAL revenue generating or cost saving VALUE, there would be NO reason to kill it because DeSants said "mean" things about Disney

You already acknowledged other reasons to kill it on the last page… headwinds with their own people. And knowing the conpany doesn’t live in a bubble (business environment).

You can’t even keep a consistent story 30mins apart.
 

Cliff

Well-Known Member
Everyone here has agreed since page 1 that Disney cannot move WDW from the state. Not possible due to the massive investment that would have to be written off. Lake Nona was a billion dollar project with 2,000+ jobs tied to it. Once Disney spent that money and relocated workers moving those jobs out of the state would have required a billion dollar write-off. It makes perfect sense for the company to pull out of that project now before it’s too expensive to do so. Why create another situation with massive investment at risk? WDW can’t move but office jobs can.

The original project was a long term cost savings for the company as well as a move to a more business friendly state. The company’s own original press releases confirm that. The primary reason it was a cost savings was the tax credits. Without them the move would not have been proposed. Disney stated yesterday that they cancelled due to a change in the business environment. As others pointed out maybe they view those tax credits as being in jeopardy now as well. What’s to stop the Governor from trying to pull them back with a crazy bill like the monorail one that creates a carve out that only impacts Disney? Difficult but not impossible to do. Even without that fear there is always a risk premium associated with political risk anywhere. FL had a positive outlook for businesses as recently as a year or 2 ago, that has flipped now.
The local Lake Nona government never changed anything that would hurt Disney's ability to build there. The state of Florida never did anything to hurt Disney in Lake Nona either. The business and tax conditions in Lake Nona were never under any risk from day one.

The profit/loss business model of Lake Nona is today...exactly what it always was from day one. If their busness model made sense 4 years ago, it still valid today. The Reedy Creek drama has nothing to do with the financial profit/loss potential of the Lake Nona campus idea.

Unless.....Lake Nona was a bad business model idea from day one......
 

Figgy1

Well-Known Member
Everyone here has agreed since page 1 that Disney cannot move WDW from the state. Not possible due to the massive investment that would have to be written off. Lake Nona was a billion dollar project with 2,000+ jobs tied to it. Once Disney spent that money and relocated workers moving those jobs out of the state would have required a billion dollar write-off. It makes perfect sense for the company to pull out of that project now before it’s too expensive to do so. Why create another situation with massive investment at risk? WDW can’t move but office jobs can.

The original project was a long term cost savings for the company as well as a move to a more business friendly state. The company’s own original press releases confirm that. The primary reason it was a cost savings was the tax credits. Without them the move would not have been proposed. Disney stated yesterday that they cancelled due to a change in the business environment. As others pointed out maybe they view those tax credits as being in jeopardy now as well. What’s to stop the Governor from trying to pull them back with a crazy bill like the monorail one that creates a carve out that only impacts Disney? Difficult but not impossible to do. Even without that fear there is always a risk premium associated with political risk anywhere. FL had a positive outlook for businesses as recently as a year or 2 ago, that has flipped now.
My guess is that is the very large platters part of the meal
 
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Figgy1

Well-Known Member
The local Lake Nona government never changed anything that would hurt Disney's ability to build there. The state if Florida never did anything to hurt Disney in Lake Nona either. The business and tax conditions in Lake Nona were never under any risk from day one.

The profit/loss business model if Lake Nona is today...exactly what it always was from day one. If their busness model made sense 4 years ago, it still valid today. The Reedy Creek drama has nothing to do with the financial profit/loss potential of the Lake Nona campus idea.

Unless.....Lake Nona was a bad business model idea from day one......
Unless the state changes the terms which wasn't a possibility when it was announced. Now who knows what will happen
 

seascape

Well-Known Member
Disney can walk away and still make money off the deal. The value of the property is higher today than when they purchased it 2 years ago. As many have said, this will not stop investments in the area but it may slow down the growth rate and have a small impact due to the 2,000 jobs lost with an annual payroll of $240,000,000.00 plus the lost payroll taxes, property tax, utilities, insurance and other expences. Hopefully they can move the jobs to Georgia as they do a great amount of filming there and could build an East Coast Campus near Atlanta and still be closer to WDW.
 

durangojim

Well-Known Member
It’s official. Disney is moving the Magic Kingdom to Nova Scotia. I just this on Twitter. You hear it here first.
IMG_2908.jpeg
 

Cliff

Well-Known Member
You already acknowledged other reasons to kill it on the last page… headwinds with their own people. And knowing the conpany doesn’t live in a bubble (business environment).

You can’t even keep a consistent story 30mins apart.
No...im pretty clear. Here is what I say in one simple sentence:

"The Lake Nona Campus died because it had no strong profit/loss/savings business model combined with the fact that there was deep, internal Disney staff hatred for it."

DeSantis did NOT kill Lake Nona. The project died completely on it's own internal factors.
 

Lilofan

Well-Known Member
Disney can walk away and still make money off the deal. The value of the property is higher today than when they purchased it 2 years ago. As many have said, this will not stop investments in the area but it may slow down the growth rate and have a small impact due to the 2,000 jobs lost with an annual payroll of $240,000,000.00 plus the lost payroll taxes, property tax, utilities, insurance and other expences. Hopefully they can move the jobs to Georgia as they do a great amount of filming there and could build an East Coast Campus near Atlanta and still be closer to WDW.
Recall a few years ago when Iger disagreed with Kemp of GA over the GA heartbeat law ? Iger threatened to pull Disney filming out of GA in protest.
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
No...im pretty clear. Here is what I say in one simple sentence:

The Lake Nona Campus died because it had no strong profit/loss/savings business model combined with the fact that there was deep, internal Disney staff hatred for it.
Why would any company green light a project like this if it had no strong profit/loss/savings associated with it? What you are saying makes no sense. There is not a potential revenue stream from this. It’s not a new theme park or new ride that has the potential to drive business or attract customers. It’s just moving overhead costs.
 

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